nzucker Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 You makin it over to Holmdel at any point? keep me posted. Do you think this is ever going to make it up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Six degree difference between KISP and KFRG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Yes, it does include what's falling now. My forecast for JFK reflects the fact that it's a mini heat island surrounded by jet exhaust where snow has a lot of trouble sticking. Your area, though only about 5 miles from JFK, is suburban and thus will likely see more than JFK - probably about 2-5". Out of curiosity, how much did you get in the April Fools 1997 storm? JFK had only 1.7" and LGA only 0.4". About 2 inches so not that much-- we were in the dry screw zone with that storm, with more north and south of us. Here is a sampling of some of our late season events (that I remember lol.) March 21, 1994 .... 4" April 9-10, 1996 .... 5" March 2001 .... 5" April 7, 2003 .... 8" April 4, 2006 .... 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Six degree difference between KISP and KFRG. Is it snowing at FRG? I thought it was rain or a mix there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Woke up to a nice surprise: snowing moderately with 1.8" of snow already on the ground, including even about an inch or so on the asphalt street in front of my house. Temps are about 32-33F according to the various Weatherbug stations around me (32.8F at my house). So we've already achieved our storm forecast, lol. Radar looks very healthy - I could see 3-4" if this rate holds up before the sun starts to do any damage, i.e., before about 8 am. Haven't read the thread to know if everyone else is seeing the same. Snowfall maps from the NWS don't look any different. Hmmmm..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Do you think this is ever going to make it up here? The flow is backing so it's got to. I'm not sure how the intensity will hold up though it's already become pretty spotty over north Jersey. that stuff back west in Central PA/southern tier NY looks beastly though..buffalo reported 1/8 mile vis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 It looks like 4-7 when all over for the entire area on all surfaces with moderate to heavy snow from 6 PM till 3 AM, except the immediate coast with 3-5 on all surfaces. Temps will be 28-30 region wide from this evening on with NE winds. This should very confident at this point. Slop event during daylight today and full fledged snow storm this evening and tonight. I bet NE Queens, north Nassau and North shore Suffolk will get some 8" totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 You makin it over to Holmdel at any point? keep me posted. Idk what im doing pal....lol all my stuff is away for plowing. But I will def let you know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 The flow is backing so it's got to. I'm not sure how the intensity will hold up though it's already become pretty spotty over north Jersey. that stuff back west in Central PA/southern tier NY looks beastly though..buffalo reported 1/8 mile vis When does that get here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Is it snowing at FRG? I thought it was rain or a mix there. Their latest report says yes. I am about five miles east of the airport and I have rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 The local jackpot zone for this storm might be from N NJ to NYC and LGA, as they might be the region that does the best for both parts of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 FWIW, the 06Z RGEM snapshot maps has basically a rain/snow mix for NYC and its immediate environs at 18Z, a little colder than before, although this is splitting hairs to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Impressive thus far. Looks like about 5" with more to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 When does that get here? Well, you can estimate just as well as I can I guess off the radar. i dont think any model has the timing nailed down with this stuff so I can't really go off that..Id guess by 8AM its in here By the way. 7.5" at Scranton already!! they sat in that band. Wilkesbarre might have 2-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Watching the TV weatherpeople the last hour has been underwhelming to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Well, you can estimate just as well as I can I guess off the radar. i dont think any model has the timing nailed down with this stuff so I can't really go off that..Id guess by 8AM its in here By the way. 7.5" at Scranton already!! they sat in that band. Wilkesbarre might have 2-3" Wow, the Poconos might get a foot total out of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 We have 5 inches in Blairstown already. The liquid equivalent is already twice what all the models showed. Well, you can estimate just as well as I can I guess off the radar. i dont think any model has the timing nailed down with this stuff so I can't really go off that..Id guess by 8AM its in here By the way. 7.5" at Scranton already!! they sat in that band. Wilkesbarre might have 2-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Wow, the Poconos might get a foot total out of this storm. I said about twelve hours ago there should be winter storm warnings for all inland areas. Edit: I believe I said winter storm watches, but the idea is the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I said about twelve hours ago there should be winter storm warnings for all inland areas. And if the NAM, ETA, and RUC are right ALL areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 They just upgrade Warren and Morris Counties to Winter Storm Warnings. