Edge Weather Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Agree 100%. Radar starting to build nicely now back in central Pennsylvania and this is all going to move east and be snow by the time it gets here. Things are starting to jell. Becoming more and more confident that the abrupt cut back in the models was convective feedback from the ohio valley explosion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Snowing here in scarsdale Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 Snowing here in scarsdale +SNPL 32.7/32 Absolutely pouring a mix of sleet and snow grains here right now. Sticking to secondary roads even... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Overnight runs of the GFS printed out nearly 1" liquid for HPN, POU, SWF, and DXR with .75 nearly to ALB. If current GFS run verifies fairly close, most of these stations will received less than .3" for a storm total. I'm not sure if ALB has even registered measurable precip yet. Dewpoints are in the low teens up there. I don' t think the problems are just feedback related. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Also encourage how the convective precip has transitioned to a stratorm rain north and east of Pitt. Still plenty of convection firing in the southern portion of the state but having a nice solid blob of precip towards the cold sector is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Overnight runs of the GFS printed out nearly 1" liquid for HPN, POU, SWF, and DXR with .75 nearly to ALB. If current GFS run verifies fairly close, most of these stations will received less than .3" for a storm total. I'm not sure if ALB has even registered measurable precip yet. Dewpoints are in the low teens up there. I don' t think the problems are just feedback related. gfs has been junk for days. The other models that were more aggressive but backed off around 12z may still have the right idea. There is going to be a 4-5 hour of craziness tonight. Total liquid could still be in the .5 to .75 range when all is said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkiesFading Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Just had a brief burst of sleet. Temp 34.3. Lots of lightning showing up over PA (even NE PA). Should be interesting to see how this plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Holt crap!! Hail!' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Holt crap!! Hail!' Hail? not sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkiesFading Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Holt crap!! Hail!' Nice, that little cell looks to be making a beeline towards me. Is it producing any snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Dime sized graupel was falling for three minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 To be honest I dont really know what the hell it was. But it wasn't snow or sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 To be honest I dont really know what the hell it was. But it wasn't snow or sleet Snow pellets? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 To be honest I dont really know what the hell it was. But it wasn't snow or sleet Yeah I am having a weird mix of snow grains, snowflakes, and sleet...I think. Coating the driveway here. This is some weird precipitation and radar, storm is screwed up but juiced 32.5/32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 To be honest I dont really know what the hell it was. But it wasn't snow or sleet BIg a$s graupel lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 BIg a$s graupel lol. I had something like that the night of 1/26, accompanied by lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 To be honest I dont really know what the hell it was. But it wasn't snow or sleet I just had a 60 second pelting of something that sounded way too loud to be regular sleet. It was less numerous than regular sleet and much louder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Snow pellets? Nope, solid dime sized balls of ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 i had the same thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I had something like that the night of 1/26, accompanied by lightning. As did I before the snows came. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Nope, solid dime sized balls of ice looks like we'll get more of it before the main precip shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 looks like we'll get more of it before the main precip shield Yeah, did someone put popcorn in the microwave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 we're on the edge of very weak elevated cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 gfs has been junk for days. The other models that were more aggressive but backed off around 12z may still have the right idea. There is going to be a 4-5 hour of craziness tonight. Total liquid could still be in the .5 to .75 range when all is said and done. for NENJ, NYC, and LI, yes. North of there, I don't think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 holy snowgrains/graupel batman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 There is an elevated warm layer, but it could be convective too. Did it look like dippin' dots?? We had that back in 2/2 during a tstm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 There is an elevated warm layer, but it could be convective too. Did it look like dippin' dots?? We had that back in 2/2 during a tstm. I think it's convective...when we had that heavy band the temp jumped a bit and we went to mostly IP. Now back to -SN... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 back to snow now crazy stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Sleet and rain mix here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Weird fooking storm ripping snow to rain too sleet to nothing back to everything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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