IsentropicLift Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 don't look now but "quoz pazzo" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 guys, this was all expected.....very little chance of what the models were showing yesterday actually happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 don't look now but "quoz pazzo" There's a better chance of Gadaffi voluntarily stepping down and subsequently handing out candy to rebel schoolchildren than that storm occurring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 There's a better chance of Gadaffi voluntarily stepping down and subsequently handing out candy to rebel schoolchildren than that storm occurring. For once.......I agree with you, however it's on the new GFS and worth mentioning. Starts off too warm, then temps drop like a rock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I'm not trolling, I'm just inferring that the models are reaffirming my forecast. oh really? that was your forecast? could of fooled me with that elobrate forecast you put out there. come on dood. give it a rest. your becoming annoying now. before it was still funny. now youre just starting to look like a tool. and i dont think you are btw but grow up on the forums please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 For once.......I agree with you, however it's on the new GFS and worth mentioning. Starts off too warm, then temps drop like a rock. That's a ridiculous storm developing at 180, classic -EPO block with a 946mb Aleutian low, finally got one to bomb out up there. Really would be a beautiful hit with potential for every high winds. Ironically just tracks a bit too far west for NYC for a lot of the storm. 0C line straddles Westchester at 180. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 There's a better chance of Gadaffi voluntarily stepping down and subsequently handing out candy to rebel schoolchildren than that storm occurring. We get it, dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 There's a better chance of Gadaffi voluntarily stepping down and subsequently handing out candy to rebel schoolchildren than that storm occurring. The TMS (Tristate Model Suite) says we're getting buried next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 For the first part of the storm, the 850mb is mostly west over our area, however, since it closes off so far south and begins bombing, the 850's crash towards the coast and are already well offshore by hr 186 with the low just east of ACY and plenty of QPF left to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 12z GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 oh really? that was your forecast? could of fooled me with that elobrate forecast you put out there. come on dood. give it a rest. your becoming annoying now. before it was still funny. now youre just starting to look like a tool. and i dont think you are btw but grow up on the forums please. English please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 12z GEFS What about the prior frames? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I see..... 40s and rain for the city. With the cold air departing accumulating snow in NYC is beyond a long shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 What about the prior frames? At 36 hours, there is a 997 low just southeast of Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Time to stick a fork in this one--no cold air and even JB has tossed in the towel for the big cities.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 For the first part of the storm, the 850mb is mostly west over our area, however, since it closes off so far south and begins bombing, the 850's crash towards the coast and are already well offshore by hr 186 with the low just east of ACY and plenty of QPF left to fall. GFS has a couple of storms in the long range. It shows no warmup at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 GFS has a couple of storms in the long range. It shows no warmup at all. pazzo's nightmare....good to see I'm not the only one who thinks he is up for "turd of the year" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 pazzo's nightmare....good to see I'm not the only one who thinks he is up for "turd of the year" yep, because 150+ hrs on the GFS (or any model) is always a lock. Hope you don't wash away in the flooding!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Time to stick a fork in this one--no cold air and even JB has tossed in the towel for the big cities.... Not everyone in this subforum lives on the coast.. This is still gonna be a good event for areas 50+ miles NW of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I will tell you what, the 42 hr GFS ensemble mean is awesome, with a 991mb well off the coast and good precip and cold 850's below 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 yep, because 150+ hrs on the GFS (or any model) is always a lock. Hope you don't wash away in the flooding!! hope you don't melt in the rain.............or snow for that matter. If you think I'm taking the GFS seriously your an even bigger ***** than I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 At 36 hours, there is a 997 low just southeast of Hatteras. where is the 42hr map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I will tell you what, the 42 hr GFS ensemble mean is awesome, with a 991mb well off the coast and good precip and cold 850's below 0 Would you still forecast snow for NYC metro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 For the first part of the storm, the 850mb is mostly west over our area, however, since it closes off so far south and begins bombing, the 850's crash towards the coast and are already well offshore by hr 186 with the low just east of ACY and plenty of QPF left to fall. Rainstorm..like this one is gonna be..it's April gang..looking for some nice balmy springtime days already.It was a great winter, but now it's spring..opening day is tomorrow..change of seasons underway! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 where is the 42hr map? Raleigh doesn't have an hour 42 map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 The GFS ensemble mean is probably being skewed by a few members that came in super amplified. Either way its nice to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Rainstorm..like this one is gonna be..it's April gang..looking for some nice balmy springtime days already.It was a great winter, but now it's spring..opening day is tomorrow..change of seasons underway! If it's going to be way below average temps, might as well look for some snow. Besides not all of us live in the tropics on the coast, must be breaking out the ACs down in Brooklyn by now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 i think noreaster85 and pazzo should make their own arguement thread gfs ensemble mean take a more east track than the op but im losing hope on this one, for my area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Not everyone in this subforum lives on the coast.. This is still gonna be a good event for areas 50+ miles NW of the city. Agree, but 80% of the folks who post on this subforum won't see more than a driving rainstorm or non accumulating snow...so it's over for the vast majority.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 The GFS ensemble mean is probably being skewed by a few members that came in super amplified. Either way its nice to see. It's actually probably being skewed by a few OTS members. We need to see the individuals before saying whether the mean is actually a positive, here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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