Hoosier Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 This is a bit out there but models have been hinting at the potential. Today's 12z GGEM is fairly bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Tomorrow/weekend storm look like they'll have plenty of arctic air to work with, but by the time this storm rolls around, the airmass is going to be a bit stale. That, and the fact that'll be almost April, makes me think thermal issues will be bigger than with the first two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 22, 2011 Author Share Posted March 22, 2011 Tomorrow/weekend storm look like they'll have plenty of arctic air to work with, but by the time this storm rolls around, the airmass is going to be a bit stale. That, and the fact that'll be almost April, makes me think thermal issues will be bigger than with the first two. Maybe, but let me enjoy this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Maybe, but let me enjoy this run Very nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 22, 2011 Author Share Posted March 22, 2011 Very nice. Couldn't draw it up much better than that which probably means it will trend worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Couldn't draw it up much better than that which probably means it will trend worse. If the 12z GGEM would verify verbatim, with both storms, we'd make a run at #1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 euro shows it too...but pretty far south....southern OH to MA hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Definitely payback from the Blizzard if I get whiffed to south on both of these snow threats lol. These two will probably be the last two threats of the season for me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 lol, I love this..I just have the feeling I am going to see my latest good accumulating snowfall since 1997 April 10th. From the NWS: 1997: A spring snowstorm caught many residents of central, northeast and east central Missouri by surprise when 2 to 4 inches of snow fell from central to northeast Missouri while a band of 4 to 6 inches fell across east central Missouri. The snow cancelled many outdoor activities, including the St. Louis Cardinals baseball game. It was the first time since April 17, 1983 that a Cardinals home game was snowed out. I was 15 then. I remember it started snowing early in the AM and we had 5-6 inches by 10-11am and it stopped and all melted by evening! then there is this: 1890: Between the 30th and 31st, 20.4 inches of snow fell at St. Louis. This was the single greatest 24-hour snowfall total on record for this location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/NARR/1997/us0410.php this was the UL's that day, as you can all see the mid level temps were barely cold enough. either way, that worked for snow here. And that looks pretty damn similar to what is coming. mostly we just need cold air, it doesn't matter how strong the sun is if its cold enough to snow...maybe it wont stick well but that is irrelevant to it snowing at all. It is hard to believe it was April 10th looking at those 850s. barely below zero and we had near half a foot that morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 lol, I love this..I just have the feeling I am going to see my latest good accumulating snowfall since 1997 April 10th. Yeah I remember that April '97 storm. We officially had over 10" of snow from the storm, but it never accumulated more than 5-6" on the ground due to melting/compaction. It would be interesting to see you guys get a big snow after several 70 and 80 degree days already this spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Yeah I remember that April '97 storm. We officially had over 10" of snow from the storm, but it never accumulated more than 5-6" on the ground due to melting/compaction. It would be interesting to see you guys get a big snow after several 70 and 80 degree days already this spring. thanks. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/NARR/1994/us0405.php they say my area had ice and sleet with that. well clearly the low level temps were very cold coming in with that front. while the timing really is key. March 28th to 30th can easily provide the right conditions for heavy snow in the air at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Ummm interesting.. If this were to work out be a mighty late snowfall for this region. I don't remember the last time we had a late March snow storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Hell with how crazy this winter has been lets just step on the gas and pump out more storms. I am buying this one also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 I am in shorts today with mid 70's... Its awesome outside today... Two days from now I'll be back in sweat shirts and pants..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Models have major event. Gem and euro major late season snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 0z GEM with a big one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Yeah, this one has more potential than the weekend one for those north of I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 So the 12z gem from 108 hr to 144hr on the black and white maps is crazy cold for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 So the 12z gem from 108 hr to 144hr on the black and white maps is crazy cold for this time of year. Pretty big difference from the 0z wrt the storm. Gets flattened like a pancake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Pretty big difference from the 0z wrt the storm. Gets flattened like a pancake. Yes, Look at the 500/1000mb thickness holy crap. I know we can get snow this time of yer with 546 or so because the collumn is can be cooled from dynamics and evaporational cooling. but when thickness are wide spread under 534. that is crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 The 12z EURO is suppresed south as well..this would give areas like SPG and STL snow, that would be nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 24, 2011 Author Share Posted March 24, 2011 00z GFS looks good for I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 00z GFS looks good for I-80. gotta love how the 12z run looked nothing like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 0z and 6z GFS give SEMI 4-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 0z and 6z GFS give SEMI 4-6" Ya another nice hit for the IA/northern IL crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 GFS and getting stronger and slower. Dates may need to be expanded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Lol and its far north.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Lol and its far north.. Yea with the NAO continuing to tank i doubt it's going that far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Yea with the NAO continuing to tank i doubt it's going that far north. Hopefully it does tank.. The earlier threat looks to be suppressed so this could be it for snow lovers up our way.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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