TheTrials Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 DCA has a Td of -2C, further NW in Frederick, MD it is -4C its so dry outside right now its ridiculous. Humidity may be higher in Arizona than the north east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Reports of RN/SN and RN/IP mix around DC as well with temps around 50F. Pretty strange. lol now that's weird-- I guess they broke the "record" LGA had with snow at 47 F..... although personally, I remember seeing reports of heavy snow squalls in ACY with a temp of 51 back in March 2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 its so dry outside right now its ridiculous. Humidity may be higher in Arizona than the north east. I hope we get what we did last July 102 + right to the coast with dry northwesterly winds and super low humidity and clear blue skies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 its so dry outside right now its ridiculous. Humidity may be higher in Arizona than the north east. I hate it, dries out the skin. Although our DP in NYC has gone up from the teens yesterday to the 20s today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I hate it, dries out the skin. Although our DP in NYC has gone up from the teens yesterday to the 20s today. Trust me, you'll love the dry heat in the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 srefs are back to being wet. 3z srefs were only .25" of rain. new srefs are close to 1" of qpf: ' SLP is pretty far west: 850's are warm. Only NWNJ and NW of there is cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 SREFS are an all out torch at 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Worth noting that the ECMWF is also showing the massive bomb for next week, although it phases too quickly and cuts towards the lakes. All I wanted was for it to show up and i got my wish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Worth noting that the ECMWF is also showing the massive bomb for next week, although it phases too quickly and cuts towards the lakes. All I wanted was for it to show up and i got my wish. In the mid-atlantic forum they are talking about this being a possible severe weather maker with 80s in VA. Maybe we can share in the fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 In the mid-atlantic forum they are talking about this being a possible severe weather maker with 80s in VA. Maybe we can share in the fun. once the euro locks onto a cutter, it never waivers and has 100% verification. It can spot a lakes cutter a year out. Can't find an east coast snow storm for its life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 New snow map from Upton - they've increased snowfall amounts a bit... http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 54/23 here...eagerly awaiting the storm., whatever it may bring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Precip down south in DC metro and VA not nearly as expansive as modeled with first wave, take that for what its worth wrt the second wave. Looks basically on target to me, based on the GFS. Barely a tenth expected before this evening before the mid-level support swings through with some heavier stuff possible. The NAM is probably a little overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 its so dry outside right now its ridiculous. Humidity may be higher in Arizona than the north east. The DC area certainly isn't very dry at the surface. Any frozen precip is probably the result of cold and/or dry air aloft. Up here we're not even that dry. Relatively dry, sure, but not as dry as the past few days. Certainly not like the desert southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 18z NAM conitnues to hit area tonight. .25"-.50" areawide with .50"+ in mid and southern Jersey with more coming, looking at sims. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 once the euro locks onto a cutter, it never waivers and has 100% verification. It can spot a lakes cutter a year out. Can't find an east coast snow storm for its life. Nothing is as beautiful as the GFS but the other models are honking as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 .50"-.75" into NYC just from tonight thru tomorrow night, from 1st storm and still going, looking at hour 30 sims. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 New snow map from Upton - they've increased snowfall amounts a bit... http://www.erh.noaa....totalprecip.php Mt. Holly just issued winter storm watches for Morris/Sussex/Warren and Lehigh/Northampton/Carbon/Monroe in PA for 5-10" of snow. So we got WS watches up within a few miles of me, but those few miles may make a world of difference. Not sure I believe WS watches will verify in Union/Essex counties though. http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NJZ008&warncounty=NJC027&firewxzone=NJZ008&local_place1=Lake+Hopatcong+NJ&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 54/23 here...eagerly awaiting the storm., whatever it may bring. those mid 50's are not a good sign with no fresh cold high coming into play.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 New NAM would have you believe we will be getting snow this time tomorrow with 850mb temps well south of the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 NAM still hitting the 1st storm. .50"-.75" for area and 2nd storm still looks weak and disorganized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 such a great model, the NAM.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 New snow map from Upton - they've increased snowfall amounts a bit... http://www.erh.noaa....totalprecip.php lol interesting map-- I see a nice "hot spot" right around Westhampton Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 54/23 here...eagerly awaiting the storm., whatever it may bring. Not sure how we cool down to 34F or so by tomorrow night. There isn't much CAA on tap and it now looks like the cold pool aloft will stay to our west since the trof doesn't tilt out over the Atlantic. Hence somewhat limited dynamic cooling potential, even if we stay below freezing near 850mb. I think we have a N&W elevation storm coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 such a great model, the NAM.... We dont know that yet. While most likely it is lost, the UKIE also joined this camp at 12z today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 We dont know that yet. While most likely it is lost, the UKIE also joined this camp at 12z today. imagine the weenie suicides at the SNE forum if that verifies.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 New NAM would have you believe we will be getting snow this time tomorrow with 850mb temps well south of the area If you live at 5000ft. Might get an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Not sure how we cool down to 34F or so by tomorrow night. There isn't much CAA on tap and it now looks like the cold pool aloft will stay to our west since the trof doesn't tilt out over the Atlantic. Hence somewhat limited dynamic cooling potential, even if we stay below freezing near 850mb. I think we have a N&W elevation storm coming. It's just the sun angle, a few hours of clear skies and precip will cool us quickly with Td around 20F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Not sure how we cool down to 34F or so by tomorrow night. There isn't much CAA on tap and it now looks like the cold pool aloft will stay to our west since the trof doesn't tilt out over the Atlantic. Hence somewhat limited dynamic cooling potential, even if we stay below freezing near 850mb. I think we have a N&W elevation storm coming. Strongly agree-we exceeded forecasts for today by a good 10 degrees-that has to mean something with no fresh cold supply coming in...reminds of the big Jan bust a few years back--it was close to 50 the day before and most places couldnt get cold enough and we know the rest.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 It looks like flakes will be flying later tonight. It will be a pleasant site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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