famartin Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 It's much stronger than the op run. The ensembles have been really good of late. Weaker and further east than the last ensemble run,though. 0Z 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 It looks like the 12z Ukie is now slightly east of the benchmark . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 It looks like the 12z Ukie is now slightly east of the benchmark . how are 850s and QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 JMA has also joined the east and weak train: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 0.25" liquid total for the event on the Euro and the surface low swings east of the benchmark. There is no cold conveyor belt until the storm is in Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 LOL, euro says see you next year. another LOL for all those snow bombs on the srefs, euro, gfs, ukmet etc some of you have been drooling over for days. Thankfully, its opening day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Wow. What a failure by models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 What is funny is that we were all making fun of the NAM all along and now it turns out it may have been correct all along. That's why you don't do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 1800 SUICIDE lines have lit up all over new england Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 LOL, euro says see you next year. another LOL for all those snow bombs on the srefs, euro, gfs, ukmet etc some of you have been drooling over for days. Thankfully, its opening day. Snow has nothing to do with this. CLIMO does make models have 2"-3" of qpf for days and days and then 6 hours before an event they all drastically cut the qpf to .25". That has nothing to do with climo or time of year. Thats just a terrible performance by 2011 modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 For NYC, the euro only has 1, 6 hour period of precip of .14" The rest of it before and after is very light and adds up to .16". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 For NYC, the euro only has 1, 6 hour period of precip of .14" The rest of it before and after is very light and adds up to .16". LOL-what a joke. We went from big snows, to heavy rains to almost no precip now--models are awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 The gfs and euro have been awfull for this event. The king has took alot of lumps this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 The gfs and euro have been awfull for this event. The king has took alot of lumps this season. To the king's credit, I *think* (recalling purely from memory) that its been drier than the GFS for a while. Not *this* dry, but drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 1800 SUICIDE lines have lit up all over new england Why? Northwest of Boston does fairly well. For instance, ORH gets .89" of qpf and it appears cold enough for snow the whole time. Boston gets 1.10"+ of qpf and some of it is also snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 To the king's credit, I *think* (recalling purely from memory) that its been drier than the GFS for a while. Not *this* dry, but drier. I believe a few runs it had 1+ for the metro area. But all in all still pretty awful. But like you said it was never a amp up inside 72 as the gfs was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 To the king's credit, I *think* (recalling purely from memory) that its been drier than the GFS for a while. Not *this* dry, but drier. Euro has been consistently 1"-2" of precip for NYC for days and days. And now it cut us to barely .25" Thats pathetic. The NAM destroyed models for this event. Except for 2 runs yesterday, it always had this weak and east for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bates Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 To the king's credit, I *think* (recalling purely from memory) that its been drier than the GFS for a while. Not *this* dry, but drier. Wouldn't give the "king" (that's a joke) any credit on this. Toilet worthy performance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 terrible job by the models, no other way to slice it. I guess the NAM wins only because its been downplaying this for days. I'm really getting sick of these six day out QPF bombs that end up turning into nothing. I wonder how much longer before the warnings are dropped. Probably the 00z runs tonight just to make sure the models are not on 12/26 crack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 What is funny is that we were all making fun of the NAM all along and now it turns out it may have been correct all along. The NAM showed nothing until yesterday, so the NAM was wrong too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 60 degrees on Tuesday per the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 60 degrees on Tuesday per the Euro Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 60 degrees on Tuesday per the Euro Finally. Time to start fishing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 60 degrees on Tuesday per the Euro There's the silver lining to all the cloudiness we have right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 60 degrees on Tuesday per the Euro Amen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 The trend has been later developing this system for the past 36 hours or so. It's unfortunate that the trend continued as long as it did, but the mid levels aren't working in anyones favor this time around until the system is way too far north. There were model runs that had this storm sub 985 at New Jersey's latitude. Crazy how long ago that now seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Well, the CMC and NOAGPS are about the last two models which would give the areas currently under the warnings some significant snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 April fools everyone o_o Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 April fools everyone o_o you're a day off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 you're a day off. He said it in preparation of the Mets winning on opening day (like they ALWAYS do) and then realize that the team is still terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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