Stevo6899 Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Gotta love the bullseye with precip (todays rain in SE MI) just after the winter season. Never fails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Boy, the NAM and GFS are on different planets regarding our temperature late Friday into Saturday. Both models show a surge of very warm air aloft during that period, with 850 temps up to 15C. However, while the GFS also surges the surface front north and brings in low 60s by Saturday morning and 70 by noon, the NAM keeps the surface front way south and has Iowa stuck in the 30s Saturday morning. I can't believe it would be that cold at the surface given the torch aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Boy, the NAM and GFS are on different planets regarding our temperature late Friday into Saturday. Both models show a surge of very warm air aloft during that period, with 850 temps up to 15C. However, while the GFS also surges the surface front north and brings in low 60s by Saturday morning and 70 by noon, the NAM keeps the surface front way south and has Iowa stuck in the 30s Saturday morning. I can't believe it would be that cold at the surface given the torch aloft. Yeah 15c at 850 I'd bet my house its not in the 30s at the surface, especially with WAA occurring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 It would be a hoot if despite the cold March we still end up with a torchy spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 It would be a hoot if despite the cold March we still end up with a torchy spring. If we keep the +NAO/+AO going like it is now, the sky is the limit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 If we keep the +NAO/+AO going like it is now, the sky is the limit. The very -PNA is really the kicker too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 lol It's snowing now due to wet-bulb cooing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 lol It's snowing now due to wet-bulb cooing. Just had some of the largest Flakes ive seen in long time. Ping Pong Ball size. Had Thundersnow/Mix about 10 mins ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Gotta love the bullseye with precip (todays rain in SE MI) just after the winter season. Never fails. Thanks for reminding us..LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Thanks for reminding us..LOL All rain here all day from about 9 am to 5pm. Never let up all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Gotta love the bullseye with precip (todays rain in SE MI) just after the winter season. Never fails. We were the bullseye for several snowfalls as well this winter (Feb 5, Feb 20). The thing is, this was by no means an "exciting" rain, it was just a steady, cold rain. Nothing heavy. Just very steady from about 5am-10pm. If it were a snowstorm, it would be one of those long duration snowstormns where visib never falls below 3/4 mile but throughout an entire day an appreciable amount of snow piles up. Had 0.79" imby, exact match to DTW. Was at work so dont know if any snow mixed in, I guess Ill say no since DTW didnt report any. Actually, DTW didnt report sleet on Sunday as I did, or snow yesterday. So while Ive had two negligible trace events, they are officially at 0 on the month. How ironic for the 6th snowiest winter on record to have no measurable Nov/Apr snow (if that ends up the case..April has a LONG way to go). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 We were the bullseye for several snowfalls as well this winter (Feb 5, Feb 20). The thing is, this was by no means an "exciting" rain, it was just a steady, cold rain. Nothing heavy. Just very steady from about 5am-10pm. If it were a snowstorm, it would be one of those long duration snowstormns where visib never falls below 3/4 mile but throughout an entire day an appreciable amount of snow piles up. Had 0.79" imby, exact match to DTW. Was at work so dont know if any snow mixed in, I guess Ill say no since DTW didnt report any. Actually, DTW didnt report sleet on Sunday as I did, or snow yesterday. So while Ive had two negligible trace events, they are officially at 0 on the month. How ironic for the 6th snowiest winter on record to have no measurable Nov/Apr snow (if that ends up the case..April has a LONG way to go). Feb 5 was a small compact storm and it was only 6 inches but i guess it was a bullseye. Also feb 20 we did well with 10 but 16-20 were reported in minnesota and upper midwest so we weren't in the bullseye. Either way was a damn good winter considering the dry spell from dec 12 to jan 12th and as you stated no snow in april/nov. Warm up already. Can't take many more days like today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Wednesday, April 6th: Hi: 57F Lo: 40F Overall Sky Conditions: Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 17MPH Rainfall: Trace Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Feb 5 was a small compact storm and it was only 6 inches but i guess it was a bullseye. Also feb 20 we did well with 10 but 16-20 were reported in minnesota and upper midwest so we weren't in the bullseye. Either way was a damn good winter considering the dry spell from dec 12 to jan 12th and as you stated no snow in april/nov. Warm up already. Can't take many more days like today. Yes, upper 30s and rain is about as bad a combo as you can get. Today (well as I type its 1205am, so yesterday)...125th anniversary of the most paralyzing snowstorm on record to strike Detroit. http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dtx/1886-1974.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Well I made a bit of mistake with the root and altered most of my files so I had to reinstall the OS but what was the FSU ukmet link, it's really the only one I can't google to get. Thanks in advance Hoosier or whoever else posts it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Well I made a bit of mistake with the root and altered most of my files so I had to reinstall the OS but what was the FSU ukmet link, it's really the only one I can't google to get. Thanks in advance Hoosier or whoever else posts it. ukmet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 ukmet merci beaucoup at least now I have my links, now rebuilding my libraries and programs.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 15-18"? Is the DGEX serial? I don't think a single fantasy run during the heart of the winter showed that much snow. GFS is sort of on board as well. Don't care that it's mid April. I want this to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 If this happens it's just not right to have a big snowstorm in Mid April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 7, 2011 Author Share Posted April 7, 2011 Models showing some really warm air aloft on Sunday with good mixing. Still a bit uncertain just how deep we will mix with current indications somewhere near 850 mb. My first guess for LAF is 86. If we can mix just a bit more, then upper 80's wouldn't be out of the question. I also predict that we won't drop below 75 overnight Sunday until the storms hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Hoping the rain tomorrow stays south as shown on the NAM so the tigers home opener can be played. If the GFS verifies, could be a soggy day at the ball park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 7, 2011 Author Share Posted April 7, 2011 Crazy map for April 10 and it's probably underdone in places. Look at the vast expanse of 80+ temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 If this happens it's just not right to have a big snowstorm in Mid April. Btw, I was semi-joking with this comment, but in any event, the 15th is my 21st birthday, so a snowstorm in that time frame would make up for any previous misses this winter, just to see a surprise white birthday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 I'm gonna go out on a limb and say St. Louis hits 94 Sunday. Looks like we'll be pushing the upper 80s here. Hard to believe we had a major snowstorm on that date back in '97. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Going to bake on Sunday. First call... MKE 86 ORD 87 RFD 84 IND 85 VERY WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA WITH 850 TEMPS INTO THE TEENS. 12Z NAM SHOWS 23C AT 925 MILLIBARS WITH NO PREFRONTAL CONVECTION. THIS TRANSLATES TO TEMPS IN THE MID 80S. And you guys thought I was off my rocker. Not trying to pat myself on the back here, but I think I at least deserve to be heard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 VERY WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA WITH 850 TEMPS INTO THE TEENS. 12Z NAM SHOWS 23C AT 925 MILLIBARS WITH NO PREFRONTAL CONVECTION. THIS TRANSLATES TO TEMPS IN THE MID 80S. And you guys thought I was off my rocker. Not trying to pat myself on the back here, but I think I at least deserve to be heard. You should get your Met tag back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Crazy map for April 10 and it's probably underdone in places. Look at the vast expanse of 80+ temps I'll believe those warm temps when I feel them. Seems we've been north of warm fronts here in MIchiana all spring so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Skilling is going with 88 for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Looks like we will be right on the fence of seeing 85-90 or 70-75 on sunday here just north of metro detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.