2001kx Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 The 0z GFS just destroyed CPA, basically a redux of the 0z Euro from Sunday morning. Via Accupro: 78&84 hr (surface) 78&84 hr (p-type) interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 It'll be interesting to see how the NAM responds over the next few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 Tomorrows storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 2001kx you must be the green spot. Both models at 72. See what nam shows when it gets in range. Is the Euro still showing a storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Morning Zac Looks like Euro is still showing storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 As much as i can't wrap my mind around a snow storm right now, i'm kinda buying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 Morning Zac Looks like Euro is still showing storm Good morning. It's not too much on euro. A few snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 2001kx you must be the green spot. Both models at 72. See what nam shows when it gets in range. Is the Euro still showing a storm? nah im further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 Once I get a look at 12Z models i'll have a first call for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Once I get a look at 12Z models i'll have a first call for tomorrow. Looks like JST could get 2-3" off of tomorrows storm. UNV maybe 1-2" Myself maybe some flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 Looks like JST could get 2-3" off of tomorrows storm. UNV maybe 1-2" Myself maybe some flurries. Right now I have JST/Somerset area 2-4" My are to around UNV down to YORK about 1-2". Subject to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Right now I have JST/Somerset area 2-4" My are to around UNV down to YORK about 1-2". Subject to change. MDT cold rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 MDT cold rain? Ya. Maybe a coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Looks like JST could get 2-3" off of tomorrows storm. UNV maybe 1-2" Myself maybe some flurries. I have my doubts with this one with precip falling during the afternoon, and not especially heavy. My call is for up to 1" around JST to AOO, with 1 to 1.5" from Somerset to Bedford. Friday is the real story! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 I have my doubts with this one with precip falling during the afternoon, and not especially heavy. My call is for up to 1" around JST to AOO, with 1 to 1.5" from Somerset to Bedford. Friday is the real story! Models have it falling evening into night now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Models have it falling evening into night now. The GFS and NAM show precip from around noon to 7 pm, at least the 6z runs which were beefier than the 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 SREFS coming back north for storm one. Previous run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 The GFS and NAM show precip from around noon to 7 pm, at least the 6z runs which were beefier than the 0z Ok maybe for the JST area that is right. More towards me it's about 2PM to about 12 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I have my doubts with this one with precip falling during the afternoon, and not especially heavy. My call is for up to 1" around JST to AOO, with 1 to 1.5" from Somerset to Bedford. Friday is the real story! ok, my chair is pulled up and i have my milk and cookies, please tell me about it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 ok, my chair is pulled up and i have my milk and cookies, please tell me about it? Haha that made me laugh pretty hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Haha that made me laugh pretty hard. Zach, I'm not here for any Met skills. its just my charming personality and humor. here each weekday 530am - 3pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 Zach, I'm not here for any Met skills. its just my charming personality and humor. here each weekday 530am - 3pm Looking forward to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 SREFS coming back north for storm one. Previous run wow pretty significant north shift...let's see if the 12z models follow suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 hypothetically if the 0z GFS was / is correct what ratios would we see for the late week storm? 8:1 - 10:1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 GFS and nam both says my temps would be marginal for storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 GFS and nam both says my temps would be marginal for storm 2 You are not really in a good spot for either storm. It's mainly west of MDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 ok, my chair is pulled up and i have my milk and cookies, please tell me about it? Well, with any April snow event, it will be elevational dependent. That's not to say there won't be any snow in the valleys, but the heaviest accumulations - should a large storm occur - would be aoa 1,200'. Once to 2kft, some problems could occur due to the weight of the snow on limbs and power lines. The GFS ensembles have had decent hits and also duds for a few days now. The euro, not the supreme leader it used to be, is weaker and further east. But it has had strong runs (0z Sunday) which blasted the apps. The ECENS show a deep trough and some spread in low pressure position on Friday, which means a storm is still very much on the table there. The 0z GFS is just WOW. Widespread 12"+ from IDI to JST to AOO to UNV and IPT to MPO. Lower susq would miss out on the big stuff, but still get some wet, sloppy snow. The trough has been getting more and more impressive for a few days now, so I would suspect by tomorrow's 12z runs we should have some consensus on whether a major storm will form - but the details of track and qpf will need to be worked out until the 12z Thursday runs. Check out the GFSens for 12z Friday: Hour 84 from 0z ens Edit: Link now fixed - sorry. Also, the UK has been showing big hits for a while, but when doesn't it this far out? Also, the JMA has had a big storm for a few days. The GEM is erratic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 hypothetically if the 0z GFS was / is correct what ratios would we see for the late week storm? 8:1 - 10:1? You're spot on! It would vary from 8 to 11:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 Oh dear god please. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.