TheTrials Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 He said it in preparation of the Mets winning on opening day (like they ALWAYS do) and then realize that the team is still terrible. oh yes, that makes sense now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 60 degrees on Tuesday per the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 you're a day off. I said that because the models played a joke on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 someone should close this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I said that because the models played a joke on us. define us, there was a bunch of posters who didn't believe it, myself included. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 He said it in preparation of the Mets winning on opening day (like they ALWAYS do) and then realize that the team is still terrible. heh.... just like the Yanks used to do in the late 80s and early 90s-- win on opening day and then lose like 5 in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 you're a day off. and a dollar short Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killabud Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 maybe that WAS the joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 and a dollar short well, if we are talking about the mets, they are about 800 milllion ++ off according to the madoff trustee, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 well, if we are talking about the mets, they are about 800 milllion ++ off according to the madoff trustee, lol lol great point-- hmmmm, so if my calculations are correct, they should be fine if they collect $16000 from each fan on opening day (800 M / 50 K) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 lol great point-- hmmmm, so if my calculations are correct, they should be fine if they collect $16000 from each fan on opening day (800 M / 50 K) They will be lucky if 16,000 people show up on opening day, HAHAHAH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 They will be lucky if 16,000 people show up on opening day, HAHAHAH Haha, they'll probably be trying to give tickets away for free this season. Their little promo didn't even work (they were trying to promote meeting the players to sell tickets.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Banding starting to develop near DC, let's see if this is the beginning of the coastal formation. http://radar.weather...theast_loop.php 39.9/34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 18z NAM looks better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 NAM has .50 - .75 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 18z NAM looks better for Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 NAM is a boatload of rain for a lot of SNE. Our area gets less precip, but the northern sections, might be more snow: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 AT 19Z A 1002 HPA LOW WAS CENTERED EAST OF THE VIRGINIA CAPES...AND A 1003 HPA LOW WAS OVER THE SOUTHERN BLUE RIDGE. ALOFT A 500 HPA TROUGH WAS CENTERED JUST TO THE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL HELP TO SHARPEN...AND EVENTUALLY CAUSE THE 500 MB TROUGH AHEAD OF IT TO DEVELOP A NEGATIVE TILT AS IT LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RESULT OF THIS WILL BE THE MERGING OF THE TWO LOWS INTO A LOW AROUND 990 HPA NEAR THE 70/40 BENCH MARK BY FRIDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE TO THE NORTH...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER SE CANADA PROVIDING A SOURCE FOR LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ON NE-N LOW LEVEL FLOW. THIS SOLUTION IS A WEAKER/FURTHER EAST SOLUTION THAN PREVIOUS FORECASTS...AND AS A RESULT LESS QPF AND WIND IS EXPECTED. WITH THE WEAKER WIND AND LESS QPF...THE COLDER AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL NOT PENETRATE AS FAR TO THE S AND W AS PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED...AND AS A RESULT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN REDUCED...ESPECIALLY FOR ELEVATIONS BELOW 1000 FT. ACCORDINGLY HAVE DOWNGRADED THE WINTER STORM WARNING TO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...AND CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN PASSAIC...AND WESTERN UNION AND ESSEX COUNTIES. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS NW ZONES...WOULD EXPECT RAIN TO CHANGE TO SNOW. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...CORRESPONDING TO THE STRONGEST LOW TO MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING...AND ISENTROPIC FORCING. SLIGHTLY FURTHER TO THE SW OF ORANGE/PUTNAM/WESTERN PASSAIC...EXPECT A RAIN/SNOW MIX...CHANGING TO MAINLY SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN WESTCHESTER...FAIRFIELD AND NEW HAVEN COUNTIES...AS WELL AS MOST OF ROCKLAND AND WESTERN BERGEN COUNTY...HAVE THUS CONTINUED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THERE. OUTSIDE OF THIS AREA MAINLY RAIN IS EXPECTED...THOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME SLEET MIXED IN AT THE START...BEFORE LOWER LEVELS WARM UP THIS EVENING. FURTHER EAST...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR BOTH ELEVATED (SHOWALTER TO AROUND 0) AND SLANTWISE CONVECTION OVER THE TWIN FORKS OF LONG ISLAND OVERNIGHT...AND INTO FAR SE CT LATE TONIGHT...SO HAVE PUT IN ISOLATED THUNDER THERE. WITH THE WEAKER LOW...WINDS SHOULD STAY BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS...WITH GUSTS UP TO AT MOST 25 TO 30 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Upton still expecting enough QPF for NW areas to get near 8", interesting. They don't seem to be believing that the track will be too far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Hmm.. 3-5 inches in Rockland??..... Maybe extreme northern rockland from bear mountain through Harriman state park.. Down by me.. No way it's gonna happen... I think rockland needs to be split into 2 zones.... Seriously... I know it's the smallest county in new York state.. But still.... Good time to apply the "southern rockland snow hole formula" (SRSHF)... 4 inches X .25 = 1 inch... I guarantee that's all I will be getting by me. Based on my snow hole formula.. I'm downgrading my 1 inch total to 1/4 inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Upton still expecting enough QPF for NW areas to get near 8", interesting. They don't seem to be believing that the track will be too far east. with ratios pretty low, there better be a hell of a lot of QPF to reach those totals.. I'd be shocked if they got that much, but hey, nothing would suprise me at this point. It's just been that kind of winter... but no matter what the winter brings, I know that I wil guaranteed always be in a snow hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Upton still expecting enough QPF for NW areas to get near 8", interesting. They don't seem to be believing that the track will be too far east. NMM- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 The NMM is way too juicy for LI and it hangs on the precip for way too long IMO http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/hiresw/12/index_slp_l_loop.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Not saying this will happen, but models have slashed precip many times before an event. Classic one was Jan.26-27. Models had over 1" of qpf for days. Right before the event, the euro and every other model cut NYC to only .50"-.75" QPF. And we all know how that ended. 18" of snow. This is pretty similar with qpf outputs from model to model. Of course synoptics are different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Upton still expecting enough QPF for NW areas to get near 8", interesting. They don't seem to be believing that the track will be too far east. Yeah that 7.8" they have there is just to my west but that area also has elevations of 1300'+. Looks like 5-7" for MBY as per Upton ( Highly doubt it).. Ill take it though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Yeah that 7.8" they have there is just to my west but that area also has elevations of 1300'+. Looks like 5-7" for MBY as per Upton.. Ill take it I am going to need some good luck to stay ahead in seasonal snowfall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I am going to need some good luck to stay ahead in seasonal snowfall... lol.. Even last yr I only beat you by 6 or 7"... Whats going down there on Mt Zucker? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 lol.. Even last yr I only beat you by 6 or 7"... Whats going down there on Mt Zucker? It was mostly because I beat you in 12/19 with 8"...I also did well in 2/10 with 12.5"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 The gfs and euro have been awfull for this event. The king has took alot of lumps this season. They must have done something with it when they upgraded it. The NAM destroyed models for this event. Except for 2 runs yesterday, it always had this weak and east for our area. The funny thing is that a lot of people doubted the Nam., 60 degrees on Tuesday per the Euro It's baseball time. R.I.P Winter There were model runs that had this storm sub 985 at New Jersey's latitude. Crazy how long ago that now seems. Most of the models had this storm bombing out on the benchmark. A lot of people thought this was going to be a big storm for our area with rain changing to heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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