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April 2011 general discussion/obs thread


Hoosier

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LOL...A week ago today we were almost 44 degrees warmer and I was rocking shorts , Drinking a Summer Shandy and looking at my Wife's ass in her shorty shorts. What a difference a week makes. Seriously considering that move to GA!!!!

GA is misearable in the summer. My brother lived there for 3 years says you cant do anything outside from May to September its so hot!

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GA is misearable in the summer. My brother lived there for 3 years says you cant do anything outside from May to September its so hot!

Honestly...I love temps in the 90s with dews in 50-60s. I operate fine in high heat and humidity. In fact Im that "loon" who never turns on the AC!

I hate the cold! Dont get me wrong. I love a good snowstorm to pass the time in Winter but I could trade that in heartbeat for a longer summer and more severe. Athens GA FTW!

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lol

Wow all this time I thought it was Mitch but it's actually Mich...damn old age and declining eyesight...but the dudes pics are killer. Can't beleive more snow chatter, I still think we see a May sticking snow this year, Hell everything else has happened...

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We get no severe weather...but we sure as hell get late spring Snowstorms!:thumbsup:

Our severe weather season is really the Summer. We can outbreaks before that but it's not until we get toward June that we start to get severe chances on a regular basis. Meanwhile the areas that are getting severe weather now, will have a big decrease as the dynamics shift to the northern US. Be patient.

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Our severe weather season is really the Summer. We can outbreaks before that but it's not until we get toward June that we start to get severe chances on a regular basis. Meanwhile the areas that are getting severe weather now, will have a big decrease as the dynamics shift to the northern US. Be patient.

Yea most def. Med/Long range kinda shows that.

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Med long range show anything remotly close to springlike temps Sparty? The 6z gfs shows some improvement...

Its does show temps near normal +/-. So if your looking for a torch..No. Your gonna have to wait for May. Which is norm around here for the most part. I would say this is a typical "cool" April. Seen it before too many times.

BTW. Careful using the 6z and 18z. It can throw you a curve ball.

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12z NAM looks interesting.

925mb temps are solidly below freezing (-2.5*C to -5*C).

If we could get the 850mb temps just cool a couple more degrees we would have a more menacing frozen precipitation threat. It's close too because every model has the 0*C 850mb line running along M-59/I-96. In fact, the NAM has it along I-94 Tuesday morning (along with precipitation per its radar) before gradually moving it northward through the day.

1300m thickness line is also along I-80.

In any event, it all looks sleety right now if anything.

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Yep, 12z NAM top down sounding for Detroit City Airport does suggest sleet tomorrow morning, 0.33" worth.

It's very marginal for snow too, the temp/dewpoint at any level does't get above 1*C for several hours and the freezing levels are between 800 and 1400 feet.

It's definitely something to watch closely, especially with the good omega it has in the DGZ.

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I agree. The problem with people is they expect May weather in April.

The problem now is the arctic jet is a bit south of its usual April spot. That changes by the end of the week. The next impluse that comes in during the weekend time period will be weaker and more "seasonal". The main issue everybody is also missing is the strange strength of heat down south. Generally post La Nina's, that usually isn't the case. Reminds me of 1988 a bit and the 2nd half of April 1988 was frigid for April further north. Really confused by that one. Makes a summer forecast potentially a little hard to forecast.

Funny you mentioned 1988. I believe that Detroit recorded its 3rd "hottest" summer in history that year. 17 days in July at 90 degrees or greater. Not that we see such a redux in that pattern but it should be noted that "cool" Springs in the North are not always followed by "cool" Summers.

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Funny you mentioned 1988. I believe that Detroit recorded its 3rd "hottest" summer in history that year. 17 days in July at 90 degrees or greater. Not that we see such a redux in that pattern but it should be noted that "cool" Springs in the North are not always followed by "cool" Summers.

Funny you mention that, and for what it's worth, even the uero monthly for summer has changed it's tune from cooler and wetter last month to now normal temps and precip. Fading la nina would argue against that, but it's intersting anyway.

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Rain, steel gray skies, cold, wind....

Did someone turn the clock back to early March?

We are in the slight risk for severe today, but, really with a high of around 42, it's really not all that exciting..:thumbsdown:. I have been busy with work as of late, but I am going to look at the models to see if there is any hope of seeing the sun, or having some warm weather in the immediate future.....

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Rain, steel gray skies, cold, wind....

Did someone turn the clock back to early March?

We are in the slight risk for severe today, but, really with a high of around 42, it's really not all that exciting..:thumbsdown:. I have been busy with work as of late, but I am going to look at the models to see if there is any hope of seeing the sun, or having some warm weather in the immediate future.....

Yes.

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Rain, steel gray skies, cold, wind....

Did someone turn the clock back to early March?

We are in the slight risk for severe today, but, really with a high of around 42, it's really not all that exciting..:thumbsdown:. I have been busy with work as of late, but I am going to look at the models to see if there is any hope of seeing the sun, or having some warm weather in the immediate future.....

Yes.

with the key word in his quesiton being immediate, the answer is a definite no. Cold and rainy today and tonight, cool/cold Wed/Thurs, Rainy and cool Fri/Sat and a big question mark beyond that.

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with the key word in his quesiton being immediate, the answer is a definite no. Cold and rainy today and tonight, cool/cold Wed/Thurs, Rainy and cool Fri/Sat and a big question mark beyond that.

Going by the 12z GFS confirms what you are saying. In fact your correct. But as we drift deeper into April and move close to May Climo should gracefully kick into gear. This April has flat out sucked for warmth and "green-ups". Everyday our planet tilts more into the sun and basically gets baked. Spring will come but its being awfully lazy. The Sun in theory should give Spring a quick kick in the a.s.s . Im thinking by May we Hopefully make this transition!!!

:sun:

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Everything is low level. The upper levels are running above average. Like I told Bow earlier, it hasn't been "cool" here outside the last week in March. Even the current "wave" has been modest here. The difference between Indianapolis and Detroit has been noticeable. It is why spring temps suck at telling you what the summer will do.

Good point. This is the coldest April I can ever remember, yet it's still technically above normal.

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Holy sh!t! I hope our friends in Indiana have boats Especially the LAF crew. 12z Euro showing up to a foot of rain there. Even up this way the model is spitting out 4-7 inches of rain with the highest amounts towards the IN border. Shows 6+ from Indianapolis on north and west/All of W.IN into IL. :yikes:

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Holy sh!t! I hope our friends in Indiana have boats Especially the LAF crew. 12z Euro showing up to a foot of rain there. Even up this way the model is spitting out 4-7 inches of rain with the highest amounts towards the IN border. Shows 6+ from Indianapolis on north and west/All of W.IN into IL. :yikes:

What?! Is that 10 day total or something?

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Snow/sleet mixture has begun here. It should change to rain before too long but this is the third day in a row of frozen precip. I can't remember ever having three days in a row of frozen precip going into late April. There will probably be some snow showers around tomorrow afternoon to make it a four day stretch.

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Snow/sleet mixture has begun here. It should change to rain before too long but this is the third day in a row of frozen precip. I can't remember ever having three days in a row of frozen precip going into late April. There will probably be some snow showers around tomorrow afternoon to make it a four day stretch.

Amazing stuff huh? Even had a little sleet/snow mix in a short while ago here with a heavier shower that passed through.

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