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March 30 and April Fools Day Potential


stormtracker

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If you had posted this in the equivalent thread in the NYC forum, you would have been blindsided by about 15 weenie hall of famers.

we've held onto this crappy winter long enough time to let it die!!

next week looks mostly (edit: near/below) avg on the euro.. 50s to near 60.

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I think a good climo call would be the way to go here at this point and that's what Sterling is going with. Snow on the ridges, rain or rain/snow mix elsewhere (bullish for rn/sn). Mostly rain for the 2 events east of RT 15. I don't buy any model at this point. JB and LC are pushing it. 48 and sunny now, baby!

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With this last "event", NAM and Euro both advertised little or nada for DC and points north. GFS and GGEM kept us in snow. Remind me who was right?

euro/nam combo is usually tough to beat within 2-3 days or so. the nam is bouncy tho.. perhaps it will fall into line on the first system next run.

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Looking at historical climo for my area, I am more worried about precip then temps, these situations usually work out up here if the precip is heavy. If heavy precip stays south/east then it wont.

JB says 500-1,500 feet. 6-12" for you. congrats.

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There have been 6 storms at DC since 1888 in the 3-6" range (well, none have made it to 6") Mar 30 or later. 4 happened in April. The most recent was 1964, the rest were all pre 1925.

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