Stebo Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 1816? Highly doubtful. Maybe 1992? Even at that there were other things governing that summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 30, 2011 Author Share Posted March 30, 2011 Maybe 1992? Even at that there were other things governing that summer. Yeah that's probably the year he meant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Hi folks! First post. The latest GFS shows some mild air flowing in from the southwest for the middle of next week following a cold front. Perhaps that's the spring weather we've all been yearning for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 This has been one of the most boring unenjoyable stretches of weather for mby in a long time. Just had to vent that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 This has been one of the most boring unenjoyable stretches of weather for mby in a long time. Just had to vent that. I'll take boring now for exciting in May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Hi folks! First post. The latest GFS shows some mild air flowing in from the southwest for the middle of next week following a cold front. Perhaps that's the spring weather we've all been yearning for? Welcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
River Card Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I'll take boring now for exciting in May. Man I hope there is action in May, now while Paul Pastelok is no JB at playing the analogs and teleconnections, his words about persistent chill into and through June seriously has me thinking back to the summer that wasn't 2 years ago ( I think) and how abysmal the severe season was. Just amazed despite the Pna going negative and the NAO heading positive that this cold regime still holds center court. Is the SE ridge going to mess with the Bermuda high this summer thus causing it to be colder around here? Sh*t I just can't figure it out even though the SOI continues to fall,(lag times into play?) and the NWS thinks Nina is gone by June, which I'm not so sure off. Oh well perhaps we can make up for this by a warm fall. It's not April yet and I feel like spring and summer are cancelled...geeesh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
River Card Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Well this makes me feel better, this is from Tom Skilling on Facebook... We've checked Marches & springs which followed comparably cold winters (this past winter ranked 30th coldest of the past 140 years). We found 19 such winters and the Marches which followed tended in a slight majority of those years ended up cooler and drier than normal. The larger meteorological spring period (March through May) ended up near-normal temp-wise and continued a drier than average bias. In checking summers which followed La Nina springs, we found a slight majority end up warmer than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Man I hope there is action in May, now while Paul Pastelok is no JB at playing the analogs and teleconnections, his words about persistent chill into and through June seriously has me thinking back to the summer that wasn't 2 years ago ( I think) and how abysmal the severe season was. Just amazed despite the Pna going negative and the NAO heading positive that this cold regime still holds center court. Is the SE ridge going to mess with the Bermuda high this summer thus causing it to be colder around here? Sh*t I just can't figure it out even though the SOI continues to fall,(lag times into play?) and the NWS thinks Nina is gone by June, which I'm not so sure off. Oh well perhaps we can make up for this by a warm fall. It's not April yet and I feel like spring and summer are cancelled...geeesh. So you make a solid case here...but! This chatter repeats itself every November and April. In November we get the "snowless" winter worries and every April we get the "Year without a summer" stuff. Dont get ahead of yourselves here. Lets sit back and watch how things un-fold this April. Yes we have had a "cool" end to March.. This happens allot and isnt out of the ordinary. In fact MBY still gets frost well into mid-May. Last frost typically happens around May 10th or so. Ive seen snow on May 1st followed by 75 degrees three days latter. Ive seen 7 inches on opening day followed by a Hot Hot Hot Summer. Read up on 1812 & 1992 and you will find how "un-normal" those summers were. Volcanic Ash played a massive roll in 1812. The Icelandic Volcano we just had is being called a non issue by the climo geeks..(ill provide a link soon) So long story made short. Enjoy your extended winter and snow chances. Summer is coming!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 18 days this March with high temps in the 30's..Same as 2008.. Sure hope we get a repeat of 08/09 this summer.. 77 here last March 31st. What a difference a yr will make this spring.. Glad I'll prob never see another spring as warm as last yr for as long as I live. Looking forward to cooler by the Lake season now and sending this terrible winter to its death bed. Last yrs winter grade, D- This winter gets a C. Next winter is going to be good. Cold & Snowy for all - Not this poosy cold stuff we had this yr. Real arctic outbreaks to return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 18 days this March with high temps in the 30's..Same as 2008.. Sure hope we get a repeat of 08/09 this summer.. 