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April 1st-2nd Nor'Easter Potential


Snow_Miser

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Reports of RN/SN and RN/IP mix around DC as well with temps around 50F. Pretty strange.

lol now that's weird-- I guess they broke the "record" LGA had with snow at 47 F..... although personally, I remember seeing reports of heavy snow squalls in ACY with a temp of 51 back in March 2008.

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its so dry outside right now its ridiculous. Humidity may be higher in Arizona than the north east.

I hope we get what we did last July 102 + right to the coast with dry northwesterly winds and super low humidity and clear blue skies :)

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Worth noting that the ECMWF is also showing the massive bomb for next week, although it phases too quickly and cuts towards the lakes. All I wanted was for it to show up and i got my wish.

In the mid-atlantic forum they are talking about this being a possible severe weather maker with 80s in VA. Maybe we can share in the fun.

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In the mid-atlantic forum they are talking about this being a possible severe weather maker with 80s in VA. Maybe we can share in the fun.

once the euro locks onto a cutter, it never waivers and has 100% verification. It can spot a lakes cutter a year out. Can't find an east coast snow storm for its life.

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Precip down south in DC metro and VA not nearly as expansive as modeled with first wave, take that for what its worth wrt the second wave.

Looks basically on target to me, based on the GFS. Barely a tenth expected before this evening before the mid-level support swings through with some heavier stuff possible. The NAM is probably a little overdone.

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its so dry outside right now its ridiculous. Humidity may be higher in Arizona than the north east.

The DC area certainly isn't very dry at the surface. Any frozen precip is probably the result of cold and/or dry air aloft.

Up here we're not even that dry. Relatively dry, sure, but not as dry as the past few days. Certainly not like the desert southwest.

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New snow map from Upton - they've increased snowfall amounts a bit...

http://www.erh.noaa....totalprecip.php

Mt. Holly just issued winter storm watches for Morris/Sussex/Warren and Lehigh/Northampton/Carbon/Monroe in PA for 5-10" of snow. So we got WS watches up within a few miles of me, but those few miles may make a world of difference. Not sure I believe WS watches will verify in Union/Essex counties though.

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NJZ008&warncounty=NJC027&firewxzone=NJZ008&local_place1=Lake+Hopatcong+NJ&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch

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54/23 here...eagerly awaiting the storm., whatever it may bring.

Not sure how we cool down to 34F or so by tomorrow night. There isn't much CAA on tap and it now looks like the cold pool aloft will stay to our west since the trof doesn't tilt out over the Atlantic. Hence somewhat limited dynamic cooling potential, even if we stay below freezing near 850mb. I think we have a N&W elevation storm coming.

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Not sure how we cool down to 34F or so by tomorrow night. There isn't much CAA on tap and it now looks like the cold pool aloft will stay to our west since the trof doesn't tilt out over the Atlantic. Hence somewhat limited dynamic cooling potential, even if we stay below freezing near 850mb. I think we have a N&W elevation storm coming.

It's just the sun angle, a few hours of clear skies and precip will cool us quickly with Td around 20F.

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Not sure how we cool down to 34F or so by tomorrow night. There isn't much CAA on tap and it now looks like the cold pool aloft will stay to our west since the trof doesn't tilt out over the Atlantic. Hence somewhat limited dynamic cooling potential, even if we stay below freezing near 850mb. I think we have a N&W elevation storm coming.

Strongly agree-we exceeded forecasts for today by a good 10 degrees-that has to mean something with no fresh cold supply coming in...reminds of the big Jan bust a few years back--it was close to 50 the day before and most places couldnt get cold enough and we know the rest....

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