SUN 12z NAM showing Rn/Sn mix as far south as Charlotte for 3/28

[Gastonwxman]

0z NAM at 18hrs.

[superjames1992]

0z NAM is picking up on some pretty strong omega values.

[griteater]

GSP Disco...

AS OF 1030 PM...BASED ON TRENDS IN OBS AND LTST GUIDANCE...FCST

LOOKS ON TRACK. ONE NOTABLE EXCEPTION IS THAT THE 00Z GSO SNDG

SHOWED NO WARM NOSE...AND THE 850 MB ANALYSIS SHOWING A STRONG

BAROCLINIC ZONE ACRS THE CWA WITH VEERED (WSW) FLOW ON THE SOUTH

SIDE. BOTH THE 00Z NAM AND 18Z GFS FCST SNDGS OVR THE NRN TIER

COUNTIES SHOW LOW-MID TEMPS WET-BULBING TO ARND 0C. SO THINK IT WILL

BE JUST A RA/SN EVENT MONDAY MORNING. THE 00Z NAM STILL SHOWS STRONG

700 MB FRONTOGENESIS RIDING ACRS THE I-40 CORRIDOR. QPF IS SUSPECT

AS NAM DOES NOT SEEM TO BE INITIALIZING CONVECTION OVR THE LWR MS/TN

VLYS VERY WELL. BUT STILL THINK THERE WILL BE A QUICK SHOT OF

0.1-0.25" OF QPF AS A WAVE RIPPLES W TO E ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE

EARLY MONDAY MRNG. THE NRN MTNS AND SOME OF THE HIGH PEAKS OF THE

CENTRAL NC MTNS WILL BE ALL SNOW. OTHERWISE...IT IS DIFFICULT TO SAY

EXACTLY HOW MUCH OF A MIX THERE WILL BE. EVEN IF SOME PORTIONS OF

THE FOOTHILLS AND NW PIEDMONT GET A QUICK BAND OF ALL SNOW...IMPACT

SHUD BE VERY LOCALIZED AND MAINLY JUST A QUICK INCH OR SO ON GRASSY

SFCS. OF COURSE...THE TIMING IS BAD AS IT WILL BE RIGHT BEFORE OR

DURING MORNING RUSH. WITH ALL THAT SAID...THE WINTER WX ADV LOOKS

GOOD WELL PLACED.

[griteater]

[FoothillsNC]

GFS is meager on precip. Less than a tenth of liquid for GSO and CLT, and barely a tenth for most of the rest of nw NC. Major miss though for areas west of the Apps. Hard to believe so little qpf on this side of the Apps based on the radars.

[Jon]

WRAL did the ol switcharoo....

[superjames1992]

WRAL did the ol switcharoo....

Still pretty bullish, but reasonable. Given the convective nature of this, it wouldn't be surprising to find localized areas of much higher totals, though, IMO, but you can't really forecast where those bands will set up.

[FoothillsNC]

Still pretty bullish, but reasonable. Given the convective nature of this, it wouldn't be surprising to find localized areas of much higher totals, though, IMO, but you can't really forecast where those bands will set up.

very true. I've been reading reports from Mem and Mississippi tonight, good thunderstorm action and lots of hail. You can see it on radar, very active night around there, and all that is building, as it pushes east. I'm beginning to think there's going to be some wild reports in NC in the morning into VA as well. Snow with thunder is always cool..you get those HUGE flakes, so hopefully we'll get some good pics and vids tomorrow.

[feloniousq]

I like the newer map better anyway...I'd rather take my chances 15 miles from 1-2" instead of solidly inside Dusting-1".

I'd be tickled just to see some grass covered...White ground on December 4th, March 28th, and Christmas? That'd be one for the books.

[downeastnc]

Not sure what the setup was for this event but late March has seen one big one here....in fact its in the top 10 storms for totals around here.

[Jon]

Still pretty bullish, but reasonable. Given the convective nature of this, it wouldn't be surprising to find localized areas of much higher totals, though, IMO, but you can't really forecast where those bands will set up.

I agree. I'll have my kodak zi8 hd at state tomorrow for anything I see, a late march snow would be awesome and I'm sure catch a few people by surprise who don't watch the news.