77 here last March 31st. What a difference a yr will make this spring.. Glad I'll prob never see another spring as warm as last yr for as long as I live. Looking forward to cooler by the Lake season now and sending this terrible winter to its death bed. Last yrs winter grade, D- This winter gets a C. Next winter is going to be good. Cold & Snowy for all - Not this poosy cold stuff we had this yr. Real arctic outbreaks to return. To get that we are gonna need to lose the drought/dry crap in the southern Plains later this summer into the Fall and place the dry stuff in the northern parts and se part of the country. because if not we end up with the same crappy low tracks etc. CO ( on north ) lows never have and never will cut it for us as far as snow goes. Also less Atlantic blocking would be good too. Unless we get a weak Nina i am not getting excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 To get that we are gonna need to lose the drought/dry crap in the southern Plains later this summer into the Fall and place the dry stuff in the northern parts and se part of the country. because if not we end up with the same crappy low tracks etc. CO ( on north ) lows never have and never will cut it for us as far as snow goes. Also less Atlantic blocking would be good too. Unless we get a weak Nina i am not getting excited. Harry, please explain in a little more detail if you have time. What does drought/dry in in the southern plains equate to in winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 Harry, please explain in a little more detail if you have time. What does drought/dry in in the southern plains equate to in winter? See what we have now and have had alot of this winter. Ofcourse if the PNA decided to stay crapped out ( -PNA all winter ) then we would see a even warmer regime ( GL on east ) with that there with systems constantly cutting to MN/N.Lakes. What kept that in check this winter was the blocking to the east which forced systems to turn east and even ese as they got to IA etc vs making the run to Duluth/UP of Michigan. So yeah it can work in your favor vs those farther to the se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 Understand. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 sunset here in key west. now back to partying... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 sunset here in key west. now back to partying... Nice. I have pics from that EXACT spot as well! Meanwhile, as April opens here, a few questions...will April be DTW's 5th consecutive colder than normal month? Also, will we finish the snow season by cracking 70" or has the last already fallen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 Nice. I have pics from that EXACT spot as well! Meanwhile, as April opens here, a few questions...will April be DTW's 5th consecutive colder than normal month? Also, will we finish the snow season by cracking 70" or has the last already fallen? possibly yes to snow but no to cooler than normal..Brief warm ups could very well balance the April temps to just around normal..We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 Picked up 0.03" of light rain earlier this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 As boring as its been the last week+, 2011 is on pace to be a wet year, if the first quarter is any indication. MBY totals: January 2011: Precip- 1.76", Snow- 18.0" February 2011: Precip- 3.89", Snow- 31.8" March 2011: Precip- 4.00", Snow- 9.1" Jan 1-Mar 31, 2011: Precip: 9.65", Snow- 58.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 As boring as its been the last week+, 2011 is on pace to be a wet year, if the first quarter is any indication. MBY totals: January 2011: Precip- 1.76", Snow- 18.0" February 2011: Precip- 3.89", Snow- 31.8" March 2011: Precip- 4.00", Snow- 9.1" Jan 1-Mar 31, 2011: Precip: 9.65", Snow- 58.9" Well take notice to the long range models..Severe weather for our area is about to kick into overdrive. Warm-ups galore on the way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyrys Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 April 1 snowcover SW of the MSP metro. Of course it is only like this in wooded areas, while fields and areas open to constant sunlight are nearly free of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
River Card Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 Well take notice to the long range models..Severe weather for our area is about to kick into overdrive. Warm-ups galore on the way! Good point, the 12z really shows some nice warmth pertruded by brief shots of cooler air, could get things going starting next week. In fact towards the end of next week maybe into the following weekend looks like that might have some potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 EURO/GFS showing a little disturbance later next week which might have enough cold air to work with to produce a bit of wet snow. Only early April and snowfall is still possible. Not giving up yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 I'm really hoping my SPC first high risk will verify April 4 as predicted by me back in January in the first high risk prediction thread. I outlined MO, southern IL, and the lower Ohio Valley so I may be a bit north from what may verify, but the date looks promising with this incoming system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 I'm really hoping my SPC first high risk will verify April 4 as predicted by me back in January in the first high risk prediction thread. I outlined MO, southern IL, and the lower Ohio Valley so I may be a bit north from what may verify, but the date looks promising with this incoming system. It won't be a high risk the way it looks now. Also, had the biggest snowflakes over "winter" this afternoon after we changed over from rain, and than had some graupel for about 2 min around 4pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 A few days ago the NWS was forecasting low to mid 40s for Sunday highs. The latest forecast says upper 60s, and the 12z NAM has bumped us up to the low 70s. I'll take this kind change any day. It looks like the best chance of storms will be southeast of us later Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 59.4" of snow later, this is all that's left to remind me of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 2, 2011 Author Share Posted April 2, 2011 Given the temps aloft and probably a relatively well mixed boundary layer, I would not be surprised if we stay above 60 degrees tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 I'm thinking this is going to be a soggy April. Greater than 50% chance at 4" or > precip. in my estimation for a lot of areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 Has anyone in Michigan gotten under any of these convective showers yet? The ones moving through Oakland County looks very impressive. There's likely some snowflakes and small hail mixed in them. The air outside looks unstable, and it indeed is taking a look at the SPC mesoanalysis, so you tell something fun is brewing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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