dryslot Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Yeah it's a little colder but further north with the mid level frontogenesis it seems. It actually tries to dryslot srn CT near 06z. Yes, I get into some of the good stuff up here, Looks like its trying to form an inverted trough back to the NW as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Wow, GFS is a really good hit for most of SNE except the south coast in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 More of a widespread hit into SNH and ME. This run places you solidly in some decent snows for your area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 gfs torches the bl over ct before sagging south at 42, rain for thesouth coast, mixing and ds throughout CT. toss it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Crushing hit..Widespread 12+ except for south coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Wow, GFS is a really good hit for most of SNE except the south coast in CT. Congrats and enjoy the snow Will!! :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Ryan...can you send me the links to the newscasts? Did you get my texts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 The 850 low tracks over the south coast of CT...thats pretty solid for HFD northward in SNE...for this strength anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 borderline warning criteria? I can imagine there will be some arguing in taunton with this one... I'd guess they stick to advy's but who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2011 Author Share Posted March 22, 2011 Yes, I get into some of the good stuff up here, Looks like its trying to form an inverted trough back to the NW as well... Yeah it has good inflow at 850 up your way by 12z Thursday. It's more organized even down here between 12z and 18z Thursday. The low really didn't shift north..actually it went a little south, but we also might be seeing model noise where convection and other processes may mess around with the WAA and shift things around. I think it does bring home the fact that mid level processes like frontogenesis will occur much farther north from the low center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2011 Author Share Posted March 22, 2011 Crushing hit..Widespread 12+ except for south coast LOL, easy with those numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Yeah it has good inflow at 850 up your way by 12z Thursday. It's more organized even down here between 12z and 18z Thursday. The low really didn't shift north..actually it went a little south, but we also might be seeing model noise where convection and other processes may mess around with the WAA and shift things around. I think it does bring home the fact that mid level processes like frontogenesis will occur much farther north from the low center. Its stronger with the ml inflow and WAA....so even if the sfc tracks slightly south, its essentially a mild N trend given the ML dynamics which of course are wya more important than the sfc low track. I think that type of track would be very good for a lot of us...that ML setup would probably produce a bit of banding too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Crushing hit..Widespread 12+ except for south coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 borderline warning criteria? I can imagine there will be some arguing in taunton with this one... I'd guess they stick to advy's but who knows Big contrast from last week (friday) when the ladies were strolling around Northampton in shorts and t-shirts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 LOL, easy with those numbers. Lol gotta love king weenie. How are we looking in hfd... I haven't seen anything since yesterday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2011 Author Share Posted March 22, 2011 Its stronger with the ml inflow and WAA....so even if the sfc tracks slightly south, its essentially a mild N trend given the ML dynamics which of course are wya more important than the sfc low track. I think that type of track would be very good for a lot of us...that ML setup would probably produce a bit of banding too. Yeah it has a good LLJ up that way. As a matter of fact, it almost looks better near and north of the Pike on this run, given inflow and mid level RH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Big contrast from last week (friday) when the ladies were strolling around Northampton in shorts and t-shirts. and other ladies. Wonder if the b'east will reopen for a last hurrah powder day Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Big contrast from last week (friday) when Pete was strolling around Northampton in a thong and wife-beater. That's New England for ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2011 Author Share Posted March 22, 2011 Lol gotta love king weenie. How are we looking in hfd... I haven't seen anything since yesterday morning Probably pretty good. The GFS gets the DS close, but a nice dumping after 00z Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 and other ladies. Wonder if the b'east will reopen for a last hurrah powder day Thursday? They already closed? lol, thats pathetic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 ukmet crushes the nyc metro and south coast, 850 low slides south of long island just like the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 ukmet crushes the nyc metro and south coast, 850 low slides south of long island just like the nam Ukie def came a bit north...better snows into SNE. Still well south of GFS though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 They already closed? lol, thats pathetic During the week anyway. Website says they're opening again this weekend, but maybe they'll consider a bonus day if WSWs are hoisted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2011 Author Share Posted March 22, 2011 Ukie def came a bit north...better snows into SNE. Still well south of GFS though. Ukie/GFS would be a good combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Ukie def came a bit north...better snows into SNE. Still well south of GFS though. I have a feeling the king takes ml over long island, south coast snow to rain back to snow and everyone else in sne get s a nice high end advisory low end warning snowfall, gfs is suspect with the 850 low driving right into the confluence, though i wish it were right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Looks like we're zoning in a pretty big hit..Should def be some 10-12 inch lalalalalollies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Hmmm. I must have misunderstood this then. Explain? I'm still new to all this. 00Z NAM SUPPRESSED SOLUTION HAS SUPPORT FROM THE 00Z ECMWF AND 03ZSREF ALONG WITH NAO EXPECTED TO BECOME NEGATIVE THIS PERIOD.THEREFORE DISCOUNTED THE GFS SOLUTION.That's from the AFD NAM and Euro wre world's apart. NAM was suppressed..Euro brought snow north of pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2011 Author Share Posted March 22, 2011 This is really nice inflow from the Atlantic. Earlier, although flow was lighter, it had great WAA from the SE over SNE. Dryslot and Brian would like this. I wonder if the GFS is still a little on the north side, but I think it has the right idea, unlike the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Hmmm. I must have misunderstood this then. Explain? I'm still new to all this. 00Z NAM SUPPRESSED SOLUTION HAS SUPPORT FROM THE 00Z ECMWF AND 03ZSREF ALONG WITH NAO EXPECTED TO BECOME NEGATIVE THIS PERIOD.THEREFORE DISCOUNTED THE GFS SOLUTION.That's from the AFD can't speak for them..but the Euro was not suppressed like the NAM which gave almost noone snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 uk met is cold! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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