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 502 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011 NJZ007-008-PAZ062-231700- /O.UPG.KPHI.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-110324T1000Z/ /O.EXA.KPHI.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110324T1000Z/ WARREN-MORRIS-NORTHAMPTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...BETHLEHEM... EASTON 502 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...NORTHAMPTON COUNTY IN PENNSYLVANIA AND WARREN AND MORRIS COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND SLEET...PERHAPS SOME RAIN MIXING IN AT TIMES. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW. * TIMING...TODAY AND TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...THE MORNING COMMUTE WILL BE DEGRADED BY SNOW AND SOME SLEET. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE TAPERING OFF THURSDAY MORNING. SOME RAIN MAY MIX AT TIMES WITH THE SNOW...ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL BE IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS...AS WELL AS ON UNTREATED AND SECONDARY ROADS. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE 30S. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES... ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT SPOTTER REPORTS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 510 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011 THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/PHI ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT NEW JERSEY ...MIDDLESEX COUNTY... EDISON 1.7 505 AM 3/23 ...MORRIS COUNTY... ROCKAWAY 4.5 430 AM 3/23 LONG VALLEY 4.0 448 AM 3/23 STIRLING 1.0 413 AM 3/23 ...WARREN COUNTY... BLAIRSTOWN 5.0 500 AM 3/23 PENNSYLVANIA ...MONROE COUNTY... TOBYHANNA 4.0 329 AM 3/23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Prob going to have to pull some plows out just to be safe tonight........i mean i was never suppose to get 2 inches last night....plus have about .5-inch on my driveway...that winterwx21 is going to get it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Woke up to a nice surprise: snowing moderately with 1.8" of snow already on the ground, including even about an inch or so on the asphalt street in front of my house. Temps are about 32-33F according to the various Weatherbug stations around me (32.8F at my house). So we've already achieved our storm forecast, lol. Radar looks very healthy - I could see 3-4" if this rate holds up before the sun starts to do any damage, i.e., before about 8 am. Haven't read the thread to know if everyone else is seeing the same. Snowfall maps from the NWS don't look any different. Hmmmm..... NWS just expanded the WSWarnings to Northampton, Warren and Morris counties, yet still not even a WWAdvisory for Middlesex, where I already have 2" and many folks sound like they're seeing similar amounts and given the radar, there's more on the way at least until sunrise. A friend just told me he has over an inch in West Windsor in southern Middlesex County. Traffic cams look like even 80/78 are a bit snow covered and I'm sure secondary roads are slick in most places. I think the NWS needs to wake up on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Just took a nice long walk around Cook Campus. Some of the roadways were white, especially when the snow was coming down at its heaviest. The snow slowly went from heavy, to moderate, to light over the course of my walk. I didn't measure anything, but I don't see any grass blades...I'd say I probably have around 1.5" of snow on the grass or so...maybe a little more. Based on OBS, I'd guess I'd have slightly less than Edison and Metuchen anyway, so 1.5" or slightly more on the grass probably makes sense. Certainly a nice surprise so far. The trees look great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 06Z RGEM Total Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 Snow starting to pick up here, coating the cartops and grass now. -SN 33.5/32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Prob going to have to pull some plows out just to be safe tonight........i mean i was never suppose to get 2 inches last night....plus have about .5-inch on my driveway...that winterwx21 is going to get it... But the calendar says it's March 22nd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx.1028 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 34.F light snow: sticking on grassy surfaces. 1.00" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 But the calendar says it's March 22nd 23rd lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 But the calendar says it's March 22nd Remember in 1997, Central Park saw more snow in astronomical spring than in astronomical winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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