Powerball Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 at the 18z GFS, ain't gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 at the 18z GFS, ain't gonna happen. Probably not, but don't lie. You WISH it would happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 Probably not, but don't lie. You WISH it would happen. I'm in severe weather/SE ridge summer mode right now, any significant snowstorm at this point is at a distinct premium. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 I give it a 0.00000001% happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 I give it a 0.00000001% happening. better chance than lloyd getting with mary swanson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 better chance than lloyd getting with mary swanson actually it's a lot worse. Stebo's percentage translates into about 1 in 10 billion I think. Mary gave Lloyd a 1 in a million shot. Good news is that I think Stebo's exaggerating a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 Good news is that I think Stebo's exaggerating a bit. lol, I thought that was an optimistic probability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 I think there's going to be some sort of storm threat...HM (the good one, not Accuweather) has been mentioning mid-April as a last hurrah for winter with a -NAO developing and an Archembault-style storm as we see a major pattern change over the North Atlantic. We have that big block over Alaska which is funneling a wintry airmass into Central/Eastern Canada, an absolute necessity at this time of year. Here is a look at the -EPO shown on the GFS at Day 9, not to mention GFS ENS and ECM ENS also have the signal: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 Do you realize talking about snow in mid April is like talking about summer heat in mid October? There is a time to let it go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 Do you realize talking about snow in mid April is like talking about summer heat in mid October? There is a time to let it go. Hey, if it comes, it comes, and there's nothing wrong with enjoying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 Friday, April 8th: Hi: 46F Lo: 42F Overall Sky Conditions: Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 11MPH Rainfall: 0.49" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 Do you realize talking about snow in mid April is like talking about summer heat in mid October? There is a time to let it go. Beats talking about 90% chances of severe weather fail and cold rain here in april.. Not like anything I want to grow matters until the end of may. Let it be cold and snowy through april.. at least with snow you don't need an umbrella for a april walk to any destination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 Back to reality. GFS looks more like the EURO now with the arctic front stalling much further to the NW. Nice hit of IA and MN though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 9, 2011 Author Share Posted April 9, 2011 I'm expecting our temp progression tomorrow to be something like this 2 PM: 82 5 PM: 86 8 PM: 83 11 PM: 77 2 AM: 75 I doubt I'll be correct on the exact numbers but it should be close. Not gonna go past 2 AM since that's about the time our chances for storms really go up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 Back to reality. GFS looks more like the EURO now with the arctic front stalling much further to the NW. Nice hit of IA and MN though. Yeaa almost every fasntasy storm this winter hasn't worked out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iastfan112 Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 Woot, first 80 degree days this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 Lmao at the 18z gfs. Josh what's the latest Detroit has seen a 8 inch + snowstorm? lol I saw that 18z run. The latest official 8"+ snowstorm is the Apr 6, 1886 snowbomb of 24.5". However, it should be noted that during the insane May 9, 1923 snowstorm, when Detroit saw 6", there were reports of 9-12" as close as the Ann Arbor region. Either way you look at it, while snowflakes that late are not uncommon, a big snow would be, though not unheard of. Even go back to 2005..the Apr 23-24th storm dropped "only" 4.3" at DTW (still VERY impressive and a record for 4/24)...there was up to 16" in northern Oakland county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 Although it is very nice out, it's pretty disappointing that we have only managed to hit 70 degrees this afternoon. The NWS and the locals forecasted mid to upper 70s. It has been in the low 80s across southern Iowa for several hours, but the warm front didn't shoot north as fast as I was hoping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted April 10, 2011 Share Posted April 10, 2011 DGEX gives upper WI and the U.P. of MI some kinda epic 60" snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 10, 2011 Share Posted April 10, 2011 DGEX gives upper WI and the U.P. of MI some kinda epic 60" snowstorm That's all I'm going to say. What a week that would be for those areas. I'm glad I'm not expecting any snow the rest of the year. If I get some, it's a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted April 10, 2011 Share Posted April 10, 2011 Crazy. SW MI saw sun and a high in the low-mid 60s today, while here in SE MI we saw not a single ray of sun here today, very murky overcast, with a max temp at DTW of 49F (a solid 10-12F below forecast highs). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 10, 2011 Author Share Posted April 10, 2011 6z NAM progging over 65 knots at 850 mb / 50 knots at 925 mb here at 6z with a weakly stable layer near the surface which may not be there in reality. Could get a little interesting with some strong gusts later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted April 10, 2011 Share Posted April 10, 2011 Per usual, models too far north with the propogation of nocturnal convection. Blob over me was progged to be 300 miles further north. Gonna have a huge impact on temps today. No way we get deep into the 60s with rain. Even if the rain stops quickly, debris clouds are going to keep temps in check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 10, 2011 Share Posted April 10, 2011 I'm expecting our temp progression tomorrow to be something like this 2 PM: 82 5 PM: 86 8 PM: 83 11 PM: 77 2 AM: 75 I doubt I'll be correct on the exact numbers but it should be close. Not gonna go past 2 AM since that's about the time our chances for storms really go up. Probably need to bump all those up a couple of degrees. LAF sitting at 77º at 11AM (73.9º on my thermometer). Hottest temp in the state currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted April 10, 2011 Share Posted April 10, 2011 So....who wants to make a thread for next weekends outbreak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
River Card Posted April 10, 2011 Share Posted April 10, 2011 Guess we better enjoy this, the 6z run of the gfs has something like 3 or 4 days, day and night below freezing. Sure it's overdone, but the looks of that 16 day run is nothing but late Feb early Mar weather. Is the NAO gonna take a sh*t and plummet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 10, 2011 Share Posted April 10, 2011 already in the low 80s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 10, 2011 Share Posted April 10, 2011 already in the low 80s Aren't you going to the beach? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 10, 2011 Share Posted April 10, 2011 the dog and I hit up the dog beach an hour or so ago, water is so cold it hurts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 10, 2011 Author Share Posted April 10, 2011 Probably need to bump all those up a couple of degrees. LAF sitting at 77º at 11AM (73.9º on my thermometer). Hottest temp in the state currently. Welp, 83 at 2 PM, one degree higher than my call. Given the thermal profiles we should top out around 86 or 87. Our late evening decrease is tricky given the strong southerly flow...could see us being a little warmer than the numbers I have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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