NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Man, the 84 hr GFS ensembles are beautiful Care to post relevant images? :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 0z GGEM is just se of the BM . It's looks really nice. http://www.weatherof...SIC@012_084.jpg http://www.weatherof...SIC@012_096.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Man, State College gets wrecked on that run of the GFS. 15" of accumulated snow with ~20" having fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Making shovelers out of most inland folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 um.....CBB jackpot anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 um.....CBB jackpot anyone? thats a solid signal, 00z op is probly too amp'd up (i hope).. the low retrogrades and smacks right into DC... 00z euro is rollin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 thats a solid signal, 00z op is probly too amp'd up (i hope).. the low retrogrades and smacks right into DC... 00z euro is rollin gl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Euro looking more amplified at hr 60 for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Euro looking more amplified at hr 60 for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Is there a good site I can purchase ECMWF access? Having all the models except for the Euro is like building a house without your air compressor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Probably bordering on insanity at 90 hrs 984mb directly over the BM and most of the area is absolutely hammered. Looks like the DGEX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 ^^^ the song I had playin on pandora in the background of my iPhone matches that Perfectly!! Lmfao! Perfect track IMO, just a lack of precipitation being thrown back..Thickness' seem solid, as well as 850's though. John, how much precipitation you seeing back into NYC? On my iPhone, so my pix Arent the biggest. Sorry for any contradictory statements Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I was laughing at the GFS a couple days ago but perhaps I should have looked at things closer before doing so--Euro looks ominous on the free plots through 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Probably bordering on insanity at 90 hrs 984mb directly over the BM and most of the area is absolutely hammered. Looks like the DGEX. ^^ Forget it--sounds like the Euro is a big bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 2m temps are a bit warm given the time of day (18-21z) so we will have to check the soundings..but that was a pretty dramatic shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 The CCB absolutely hammers Southern New England at 96 hours..it's 976mb just NE of Cape Cod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 you know theres a chance when Baroclinic is in the house.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 2m temps are a bit warm given the time of day (18-21z) so we will have to check the soundings..but that was a pretty dramatic shift. Yep thought the same thing looking at it, but still a drastic step in the right direction. The maps are insane on the euro...playing catch up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 The Euro is showing insane dynamic cooling...the 2m temps are colder over the heavy precipitation. At 18z Friday it's 36 at LGA with heavy precip (likely snow) and nearly 40 at Morristown, NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 The CCB absolutely hammers Southern New England at 96 hours..it's 976mb just NE of Cape Cod Hr 96 is when H5 closes off at this time period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 84hr charts would have me rolling over in happiness in january..For now im just salivating at what this could become, its takes the same track as the last 3 major snowstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 The ghost of Aprils past: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 that just looks pretty, regardless..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Wow! I keep looking at all the data, that seems to be the only word that I can use to describe my reaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Decent model consensus starting to emerge now amongst Euro, UKMET, Canadian, and GFS ensemble. All show an intermediate solution and one that is close to what I see as the most likely solution. The 3rd and final shortwave doesn't catch up and phase until the storm is near Nova Scotia. When I say intermediate, I mean that this solution is between a fully phased one with an slower inland track and a 40 mb drop in 24 hours, and a totally suppressed out to sea one. Note: this is HPC's preferred solution as well: http://www.hpc.ncep....ons/pmdhmd.html ...SYSTEM INITIALLY JUST OFF THE PAC NW COAST... ...TROF AMPLIFYING INTO THE PLAINS/MS VLY WED-THU... ...SFC LOW NEAR THE MID ATLC COAST BY THU NIGHT... PREFERENCE: COMPROMISE AMONG THE ECMWF/UKMET/CMC/GEFS MEAN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Sounds like Apr 9-10, 1996 - that was a dynamic cooling special. It was 36F with light rain in Morristown, NJ and 36F with a light/rain snow mix in Newburgh, NY, while at the same time it was 33F with moderate to heavy snow in Islip, NY and Groton, CT. The Euro is showing insane dynamic cooling...the 2m temps are colder over the heavy precipitation. At 18z Friday it's 36 at LGA with heavy precip (likely snow) and nearly 40 at Morristown, NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 LOL, really? If the euro verified, would imagine 2m temps would be 1-2c cooler especially with the 500mb low position and the insane dynamics, could easily see it getting to 32-33 in the band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 RSM4 please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 6Z GFS looks like euro a touch colder at the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.