psuhoffman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 is that what the euro is showing? not really. the comma head becomes pronounced as you get toward ne md and northeast but looking at the maps it looks like only a very little at the end would be snow -- probably non accumulating -- and overall the euro isnt that intense down this way. maybe phl north.. maybe. I looked at the numericals for the EUro...it implies 2-3" of snow up my way in the higher elevations of northern MD at the tail end. Ammounts increase NEward from there. Surface temps are way too warm in the DC/Baltimore area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I looked at the numericals for the EUro...it implies 2-3" of snow up my way in the higher elevations of northern MD at the tail end. Ammounts increase NEward from there. Surface temps are way too warm in the DC/Baltimore area. I know the forecast you are referring to is tomorrow's, but you wouldn't think it was going to snow, even in NE with these kind of surface temps http://weather.unisy...face/sfc_ne.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I looked at the numericals for the EUro...it implies 2-3" of snow up my way in the higher elevations of northern MD at the tail end. Ammounts increase NEward from there. Surface temps are way too warm in the DC/Baltimore area. makes sense.. the 0c 850s dont back that far west but are west of balt most of the storm. henry m is another one who would not be employed in any other career choice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I know the forecast you are referring to is tomorrow's, but you wouldn't think it was going to snow, even in NE with these kind of surface temps http://weather.unisy...face/sfc_ne.gif i would think most places outside elevation and too far east won't be terribly thrilled with the outcome. my old home looks like a sweetspot for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I know the forecast you are referring to is tomorrow's, but you wouldn't think it was going to snow, even in NE with these kind of surface temps http://weather.unisy...face/sfc_ne.gif I did not give a forecast, I gave what the model output was. I don't necessarily believe it. Looking at the 2 reporting stations just south and just north of my area the EUro spits out about .4 liquid with surface temps around 33 and colder air aloft. This would imply a couple inches of wet snow, especially given the 2 reporting stations are relatively low compared to some of the terrain. I am at 1000 feet, some spots are around 1100 along the PA border up here, and the resporting stations used are 600 and 800 feet. There is a reason I average 38 inches and Baltimore only 19. Different world. I would agree, outside areas with elevation (above like 750 feet) you probably have to get up northeast of Reading PA before there are any real accumulations at lower elevations on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 JB and Henry M. bust hugely (many even bigger than this one coming) nearly every single week. Somehow they continue to be employed. If I was incredibly wrong 75% of the time I would be fired and blacklisted in my industry. Good or bad, people in the entertainment industry only fail or become irrelevant when people stop talking about them. Clearly that's far from the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I did not give a forecast, I gave what the model output was. I don't necessarily believe it. Looking at the 2 reporting stations just south and just north of my area the EUro spits out about .4 liquid with surface temps around 33 and colder air aloft. This would imply a couple inches of wet snow, especially given the 2 reporting stations are relatively low compared to some of the terrain. I am at 1000 feet, some spots are around 1100 along the PA border up here, and the resporting stations used are 600 and 800 feet. There is a reason I average 38 inches and Baltimore only 19. Different world. I would agree, outside areas with elevation (above like 750 feet) you probably have to get up northeast of Reading PA before there are any real accumulations at lower elevations on the Euro. I didn't say you gave a forecast. I said the forecast you were referring to i.e. the Euro. maybe I should have said: but one wouldn't think it was going to snow, even in NE with these kind of surface temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I didn't say you gave a forecast. I said the forecast you were referring to i.e. the Euro. maybe I should have said: but one wouldn't think it was going to snow, even in NE with these kind of surface temps I don't know its snowing here right now and 32 degrees... about an inch so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 12z Euro Backs the 540 line across the Bay, with .15 or so falling after the 540 passes the I95 corridor BWI/DCA, more N, less S. I'd think we see Some flakes if that were to occur, knowing its Warm Surface Bias. Tho for some reason i doubt we see anything but rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Sleeting in Pikesville. JB's newly updated map has me in the 3-6 range. I'm strapped in and ready. MDstorm I am in JB's 3-6 sweeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeet..... hopefully i can get .01 ian http://www.weatherbe...=blog_home_page Did his map change since this was posted? Because neither Leesburg or western Howard County is within 50mi of the dark blue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Did his map change since this was posted? Because neither Leesburg or western Howard County is within 50mi of the dark blue. You have to read the map text. The color scale on his new map has 3-6 inches in the light blue area. Dark blue is 6-12 and pink is 12+ . MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I don't know its snowing here right now and 32 degrees... about an inch so far. meh, haven't seen a flake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 sleeting in annapolis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Did his map change since this was posted? Because neither Leesburg or western Howard County is within 50mi of the dark blue. 3-6 is light blue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Let's all wish SNE well on the 0z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 NAM 00z coming on Wetter? Looks better @ 18 EDIT: more Conjogulated? Better @ hr30 Haha Look at SNE Thats a dream scenario. Now if we could just get this thing Deeper like the Euro has it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 That's tonight's run. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 need glasses brah? EDIT: Good idea deleting Mitchnick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 NAM 00z coming on Wetter? Looks better @ 18 EDIT: more Conjogulated? Better @ hr30 Haha Look at SNE Thats a dream scenario. Now if we could just get this thing Deeper like the Euro has it... 850s above zero outside of elevated sections. Surface temps above zero back to ORH. Sounds like a SNE HECS to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 they are jumping off the Tobin Br in SNE. This is a ORH and north and west special. Poor Kav and Ray, I feel bad for them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Have the urge to troll the sh*t out of the SNE thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 850s above zero outside of elevated sections. Surface temps above zero back to ORH. Sounds like a SNE HECS to me. You guys weren't wishing hard enough for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 they are jumping off the Tobin Br in SNE. This is a ORH and north and west special. Poor Kav and Ray, I feel bad for them Anyone could see that coming a mile away. CT Blizz still thinks every low pressure area within 500 miles of his house will give him a HECS. He is their Ji. Even does the same pessimistic nasty turn when he decides to bail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Have the urge to troll the sh*t out of the SNE thread Unlike in this forum, they have mods that delete trolling immediately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Anyone could see that coming a mile away. CT Blizz still thinks every low pressure area within 500 miles of his house will give him a HECS. He is their Ji. Even does the same pessimistic nasty turn when he decides to bail. somebody hit the nail on the head up there when they said the models shifted once the kicker was properly sampled over the Canadian NW that has been the story all year and explains why just about every system that at one point or another modeled as giving us decent snow had it pulled away once the kicker was properly sampled I just hope I can remember this post next winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Unlike in this forum, they have mods that delete trolling immediately. and I think we know why too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Unlike in this forum, they have mods that delete trolling immediately. Yep found that out such dipsh*ts when they get firehosed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Yep found that out such dipsh*ts when they get firehosed. my complaint last year they could never handle living down here and then act like they could and we just whine too much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 We should have realized once Wes left to go fishing winter was over. Has that guy ever really been wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 my complaint last year they could never handle living down here and then act like they could and we just whine too much Jesus, can anyone let go of the regional wars, who gives an eff, they get snow more than we do, everyone knows that. It is climate. Let them do their thing and the people here can do their thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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