Mr Torchey Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I love temps hovering in the low 40s with 30mph NW winds when it's supposed to be 55F... Too bad your area is a snow hole, I've had over a foot of snow in Feb/March with more coming this Wednesday if 12z Euro and 18z NAM are correct. Sucks when you live in the swamp... And yes, it's getting time for a drive up north... ok. When did Dobbs Ferry become the orh of the hudson valley? How much snow have you had this season, im over 70? Are you thumping your chest regarding your 13 inches of snow in the last 60 days?? When am I getting my beer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 It's like 40F out, it's cold, why do we keep having to pretend it's spring when temperatures are paralleling mid-February? And some of us have actually had some in February and March, Joe... hit the upper 40s here mid 40s elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 ok. When did Dobbs Ferry become the orh of the hudson valley? How much snow have you had this season, im over 70? Are you thumping your chest regarding your 13 inches of snow in the last 60 days?? When am I getting my beer? I've had about 70" Joe...check the signature. I feel like I undermeasured Boxing Day since Hastings reported 18", not sure though. I had 68" last year though while you probably enjoyed the dryslot in 12/19 and then the rain in 2/25 Snowicane....So yeah, we're doing pretty well here. And more is coming to those who truly believe It's still double the snow you've had in the swamp, Joe. I asked you about getting together to hang out and drink beer the weekend of April 9th, you never answered. Is that good for you or not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Meh, I have had 5.7 inches of snow in the last 55 days.............i am ready for some warmth, its over down here. Blessed at 40 to have my 90 yr old grandmother here to visit for the day. Italian blood, red wine and great food FTW, one sister is 99 the other 92, anyhow 38 now but with the strong early spring sun and little wind it feels more like 50. Kids outside playing, chile cooking for the second day, and bloodys about to commence. Next three days looks even warmer, get out there and enjoy it!! What would you rather have, a foot of snow thats gone in two days, or a national championship for UCONN? 42 sunny Yanks on the brink of 28 WOW 45 sunny feels tons warmer, just a perfect day and the sun is really strong. :sun: WOW what a beautiful day!! stellar afternoon with light winds full , strong march sun!! As expected forecasted high of 42 was not even close, got up to 47 now settled back to 45 but felt a lot better than that.......hope everyone actually got outside to enjoy it! 50+ next 3 days.....just heaven. Are you just copying and pasting this post over and over? This is like the same thing you've been posting 5x a day the last 30 days Lol.... good analysis of the storm threat in 5 days.... We do have an obs thread going you know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I've had about 70" Joe...check the signature. I feel like I undermeasured Boxing Day since Hastings reported 18", not sure though. I had 68" last year though while you probably enjoyed the dryslot in 12/19 and then the rain in 2/25 Snowicane....So yeah, we're doing pretty well here. And more is coming to those who truly believe It's still double the snow you've had in the swamp, Joe. I asked you about getting together to hang out and drink beer the weekend of April 9th, you never answered. Is that good for you or not? Thats Masters weekend! So if there is a TV near by that is just fine. Enjoy your blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Gonna be an absolute Condo Collapser for us. More structures will collpase from this single storm than did with all of the other heavy snow events combined If by condo you are referring to your daughter's doll houses...yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Thats Masters weekend! So if there is a TV near by that is just fine. Enjoy your blizzard. Oh god, golf? April 16th weekend, then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 You guys need to stop arguing about obs and if it feels like spring or not. This thread is specifically titled toward the threat of a late season snow event...that may or may not pan out, but its the discussion thread regarding that threat. We have a late Mar/early April obs thread too here: We also have a thread for those who want to skip spring and talk about summer here: If you want to dicsuss SNE severe wx, here is a thread for that too: In light of the increased trolling in recent days/weeks, I ask that we keep the threads on topic. We can't be here 24/7 either to moderate every posts (and frankly, why would anyone want to be?)...so report off topic posts if you have a big problem with them. I'd rather it doesn't come to that because it would be better time spent talking about the storm threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 You guys need to stop arguing about obs and if it feels like spring or not. This thread is specifically titled toward the threat of a late season snow event...that may or may not pan out, but its the discussion thread regarding that threat. We have a late Mar/early April obs thread too here: We also have a thread for those who want to skip spring and talk about summer here: If you want to dicsuss SNE severe wx, here is a thread for that too: In light of the increased trolling in recent days/weeks, I ask that we keep the threads on topic. We can't be here 24/7 either to moderate every posts (and frankly, why would anyone want to be?)...so report off topic posts if you have a big problem with them. I'd rather it doesn't come to that because it would be better time spent talking about the storm threat. And where does all the non weather stuff go that's been posted here today that has no relation to obs or future snows? I appreciate you stepping up to moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 And where does all the non weather stuff go that's been posted here today that has no relation to obs or future snows? I appreciate you stepping up to moderate. Obs/banter thread is where stuff not related to the storm threat should be posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 The forecast for later this week is still pretty challenging. Lots of options on the table. I think seeing the Wed system more amped up is a bad sign for the Friday/Saturday megastorm Kevin is hyping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Obs/banter thread is where stuff not related to the storm threat should be posted Someone needs to start the very on topic roof collapse thread. Thanks Will for doing a thankless job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 The forecast for later this week is still pretty challenging. Lots of options on the table. I think seeing the Wed system more amped up is a bad sign for the Friday/Saturday megastorm Kevin is hyping. I would agree, we do not want that one to be in the perfect screw spot for us...potent enough