CoastalWx Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Sounds like Ukie is a dream for a coastal transfer that will drop feet Sounds like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Can't wait for my weenie ENjoy I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Canadian is a nice compromise between the out to sea GFS and the Ukie 975mb bomb over Cincinnati. Off coast of NJ to just inside BM for a big snow hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Primary over Cincy..redevelops off the midatl coast..stalls...drops feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Canadian is a nice compromise between the out to sea GFS and the Ukie 975mb bomb over Cincinnati. Off coast of NJ to just inside BM for a big snow hit. GEM is a great model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Primary over Cincy..redevelops off the midatl coast..stalls...drops feet It tracks W of ALB and probably gives us 50-60F rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 It tracks W of ALB and probably gives us 50-60F rains. LOL...I almost had him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 lol. You're as bad with the trees as Kevin is with the Chipmunks. Lol. YOu should see the post I just made in the lawn thread. But, I did just buy a 35 ton logsplitter, so I'm ready to start cranking out the fuel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Tip over my chin..redevelops over my chest ..stalls...drops trow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 GEM is a great model. 1" for you and 1' for Will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 1" for you and 1' for Will. I'll go there is that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Sounds like Ukie is a dream for a coastal transfer that will drop feet What would you rather have, a foot of snow thats gone in two days, or a national championship for UCONN? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 What would you rather have, a foot of snow thats gone in two days, or a national championship for UCONN? Easy call for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 What would you rather have, a foot of snow thats gone in two days, or a national championship for UCONN? c All of the above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Easy call for me. 42 sunny Yanks on the brink of 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 GEM is a great model. The good news is it's supported by the nogaps so we know it's wrong Re your mom....we are getting old too. My folks approaching the same age...hard to think of them as that age. Glad you guys had fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I'm comforted by the Canadian not driving the low into Ohio right now at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Huge spread on the 12z GFS ensembles...which is no surprise given the time range and how much trouble it will probably have handling this type of pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Need this thing tucked into the coast near Cape May with +SN and 32F in Maryland Friday evening. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 The good news is it's supported by the nogaps so we know it's wrong Re your mom....we are getting old too. My folks approaching the same age...hard to think of them as that age. Glad you guys had fun. My dad will be 92 in August, but you would think around 70.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Need this thing tucked into the coast near Cape May with +SN and 32F in Maryland Friday evening. You had your epic cement bomb...time to share lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I really do like the antecedent airmass before this storm as is modeled right now. There should be some pretty solid ML cold in place. You can even see it on those amped up GFS ensemble solutions...they show a massive front end thump even on the westward track. Hopefully that continues to get better looking as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Huge spread on the 12z GFS ensembles...which is no surprise given the time range and how much trouble it will probably have handling this type of pattern I can't get means and spreads yet for 12z, but looking at the 06z, there actually appears to be pretty decent agreement for a track near the benchmark. The mslp spread looks like it's due mainly to timing and intensity, and not as much track. Also notable, there's good agreement in the amplitude of the 500mb trough, but again, just phase differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 92? wow he started late I guess. LOL My dad will be 92 in August, but you would think around 70.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I really do like the antecedent airmass before this storm as is modeled right now. There should be some pretty solid ML cold in place. You can even see it on those amped up GFS ensemble solutions...they show a massive front end thump even on the westward track. Hopefully that continues to get better looking as we get closer. This is what gives me hope for my area; it's all about the mid levels here.....obviously elevations are favored, but this could be a case where it isn't as crucial as it normally would be @ this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Need this thing tucked into the coast near Cape May with +SN and 32F in Maryland Friday evening. I think the EURO will depict a bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 92? wow he started late I guess. LOL No, he didn't....I was an uh oh lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I can't get means and spreads yet for 12z, but looking at the 06z, there actually appears to be pretty decent agreement for a track near the benchmark. The mslp spread looks like it's due mainly to timing and intensity, and not as much track. Also notable, there's good agreement in the amplitude of the 500mb trough, but again, just phase differences. The 12z ensembles to me look like they had a lot more spread. But that's been off and on the last few runs. 06z did have decent agreement and much tighter look near the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Definitely so much nicer than some epic spring events of the past where you needed perfecto dynamics to even get snow down to the low levels.....So everything doesn't have to be perfect here for a lot people to get a decent snowfall. I really do like the antecedent airmass before this storm as is modeled right now. There should be some pretty solid ML cold in place. You can even see it on those amped up GFS ensemble solutions...they show a massive front end thump even on the westward track. Hopefully that continues to get better looking as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 A 10" dump would propel this to the #3 season of all-time imby. Need 18" for #2....need Feb 1969 for #1. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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