wolfie09 Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I think i will take my chances with the 0z euro lol Its been flirting with that nyc track for a couple days now..Being in a valley at only 556 feet is prob gonna hurt some but i think if everything came together right i should be able to get snow even in early april.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 12z cmc also has the LP just off the jersey coast....But its weak at like 1000 mb.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 12z cmc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I think i will take my chances with the 0z euro lol Its been flirting with that nyc track for a couple days now..Being in a valley at only 556 feet is prob gonna hurt some but i think if everything came together right i should be able to get snow even in early april.. If it comes in early enough (Thursday Night)...along with some strong UVM you might do better than you think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 27, 2011 Author Share Posted March 27, 2011 And now for our secondary (experimental models) CPA through SE/ENY, ftw: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 WOWWWWWWWW what a tournament lol Sry OT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 0z UK and 0z gefs mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 0z cmc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 28, 2011 Author Share Posted March 28, 2011 Models still all over the map with late week (2nd) system. A few less models hitting the total phased solutions, but still lots of ensemble members of the globals depicting such, along with op UK. I'm leaning toward there being a "just miss" phase, which would provide a minor northern stream system tapping some of the moisture from the southern stream. Hopefully today's runs converge a bit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 looks like the old syndrome too many shortwaves spoil the broth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 I think once some of these waves hit the western coast of NA, the models will start to line up a better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 The models are showing big differences in track, timing, and how strong this will get. I know most of the models , with the Canadian leading the charge, show a decent snowstorm, where as the GFS is lagging back.... This upcoming end of week storm has a big uphill battle ahead of it. We have a very dry and suppressed situation over us right now.. The question is how far north will the precipitation be. The Canadian and WRF show a very amplified storm The Euro is in the middle with the GFS showing a very unimpressive storm That's pushed south and it looks fairly ragged do to the upper level wind shear. I think the GFS has the best handle on this thing right now.....I know storms this time of year can do strange things at the last second....I just don't think this storm is the one that will do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 All I can say is $%#$!@%$%%^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 18z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted March 28, 2011 Share Posted March 28, 2011 I'm rooting for this snowstorm... because I'll be in Ithaca, NY for NCUR later this week through the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 18z gfs was pretty cold also..High of 34 on fri with most precip coming while temps are in the upper 20s-low 30s..850s around -6c to -7c Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 18z gfs was pretty cold also..High of 34 on fri with most precip coming while temps are in the upper 20s-low 30s..850s around -6c to -7c 18z GFS for KSWF http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=gfsm&site=kswf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 lol nice i hope it works out 4 u guys down there.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 lol nice i hope it works out 4 u guys down there.. Thanks This far out ,still some room for change. It could shift up your way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Major model spread....everything seems to have to work out perfect for a good snowstorm, however I'm rooting for 13.7" for Albany for my birthday present this Friday so Albany can hit 100" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Major model spread....everything seems to have to work out perfect for a good snowstorm, however I'm rooting for 13.7" for Albany for my birthday present this Friday so Albany can hit 100" I'm looking for 17.3" here at BGM before the Spring pattern finally commences and sets in for good. Another 17.3" would put BGM up to 131.8" on the season making it the snowiest winter on record here. I give the above a slightly better chance of happening than SU has at winning the Nat'l Championship in Men's Basketball this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I'm looking for 17.3" here at BGM before the Spring pattern finally commences and sets in for good. Another 17.3" would put BGM up to 131.8" on the season making it the snowiest winter on record here. I give the above a slightly better chance of happening than SU HAD at winning the Nat'l Championship in Men's Basketball this year. Fixed that for ya... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 The GFS is looking a bit better.....The problem is the The flow is going to be difficult to overcome......I could be wrong....but I don't see this storm phasing, which is what we need if we want a major storm. But it's still a few days out so we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I'm looking for 17.3" here at BGM before the Spring pattern finally commences and sets in for good. Another 17.3" would put BGM up to 131.8" on the season making it the snowiest winter on record here. I give the above a slightly better chance of happening than SU has at winning the Nat'l Championship in Men's Basketball this year. That is too funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Fixed that for ya... Yeah... yeah. I picked SU to lose to UK in the Elite 8, so I didn't think they would pull off a Nat'l title either, but not reaching the Sweet 16 this year was simply unacceptable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Gfs at hr 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Down to 977 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Yikes... 0z GFS is down and dirty like the UKMET model has been for the past couple days. Would like to see the 0z Euro come around before getting too excited, but wow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Total QPF is outside the 24-hour span, so here is a representitive QPF graph over 72 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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