RedSky Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Canadian pounds areas North and west of Philly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 GFS, UKie and GEM all look good - will Euro join the party? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 LC is still on board for a good dumping of wet snow N and W of I95. Makes sense as a compromise based off of guidance today and the fact the precip bulk looks to impact the area during the night. He is going with a 1-8" range across the region stating that we won't be able to fine-tune the totals until several more model runs have concluded. Gotta give props to the GFS for spotting this potent system over 10 days out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 For our area, we're still looking for a thurs night into fri am time frame? Or am i off by 24hrs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 For our area, we're still looking for a thurs night into fri am time frame? Or am i off by 24hrs? Based on all guidance out thus far..that appears correct... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Based on all guidance out thus far..that appears correct... Thanks. Euro out to 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 12 Z ggem @ 12 Z and 16 Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 42, 1004 mb 1st low. Light precipitation into the area. Trough digging sharp out west .10" for most of region with 1st system through 48. 48, "v" shaped trough taking place, 1008 down by GA( elongated with min precipitation) pos tilt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 54, 1004 low by sc/ga... Heavy precipitation over fl. 60, trough a good bit negative. 1002-1000 low on sc,mc borderLight precipitation into area<.10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 66, 996 east of del.Light precipitation into area. 850's from about York to nwnj /Nepa border 72, 850 and 540 crash to shore, 992 mb low inside benchmark, .25" into pa, ccb band into nyc( although 540 line is west of them, 850's past).5" qpf for. Ne nj ( or same area that got hit hard back on 12/26) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 78, h5 closed, 984 SE of RI. Wow, ccb band back into Philly.! .5"-.75" from Philly-ttn up to nycInto Boston. Philly, Allentown poconos included Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Looks fine to me http://i.imgur.com/I7HEC.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Wish I could show qpf map!CCB for the win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 78, h5 closed, 984 SE of RI. Wow, ccb band back into Philly.! .5"-.75" from Philly-ttn up to nycInto Boston. Philly, Allentown poconos included FRI 06Z 01-APR 1.5 0.5 1003 98 94 0.07 542 539 FRI 12Z 01-APR 1.1 -2.1 997 98 95 0.44 535 537 FRI 18Z 01-APR 2.1 -3.4 995 90 93 0.75 529 533 ABE 1.26 (a change from last night lol) Touch warm at surface but WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Just saw the latest Euro.. Very impressive on the backside. Looks like the Euro and GFS agree on this storm. Very interesting. Friday morning should be very interesting.... Wish I could show qpf map!CCB for the win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 976 off of Maine.Ne crushed. H5 is a beaut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 FRI 06Z 01-APR 1.5 0.5 1003 98 94 0.07 542 539 FRI 12Z 01-APR 1.1 -2.1 997 98 95 0.44 535 537 FRI 18Z 01-APR 2.1 -3.4 995 90 93 0.75 529 533 ABE 1.26 (a change from last night lol) Touch warm at surface but WOW! Scratch that another .14 added on so 1.40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Got Philly? A barter ? I'll email you qpf image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 If you look fast, the qpf image is posted in the NYC thread for the next 3 mins.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Got Philly? A barter ? I'll email you qpf image Where's Tombo with his Euro MS paint maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Got Philly? A barter ? I'll email you qpf image THU 00Z 31-MAR 5.7 -2.0 1017 67 99 0.02 555 542 THU 06Z 31-MAR 3.1 -0.7 1014 92 97 0.06 553 542 THU 12Z 31-MAR 3.5 -0.7 1012 95 46 0.06 551 541 THU 18Z 31-MAR 5.2 -0.1 1010 90 15 0.06 550 542 FRI 00Z 01-APR 4.1 1.1 1007 94 34 0.03 548 542 FRI 06Z 01-APR 2.6 2.8 1001 96 90 0.11 544 543 FRI 12Z 01-APR 1.6 -2.3 996 98 98 0.47 535 538 FRI 18Z 01-APR 3.0 -3.5 995 92 88 0.49 529 533 SAT 00Z 02-APR 3.3 -1.6 997 83 92 0.11 531 534 Gets a bit toasty there ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Wish I could show qpf map!CCB for the win! How far west does the good qpf make it? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 THU 00Z 31-MAR 5.7 -2.0 1017 67 99 0.02 555 542 THU 06Z 31-MAR 3.1 -0.7 1014 92 97 0.06 553 542 THU 12Z 31-MAR 3.5 -0.7 1012 95 46 0.06 551 541 THU 18Z 31-MAR 5.2 -0.1 1010 90 15 0.06 550 542 FRI 00Z 01-APR 4.1 1.1 1007 94 34 0.03 548 542 FRI 06Z 01-APR 2.6 2.8 1001 96 90 0.11 544 543 FRI 12Z 01-APR 1.6 -2.3 996 98 98 0.47 535 538 FRI 18Z 01-APR 3.0 -3.5 995 92 88 0.49 529 533 SAT 00Z 02-APR 3.3 -1.6 997 83 92 0.11 531 534 Gets a bit toasty there ... U Yea, right as low passes east of us. It's not untill thy deform kicks in that the Column cools dramatically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 How far west does the good qpf make it? Thanks .5" just east of state college, .75" by lockhaven, roughly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 .5" just east of state college, .75" by lockhaven, roughly Sounds good, down here in Lancaster maybe even an inch possibly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Talk about a plastering wet snow .. Poor ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Sounds good, down here in Lancaster maybe even an inch possibly? Going by my iPhone, .75 at least, 1" very close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Going by my iPhone, .75 at least, 1" very close Great! Thanks for the updates! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 YeA, April will be the last month for euro subscription. Retire that till next dec. Way worth it this winter. I wonder if the euro is under estimating re amount of front end thump, or if te 1st systems backside flow is keeping the waa at bay.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I'd say N&W of 202 at this point looks golden. Between 202 and I-295 (i.e. the I-95 corrdidor) remain in question. Verbatim, the GFS is the only model showing accumulating snow, simply becuase surface temps are too warm on other models. The column is definitely cold enough but remember, it's not January anymore. My guess is rain-->heavy snow with poor ratios, a few inches in Philly and major accumulations in higher elevations (typically above 401') Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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