Ji Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 hard to believe the NAM would bust on tomorrow storm being that its tomorrow but who knows anymore. If there is a chance for us to get snow screwed..we will be snow screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 00z RGEM and GGEM blast the WV/VA border area with both storms and give DC and Balt lots of love with the 2nd storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I think it's going to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 NAM really starts cranking at 84 hrs look at those UVV's in SVA and compare 78 with 84...bomb in the making http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer//nam/12/nam_700072084_l.shtml p.s. not sayin' its right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 00z RGEM and GGEM blast the WV/VA border area with both storms and give DC and Balt lots of love with the 2nd storm. you mean 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 NAM really starts cranking at 84 hrs look at those UVV's in SVA and compare 78 with 84...bomb in the making http://www.nco.ncep....0072084_l.shtml p.s. not sayin' its right if its a bomb..its not a bomb that we will partake in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 We have been tracking snow now in Nov,Dec,Jan,Feb,March,April...almost half the year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 if its a bomb..its not a bomb that we will partake in the nam has a completely different solution every run.. who cares what it shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 To echo others, so is the NAM. If it is a NAM based question, Saturday (not so much Friday) into Sunday. But I am guessing that if the NAM is right, it really is not much of anything with the weekend event. I am guessing the NAM is not right. I expect light nothing mid-week and rain on the weekend while snow happens north of us. That is based on my soon-to-be-patented ZEN model. Which is basically green blotches thrown at a map in my head... Nice - where can I sign up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 We have been tracking snow now in Nov,Dec,Jan,Feb,March,April...almost half the year! Yes and here in North East Baltimore... we have gotten one storm over 6 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 the nam has a completely different solution every run.. who cares what it shows The NAM held point over last weekend storm... yes the QPF was lighter than was depicted... but the track was right on. The GFS gave 21236 .1 to .25 of QPF and the NAM said nothing. We got nothing. The NAM has been the best model since the DEC 26th storm. Anyone north of DC will not see anything this weekend. The storm will pass to the south and harmlessly out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 you mean 12z? 12z's not out yet. RGEM is running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I think it's going to snow Whoa, now it is going to snow, your here Anyone tell me what the latest date for snow in DCA is. All I can find is May 10 1906 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Whoa, now it is going to snow, your here Anyone tell me what the latest date for snow in DCA is. All I can find is May 10 1906 May 9th 1923 for Baltimore April/May 1923: Oakland in Garret County reached a low temperature of -2� and Grantsville -3�F. On May 9th, 2 to 3 inches of snow fell over Garret County with flurries and light sleet across the northern section east of the Allegany Mountain region to the bay. Baltimore recorded a trace of snow. This remains the latest date snow has been seen in Baltimore. With temperatures falling below freezing on the 9th, fruit buds on trees and Strawberries in Garret County were damaged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 We have been tracking snow now in Nov,Dec,Jan,Feb,March,April...almost half the year! Only Jan and Feb have panned out up to this point however...Flakes should fly for a lot of areas tomorrow, but im weary about accumulation factors east of rt 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Looking at the 48 hour RGEM its about to go bombs away for the Friday system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 RGEM keeps the precip light over us late Wednesday and early Thursday. Can't tell on precip type, but thicknesses look marginal/borderline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 The NAM held point over last weekend storm... yes the QPF was lighter than was depicted... but the track was right on. The GFS gave 21236 .1 to .25 of QPF and the NAM said nothing. We got nothing. The NAM has been the best model since the DEC 26th storm. Anyone north of DC will not see anything this weekend. The storm will pass to the south and harmlessly out to sea. sounds like selective memory to me. the nam is good with some things but when it's not consistent and does not fit near any consensus idea it should probably be discounted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Looking at the 48 hour RGEM its about to go bombs away for the Friday system. Hows tomorrow look? I know we're all caught up on the big storm idea, but areas could pick up a few inches tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Current Soil Temperatures http://www.greencast...ilTempMaps.aspx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Hows tomorrow look? I know we're all caught up on the big storm idea, but areas could pick up a few inches tomorrow. which areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 RGEM color map for 36hr http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/12_054_R1_north@america_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_036.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 gfs has some nice chilly rain for storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 gfs has some nice chilly rain for storm 1 its warmer than the other models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 its warmer than the other models cool.. enjoy your snow thump tomorrow. be very sure to take pics so we can all see how awesome it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 cool.. enjoy your snow thump tomorrow. be very sure to take pics so we can all see how awesome it is. im not saying i dont buy it...it just seems like its always a bit warmer in the short range than the other high resolution models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 LWX is going to hoist advisories for areas west of 81 soon enough, going with 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 . Anyone north of DC will not see anything this weekend. The storm will pass to the south and harmlessly out to sea. Keep us posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 gfs has some nice chilly rain for storm 1 There could be some flakes at first Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 im not saying i dont buy it...it just seems like its always a bit warmer in the short range than the other high resolution models there's not a lot of cold air so we need big vv etc. the nam seems sorta on its own with making the first system anythnig to write home about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.