am19psu Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Just doing a straight compromise between the GFS and EC, which both bomb the system but have considerably differing tracks, it would be rain to very sloppy wet snow for I-95. I think a 0z Euro/6z GFS blend is probably the best solution right now... which means Philly metro is going to be holding their breath. The ensembles are still showing a pretty wide spread for this far out, so there isn't much help there except that this is a high bust potential forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 JB snow map http://www.weatherbell.com/jb/?category_name=blog_home_page&paged=2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 JB snow map http://www.weatherbell.com/jb/?category_name=blog_home_page&paged=2 takes me to a video on global warming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 takes me to a video on global warming. pick next entry bottom right or this link http://www.weatherbell.com/jb/?category_name=blog_home_page&paged=3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 6z gfs kabe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 06Z GFS snowfall accum for those just waking up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 The 6z GFS is better than my morning cup of coffee. Lets see if it holds serve today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 abe: phl: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Current Wxsim for NW Chester County PA Has light rain arriving on thursday evening transitioning over to snow after midnight with heavy snow by daybreak on Friday. The snow should end before opening pitch at 1pm. Total snow accumulation 3" to 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Between teh Phillies opener and prom Friday, I have several people who want my head if it rains/snows Friday. For probably the only time in my life I'm actually rooting for the OTS track. Because of that you can expect a HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Of the 6z GFS ens, 4 of them (excluding the op) bring accumulating snow to Philly, although one is about 1" and another about 3". http://raleighwx.ame...6zsnowf108.html There's really only 2 other ens (besides the op) that bring 0.25" to Philly, the rest are farther east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Between teh Phillies opener and prom Friday, I have several people who want my head if it rains/snows Friday. For probably the only time in my life I'm actually rooting for the OTS track. Because of that you can expect a HECS. Saturday is first day of trout season in SE Pa. Heavy rain would be worst outcome, then snow, light precip or dry would be best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Foot of snow for Philly on the GFS, it's going to be a good day today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Foot of snow for Philly on the GFS, it's going to be a good day today. seriously??? wow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 seriously??? wow!! 110331/2100Z 63 08008KT 45.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.000|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 110401/0000Z 66 07007KT 38.1F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.008|| 0.01 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0|100 110401/0300Z 69 06012KT 36.7F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.012|| 0.02 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0|100 110401/0600Z 72 03013KT 34.3F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.264|| 0.28 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 9| 0| 91 ----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 110401/0900Z 75 02016KT 32.5F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.287|| 0.57 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 85| 0| 15 110401/1200Z 78 34015KT 32.2F SNOW 20:1|11.5||11.5 0.567|| 1.14 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110401/1500Z 81 32014KT 32.4F SNOW 6:1| 1.3||12.8 0.213|| 1.35 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 82| 0| 18 110401/1800Z 84 29011KT 32.9F RASN 0:1| 0.0||12.8 0.071|| 1.42 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 38| 0| 62 ----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 110401/2100Z 87 28010KT 33.1F RAIN 0:1| 0.0||12.8 0.051|| 1.47 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 7| 0| 93 110402/0000Z 90 28009KT 33.1F RAIN 0:1| 0.0||12.8 0.016|| 1.49 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0|100 110402/0300Z 93 28009KT 30.4F 0:1| 0.0||12.8 0.000|| 1.49 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 110402/0600Z 96 28009KT 27.1F 0:1| 0.0||12.8 0.000|| 1.49 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 110331/2100Z 63 08008KT 45.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.000|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 110401/0000Z 66 07007KT 38.1F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.008|| 0.01 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0|100 110401/0300Z 69 06012KT 36.7F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.012|| 0.02 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0|100 110401/0600Z 72 03013KT 34.3F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.264|| 0.28 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 9| 0| 91 ----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 110401/0900Z 75 02016KT 32.5F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.0 0.287|| 0.57 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 85| 0| 15 110401/1200Z 78 34015KT 32.2F SNOW 20:1|11.5||11.5 0.567|| 1.14 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 100| 0| 0 110401/1500Z 81 32014KT 32.4F SNOW 6:1| 1.3||12.8 0.213|| 1.35 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 82| 0| 18 110401/1800Z 84 29011KT 32.9F RASN 0:1| 0.0||12.8 0.071|| 1.42 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 38| 0| 62 ----------------------------------------------+----++-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 110401/2100Z 87 28010KT 33.1F RAIN 0:1| 0.0||12.8 0.051|| 1.47 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 7| 0| 93 110402/0000Z 90 28009KT 33.1F RAIN 0:1| 0.0||12.8 0.016|| 1.49 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0|100 110402/0300Z 93 28009KT 30.4F 0:1| 0.0||12.8 0.000|| 1.49 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 110402/0600Z 96 28009KT 27.1F 0:1| 0.0||12.8 0.000|| 1.49 0.00|| 0.00 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 11.5" of that falls with supposed 20:1 ratios, so no, not really a foot of snow. 0.567" QPF does not equal 11.5" in April with a 2m temp of 32.2° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 12z gfs looks interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 ABE FRI 06Z 01-APR 0.4 -2.6 1003 99 99 0.25 540 537 FRI 12Z 01-APR -0.6 -4.3 999 99 99 0.33 532 533 FRI 18Z 01-APR 1.4 -4.9 999 100 97 0.12 529 530 .70 total at the time that counts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 12z gfs looks interesting Looks like we are going to go through this thing after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 GFS says that we have 2 events within the next few days! Winter making its last hurrah! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 2m temps on warm side at start so looks like rain to heavy wet snow? 850's look great per gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Elevation will likely help quite a bit.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Wow to the UK again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Awesome hit for our area. Please please hold! Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 66 for abe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 storm couple days later = wash out = wet mushy conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 snow depth from the 12z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 12z GGEM gives a lot of QPF as well, do'nt know if it is all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 12z GGEM gives a lot of QPF as well, do'nt know if it is all snow 12 Z GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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