to mess with the storm behind it, yet not amped enough as to give us no snow. If it amps up enough, it would actually give us a nice snow event like the GFS and Euro at different times had shown in the past several days. I think in the end, we have enough of an amped up western ridge to make the 2nd storm the main player, but there's certainly a chance of wave interference in this whole thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I would agree, we do not want that one to be in the perfect screw spot for us...potent enough to mess with the storm behind it, yet not amped enough as to give us no snow. If it amps up enough, it would actually give us a nice snow event like the GFS and Euro at different times had shown in the past several days. I think in the end, we have enough of an amped up western ridge to make the 2nd storm the main player, but there's certainly a chance of wave interference in this whole thing. Will do we have any past analogs for this storm? particularly any setups this year that we could look back to? Also, when do you think we'll start getting a good feel about this one? Tomorrow night or tuesday am? Edit: Can we have TautonMA start the next thread??? He was good luck in Jan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I would agree, we do not want that one to be in the perfect screw spot for us...potent enough to mess with the storm behind it, yet not amped enough as to give us no snow. If it amps up enough, it would actually give us a nice snow event like the GFS and Euro at different times had shown in the past several days. I think in the end, we have enough of an amped up western ridge to make the 2nd storm the main player, but there's certainly a chance of wave interference in this whole thing. Yeah I think for lower elevations Wednesday is not happening. So far most of us, even if it does amp up quite a bit, it's going to be a loss. I think we need Wednesday to be suppressed and Friday/Saturday to be very wound up, very explosive, and in the exact right spot. Not easy to do. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I would agree, we do not want that one to be in the perfect screw spot for us...potent enough to mess with the storm behind it, yet not amped enough as to give us no snow. If it amps up enough, it would actually give us a nice snow event like the GFS and Euro at different times had shown in the past several days. I think in the end, we have enough of an amped up western ridge to make the 2nd storm the main player, but there's certainly a chance of wave interference in this whole thing. I had rain/snow in the forecast yesterday for Friday night and Saturday. I said we are watching a possible nor'easter and it could be rain or snow... but it's hard to get a big snowstorm this time of year so rain is the more likely outcome. No more than 30 seconds later Kevin blew up my phone to complain. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I met him as well....he was 90???????????? Robust as a healthy 70 yo. You have some wonderful genes Ray.....wow! LOL Yep Plowed for the city of Woburn until he was like 87. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Will do we have any past analogs for this storm? particularly any setups this year that we could look back to? Also, when do you think we'll start getting a good feel about this one? Tomorrow night or tuesday am? Edit: Can we have TautonMA start the next thread??? He was good luck in Jan There's a few similar storms...if you get the explosive version of storm #2, it might be akin to like 3/29/84. A weaker version probably wouldn't produce more than advisory snows, maybe low end warning so there's a lot of early April storms that produced 3-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Meanwhile....hit 49 degrees here with a dewpoint of -1! That's nuts I think data scarcity matters less when we have many individual s/w then when we have one stronger one in a data poor area. There were many times this winter when seemingly critical components moved by hundreds of miles but the ultimate solution moved little. I think in the Nina type pattern there are so many ingredients in play it doesn't matter as much as it does usually. So dry outside if you run really fast your balls will burst into flames. Good thing you live right on the water! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I would agree, we do not want that one to be in the perfect screw spot for us...potent enough to mess with the storm behind it, yet not amped enough as to give us no snow. If it amps up enough, it would actually give us a nice snow event like the GFS and Euro at different times had shown in the past several days. I think in the end, we have enough of an amped up western ridge to make the 2nd storm the main player, but there's certainly a chance of wave interference in this whole thing. I'd rather Wed just cease to exist...even if it gets "amped", it will likely be an adv\low end warning event for the higher terrain and a rusty coat hanger for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I'd rather Wed just cease to exist...even if it gets "amped", it will likely be an adv\low end warning event for the higher terrain and a rusty coat hanger for most. lol yup. It won't be much of anything for you or me. Kevin will get a sloppy 2" and claim winter has returned with a vengeance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 18z GFS is a beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Yeah I think for lower elevations Wednesday is not happening. So far most of us, even if it does amp up quite a bit, it's going to be a loss. I think we need Wednesday to be suppressed and Friday/Saturday to be very wound up, very explosive, and in the exact right spot. Not easy to do. lol 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 18z GFS is a beauty. 132: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 18z GFS is a beauty. 976 MB over the benchmark. 500mb signature looks similar to the 93 superstorm, if you had the 850 temp gradient it would likely be a 960mb storm. Edit: Not that bad, 93 was on the 522 countour. But H5 still looks insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 18z GFS is a big weenie solution. But you always have the old adage..."its never good to be in the bullseye on the GFS 138 hours out" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 High looks awful, but I suppose that doesn't matter w those dynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 High looks awful, but I suppose that doesn't matter w those dynamics. Nvrmind.....it has an appendage hanging back....just looked very quickly at where the "H" was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 lol yup. It won't be much of anything for you or me. Kevin will get a sloppy 2" and claim winter has returned with a vengeance. yeah, after getting 2 or 3 inches for the entire month of march. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 An Earthlight special? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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