Ji Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 3:53 PM, Ian said: cool.. enjoy your snow thump tomorrow. be very sure to take pics so we can all see how awesome it is. i love nor'easter where the zero suface line inst even in our country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:01 PM, mapgirl18 said: There could be some flakes at first maybe.. i have not looked at soundings. the maps look quite marginal especially at the surface, plus it will be during the day. so any mangled rainflake wouldnt do much most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:02 PM, Ji said: i love nor'easter where the zero suface line inst even in our country the storm will create its own cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 remember how well the models did with surface temps on sunday a few days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:07 PM, Ian said: remember how well the models did with surface temps on sunday a few days out. the surface temps being cold were dependent on heavier qpf which never happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 this would of been a great storm on on Jan 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Expectations should be set at a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:11 PM, PhineasC said: Expectations should be set at a dusting. Or maybe a cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 60-66 850s nice.. but surface will probably be in the mid 30s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:09 PM, Ji said: the surface temps being cold were dependent on heavier qpf which never happened to a point though they were probably still cold by a factor of 5 degrees or so given what places south saw for highs that did not get much sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 Other than the obvious..not sure what to make of the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:14 PM, stormtracker said: Other than the obvious..not sure what to make of the GFS its april. we need this to fall at night and be very heavy for us to get to that magical inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:13 PM, yoda said: 60-66 850s nice.. but surface will probably be in the mid 30s looks like rain dc/balt.. maybe some flakes to end. we need 110% of things to come together right here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_p24_078l.gif Pretty sure this will be a cold rain... but 850 low goes east of us at 60 and 66 -- http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_850_066l.gif and the 540 isotherm parallels I-95 or just slightly east at 66 -- http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_slp_066l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:03 PM, Ian said: maybe.. i have not looked at soundings. the maps look quite marginal especially at the surface, plus it will be during the day. so any mangled rainflake wouldnt do much most likely. flurries = flakes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:15 PM, Ian said: looks like rain dc/balt.. maybe some flakes to end. we need 110% of things to come together right here. surface temps are about 32.5 to 33 during the height of the storm. I think we will see flakes fall during the heavy parts of the storm even in DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:17 PM, mapgirl18 said: flurries = flakes? i think so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 lets check on our facebook Mets Lawrence Cosgrove 12z GFS version shows a significant snow event for I-95 corridor between Washington DC and Providence RI (rain for Boston on this run). Wind is an issue too. Map will be put up shortly... Davis Tolleris JB going nuts with snowfall amounts wrt the APRIL 1 NE snowstorm again I see... 1 to 3 " in DCA and BWI??? come on Joe... remeber you use to NOT like the GFS right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I'd rather it didn't snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:20 PM, Ji said: lets check on our facebook Mets Lawrence Cosgrove 12z GFS version shows a significant snow event for I-95 corridor between Washington DC and Providence RI (rain for Boston on this run). Wind is an issue too. Map will be put up shortly... Davis Tolleris JB going nuts with snowfall amounts wrt the APRIL 1 NE snowstorm again I see... 1 to 3 " in DCA and BWI??? come on Joe... remeber you use to NOT like the GFS right? there's a reason they're mainly facebook forecasters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 FWIW On 3/29/2011 at 4:18 PM, ag3 said: Yeah. Here is UKIE surface and 850: 72 hour Ukie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:19 PM, Ian said: i think so? sorry - my joke failed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:21 PM, yoda said: FWIW congrats interior southern new york? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:22 PM, Ian said: congrats interior southern new york? I couldn't get 60 but it looks like the 850s would be at least cold enough for us on the panel before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:21 PM, yoda said: FWIW why are you showing us a pic of a storm that has already passed our latitude? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:24 PM, Ji said: why are you showing us a pic of a storm that has already passed our latitude? Cause i was showing where the 850s were... sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:25 PM, yoda said: Cause i was showing where the 850s were... sorry the 850's after the storm passes are irrelevant for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I feel like the NAM is Randy Jackson, the GFS is Paula Abdul and the Euro is Simon and nobody really cares till Simon gives his input Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:26 PM, Ji said: the 850's after the storm passes are irrelevant for us Well then find 60 for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaSnow Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 On 3/29/2011 at 4:20 PM, mattie g said: I'd rather it didn't snow. Snow or no snow, all I ask is that we be precipitation free between 6:00 am and 5:00 pm Thursday. Is this asking too much? Opening Day at Nats Park will be so much more enjoyable if it's dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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