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West Pacific Tropical Action 2011


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indeed it has!:weight_lift::wub:

TPPN11 PGTW 301514 A. TYPHOON 11W (MUIFA)B. 30/1432ZC. 16.6ND. 132.4EE. ONE/MTSATF. T7.0/7.0/D3.5/24HRS STT: D1.0/06HRSG. IR/EIRH. REMARKS: 05A/PBO IRREG EYE/ANMTN. OFF HOUR FIX DUE TO CONTINUED RAPID INTENSIFICATION. EYE IS 12NM IN DIAMETER. CMG SURROUNDING RING YIELDS AN EYE NUMBER OF 6.5. WITH AN OW EYE, THIS IS ADJUSTED +0.5 FOR A DT 7.0. PT IS 6.0+. DBO DT. DUE TO RAPID INTENSIFICATION CONSTRAINTS CONTINUE TO BE BROKEN.I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: 30/1043Z 16.5N 132.8E SSMS HOUGH

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Its likely at its peak intensity right now... only a matter of time before we get a EWRC... as is though, you are not going to get a much strong cyclone as it has pretty much reached its MPI.

Well, you can see the secondary forming on that latest microwave but it still looks to be a ways off. This one may take a hit simply from spinning too hard and violently. Maybe the pinhole will just collapse spectacularly like we saw with Parma a while back. Cloud tops are warming a bit too now, so I agree with your assessment about it peaking.

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It's a shame so many beautiful super typhoons go without recon. If you look at the list of most intense tropical cyclones in the West Pac (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_the_most_intense_tropical_cyclones), the list is seriously lacking storms from the 90s and 00s, but is full of them from the earlier recon era. Then you get an occasional one from during a field campaign (such as Megi 2010) that looks about the same as Muifa on IR and microwave, gets an 885 mb in-situ measurement, but would otherwise only be given a pressure of 910 or something like that.

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Haven't looked at microwave, but just looking at eye warming and a ring of -80º clouds away from the eye, I think the EWRC has begun.

If nothing interferes, it is moving slowly enough it could have time to build back to nearly this intensity, IMHO.

2011210np.jpg

post-138-0-53811400-1312089897.jpg

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