North Balti Zen Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 What the hell were we thinking? We're Charlie Brown. 5-7 day snow threats are our football. The models are Lucy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 at this rate we'll probably flip from cold to 90s. Probably. The dreaded spring cancel where we go straight to summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Wow, that's a lot of cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 gfs has back to back coastal systems...i think there will be one...it will be big and a pattern changer...still could be some wintery weather north and west of dc and bmore....we shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 If you believe the GFS, there is no sign of persistent seasonable or above normal temps anytime in the next 1-2 weeks. Has next Monday near normal (mid/upper 50s) and below normal to well below normal otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Euro will come to our rescue..... or not. MDstorm Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Both storms will probably get robbed of moisture as convection fires across the Southeast. The second storm, IF (and that's a bit if) it can tighten up before it gets too far away, it could pull in some moisture off the Atlantic and save some of the QPF. If you believe the GFS, there is no sign of persistent seasonable or above normal temps anytime in the next 1-2 weeks. Has next Monday near normal (mid/upper 50s) and below normal to well below normal otherwise. We should be getting into a longer mild/warm pattern starting next week... +AO, +/neutral NAO and -PNA all spell Southeast ridge. GFS keeps showing the SE ridge but makes it more transient than it will end up being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 We should be getting into a longer mild/warm pattern starting next week... +AO, +/neutral NAO and -PNA all spell Southeast ridge. GFS keeps showing the SE ridge but makes it more transient than it will end up being. Agreed...teleconnections are favorable for warmth going forward. GFS wants to keep the boundary nearby though, which prevents us from cashing in on that warmth though through about 360hr. Not saying it's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Where the eff is my 65 degree normal temps for a high this time of the year. This wx really blows monkey balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 time to start looking for a 240 hr threat. we get lots of snow in april. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 looks like euro is hanging on to the 1st storm love has heavy wet snow for the burbs of DC on Wednesday evening. WED 18Z 30-MAR 6.2 -2.1 1020 60 100 0.02 559 543 THU 00Z 31-MAR 1.0 -1.6 1017 99 99 0.56 557 544 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 IAD WED 18Z 30-MAR 6.2 -2.1 1020 60 100 0.02 559 543T THU 00Z 31-MAR 1.0 -1.6 1017 99 99 0.56 557 544 THU 06Z 31-MAR 0.6 -0.5 1013 99 96 0.17 554 544 THU 12Z 31-MAR 0.7 -0.7 1012 98 21 0.05 553 543 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 EURO laughs at the 2nd storm idea. Hard to believe it could be wrong at this stage right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 famartin in the philly thread pooh-poohing the idea of that being heavy wet snow for the I-95 area in the Philly thread... Precip looks pretty light and sfc temps are mid 30s so I tend to think its either rain or non-accumulating snow on the EC verbatim along I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 famartin in the philly thread pooh-poohing the idea of that being heavy wet snow for the I-95 area in the Philly thread... who cares about famartin...philly is warmer for this storm than the DC burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 famartin in the philly thread pooh-poohing the idea of that being heavy wet snow for the I-95 area in the Philly thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Fair enough, I see he clarified subsequently that was for I-95 philly area as opposed to what he wrote which looked like "EC" and I took to mean "East Coast". At any rate, not having access to the Euro while at work, awesome smiley icon. Thanks for the input. I will go back to drawing up the Euro in my mind...WOW, what is that, 4 inches of QPF???? That's gonna be FOUR FEET of snow!!!! (My mind is running crazy, folks! Crazy!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 EURO laughs at the 2nd storm idea. Hard to believe it could be wrong at this stage right? it is pretty consistent with keying in ont he 1st one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Fair enough, I see he clarified that was for I-95 philly area as opposed to what he wrote which looked like "EC" and I took to mean "East Coast". At any rate, not having access to the Euro while at work, awesome smiley icon. Thanks for the input. I simply thought your post was funny, probably the best post of the day because famartin has a history of downplaying stuff and he is usually right because of climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 anyone have the Euro MOS numbers for BWI? thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 I simply thought your post was funny, probably the best post of the day because famartin has a history of downplaying stuff and he is usually right because of climo. Okay, thanks. Wasn't sure what I was missing, and don't have a ready memory list-serve for each red taggers proclivities with regard to snow threats... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 anyone have the Euro MOS numbers for BWI? thanks you want to be west for this one..not E or NE WED 12Z 30-MAR 0.6 -2.0 1024 66 59 0.00 559 540 WED 18Z 30-MAR 8.8 -2.5 1020 46 98 0.00 559 543 THU 00Z 31-MAR 1.6 -2.1 1017 99 98 0.49 557 543 THU 06Z 31-MAR 1.2 -0.5 1013 99 96 0.21 554 544 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 It's March 28. Bring on the 60s. Not trying to eek out another dusting of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 How cold is the 850 layer east of I-95, on the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Surface temps are 40ish and most of the precip comes through in the afternoon, so its likely rain or wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 28, 2011 Author Share Posted March 28, 2011 NOGAPS. Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 you want to be west for this one..not E or NE WED 12Z 30-MAR 0.6 -2.0 1024 66 59 0.00 559 540 WED 18Z 30-MAR 8.8 -2.5 1020 46 98 0.00 559 543 THU 00Z 31-MAR 1.6 -2.1 1017 99 98 0.49 557 543 THU 06Z 31-MAR 1.2 -0.5 1013 99 96 0.21 554 544 thanks yeah, I figured as much that's always the case this late in the year (not that this is a lock right now for anyone by any stretch) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 You know that they say... Euro and Nogaps, time for snow laps! Btw, fun battle between the Euro and NAM/GFS on the week's weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 you want to be west for this one..not E or NE WED 12Z 30-MAR 0.6 -2.0 1024 66 59 0.00 559 540 WED 18Z 30-MAR 8.8 -2.5 1020 46 98 0.00 559 543 THU 00Z 31-MAR 1.6 -2.1 1017 99 98 0.49 557 543 THU 06Z 31-MAR 1.2 -0.5 1013 99 96 0.21 554 544 Sorry, what do these numbers mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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