The Iceman Posted May 19, 2011 Share Posted May 19, 2011 That cell yesterday in Dauphin has been confirmed as a tornado. Petition to rename thread Central Pennsylrania. 2nded... so sick of the rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted May 19, 2011 Share Posted May 19, 2011 2nded... so sick of the rain... In a way I am, in a way I'm not. I love setting records, so I'm all bout the extremes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted May 20, 2011 Share Posted May 20, 2011 Storm rolling through Northern Lebanon is dropping pea sized hail. Recently been given severe status. That confirms what I thought...it was quite loud on the skylights at the warehouse in Fredericksburg. Our driveway flooded with muddy water for the second time this week with that storm...what a mess. Up to 4.28" of rain for the month, most of that this week. I want sun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted May 20, 2011 Share Posted May 20, 2011 Heard this morning that a confirmed EF1 hit Millersburg around 6pm last night. Also, it's raining. Again. Still. Amazing.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 20, 2011 Share Posted May 20, 2011 Serious question: How is all this rain going to impact the area farmers? C PA is a pretty big farming area, especially for corn, strawberries, apples and tomatoes. I'm assuming strawberry season is ruined (mold wild kill them, as they have ours already). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted May 20, 2011 Share Posted May 20, 2011 4 *hotlinked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted May 20, 2011 Author Share Posted May 20, 2011 Next week stalled out warm front and then maybe stalled cold front. Bring it on. CTP says possible MCS's too. Wohoo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted May 20, 2011 Share Posted May 20, 2011 Next week stalled out warm front and then maybe stalled cold front. Bring it on. CTP says possible MCS's too. Wohoo! You obviously don't have much to do outside, Zack. Enough with the rain, already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted May 20, 2011 Share Posted May 20, 2011 That cell yesterday in Dauphin has been confirmed as a tornado. Petition to rename thread Central Pennsylrania. Either that or perhaps naming the actual system causing all the rain, since it likes to think it's a dying tropical system with its constant spiraling bands of heavy rain/thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted May 21, 2011 Share Posted May 21, 2011 Another 0.43" this morning. May total stands at 4.71", 3.89" of that just this week. Our grass is out of control and the yard and garden are a swampy mess. Blech. Looking forward to some much needed sun and warmth tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted May 21, 2011 Share Posted May 21, 2011 Next week stalled out warm front and then maybe stalled cold front. Bring it on. CTP says possible MCS's too. Wohoo! I'll take a good mcs any day. even after the rain. i hate the constant rain showers.... give me a thunderstorm any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted May 21, 2011 Author Share Posted May 21, 2011 .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... THE STATE WILL BE UNDER AN ACTIVE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALL WEEK LONG WITHSEVERAL...HARD TO TIME SHORTWAVES /AND POSSIBLE MCS REMNANTS/TRAVERSING THE LONG WAVE TROUGH...AND RIDING ALONG A NEARLYSTATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY SITUATED BETWEEN THE LOWER GLAKES ANDMID ATLANTIC COAST.SOME OF THESE WAVES WILL BRING WITH THEM LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS ANDSTRONG GUSTY THUNDERSTORMS.TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE WARM UNDER THE MILD SW FLOW WITH MOSTDAYS APPROACHING 80 DEGREES. THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK WILL BE THEWARMEST WITH TEMPS PEAKING IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S THROUGHOUT THECENTRAL AND LOWER SUSQ VALLEY...AND UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80SELSEWHERE.THE BEST COMBINATION OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND CAPE APPEARS TO BETARGETED FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AS A WARM FRONT/LEETROUGH PRECEDES THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF AN UPPER LEVEL JETSTREAK /AND COLD FRONT/ SLIDING EAST TWD LAKE ERIE BY 00Z TUESDAY.850 MB TEMPS PEAK AT AROUND 16C MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITHPWATS NEAR 30MM. IMPRESSIVE EHI VALUES OCCUR DURING...AND JUST AFTERTHE TIME OF MAX HEATING AND REACH 2-3 M2/S2 ACROSS A LARGE AREA OFTHE CENTRAL AND LOWER SUSQ VALLEY.SHOULD THIS SCENARIO COME TO FRUITION...I WOULDN`T BE SURPRISED TOSEE SPC PLACE PARTS OF THE STATE UNDER A MDT RISK OF SVR TSRA /WITHA TORNADO THREAT/ FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted May 21, 2011 Share Posted May 21, 2011 .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... THE STATE WILL BE UNDER AN ACTIVE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALL WEEK LONG WITHSEVERAL...HARD TO TIME SHORTWAVES /AND POSSIBLE MCS REMNANTS/TRAVERSING THE LONG WAVE TROUGH...AND RIDING ALONG A NEARLYSTATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY SITUATED BETWEEN THE LOWER GLAKES ANDMID ATLANTIC COAST.SOME OF THESE WAVES WILL BRING WITH THEM LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS ANDSTRONG GUSTY THUNDERSTORMS.TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE WARM UNDER THE MILD SW FLOW WITH MOSTDAYS APPROACHING 80 DEGREES. THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK WILL BE THEWARMEST WITH TEMPS PEAKING IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S THROUGHOUT THECENTRAL AND LOWER SUSQ VALLEY...AND UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80SELSEWHERE.THE BEST COMBINATION OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND CAPE APPEARS TO BETARGETED FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AS A WARM FRONT/LEETROUGH PRECEDES THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF AN UPPER LEVEL JETSTREAK /AND COLD FRONT/ SLIDING EAST TWD LAKE ERIE BY 00Z TUESDAY.850 MB TEMPS PEAK AT AROUND 16C MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITHPWATS NEAR 30MM. IMPRESSIVE EHI VALUES OCCUR DURING...AND JUST AFTERTHE TIME OF MAX HEATING AND REACH 2-3 M2/S2 ACROSS A LARGE AREA OFTHE CENTRAL AND LOWER SUSQ VALLEY.SHOULD THIS SCENARIO COME TO FRUITION...I WOULDN`T BE SURPRISED TOSEE SPC PLACE PARTS OF THE STATE UNDER A MDT RISK OF SVR TSRA /WITHA TORNADO THREAT/ FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. the EHI levels are pretty impressive... we are in late may which has brought some memorable outbreaks in the northeast. with high instability and deep shear... we have a pretty decent shot at severe outbreak....and some strong imo just looking at the set up. once the 00z suite comes in tonight, we'll have a much better idea but right now i really like this threat mainly because right now the timing looks perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted May 21, 2011 Author Share Posted May 21, 2011 78 degrees. Getting toasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted May 21, 2011 Share Posted May 21, 2011 78 degrees. Getting toasty. it's beautiful outside.... nicest day of spring imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted May 21, 2011 Author Share Posted May 21, 2011 it's beautiful outside.... nicest day of spring imo. Hit 82 for a high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted May 21, 2011 Share Posted May 21, 2011 high of 80 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 tomorrow will be interesting but clouds will likely limit a huge outbreak from occurring. here is CTP's updated AFD .SHORT TERM /MONDAY/...MONDAY LOOKS SIMILAR TO TODAY EXCEPT PERHAPS A TAD WARMER ANDMORE HUMID. BASIC PATTERN OF BROAD SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BEESTABLISHED AND MODEL FCST LI FIELDS INDICATE THAT ANY LINGERINGCOOL AIR DAMMING SHOULD SCOUR OUT IN THE EAST DURING THE AFTERNOONHOURS. THIS SHUD ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF MORE IN THE WAY OFINSTABILITY AS THE DAY WEARS ON WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERESTORMS TO DEVELOP AND MOVE IN DURING THE AFTERNOON.NAM PRODUCES MODERATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITH 0-1KM EHI`S OF 1.5 TO2.5 OVER MOST OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. WITH THERETREATING WARM FRONT...ANY STORMS THAT CAN GAIN SOME GUSTO WILLHAVE THE POTENTIAL TO ROTATE...ELEVATING THE SEVERE/TORNADICPOTENTIAL. AS ALWAYS...THE LIMITATION WILL BE CLOUD COVER WHICHAT THIS TIME LOOKS LIKE IT COULD BE CONSIDERABLE OVER MUCH OF THE REGION...ESPECIALLY THE EAST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 After this bout of sev wx and rain, it looks like its going to torch for a few days.....90s?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted May 23, 2011 Author Share Posted May 23, 2011 I think tomorrow will be bad and Tuesday worse. Issued a slight tomorrow Moderate Tuesday for our site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 You obviously don't have much to do outside, Zack. Enough with the rain, already. I'm so far behind because of the rain. It took me 5 hours to mow Saturday, normally takes me 2- 2 1/2 tops. I haven't even got the garden in yet. off topic. heading your way tuesday (E-town HS) for 1st round playoff game......that is if we don't get rained out and we currently have Lt. rain in Harrisburg, i know, no big shock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 Severe Thunderstorm Watch #338 is in effect until 6:00pm for most of Central Pennsylvania. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0338.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 I'm so far behind because of the rain. It took me 5 hours to mow Saturday, normally takes me 2- 2 1/2 tops. I haven't even got the garden in yet. off topic. heading your way tuesday (E-town HS) for 1st round playoff game......that is if we don't get rained out and we currently have Lt. rain in Harrisburg, i know, no big shock Well now, how about that? My daughter has a softball game Tuesday night (6pm) in E-town right down from the high school! (She plays 10U) Good luck, by the way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 tornado warning for juanita... Looks like it has decent rotation but broad. also there's line forming in sc pa that is starting to look intense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 Nice couplet on the Juniata/Snyder border is tor warned now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 Tornado was reported in Ritchfield, Juniata County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 Lightning hit my neighbor's house across the street, then about 30 seconds later lightning hit my neighor's house next door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 Very heavy rain from thunderstorm that just moved through here with 0.56in of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 just got back from a small chase. ran into marble size hail near Holtwood in Lanco. Then went over to south york and hit some gusty winds(45 mph estimate). Real good lightning with both storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 Gonna be pissed if that cell dropped anything through Northern Lebanon/Schuykill counties. Had to umpire a game on the opposite side of the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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