Typhoon Tip Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Pete and Kevin still saying to ignore models and keep faith? Worm has turned we are back to reality snowiest forecasts ftl. We all busted in my wildest imaginations I expected at least a coating. This is a total disaster for ncep, NOAA, tv etc. I don't mean to come off heavy handed here but ... I'm really not surprised with this. At all really. I was optimistic for the winter heads yesterday, and even posted as such... But when I saw the 00z NAM pull back again after the busiest 18z I immediately just turned off my computer and settled into a DVR'ed movie - I was about as done to this as any day past February 10th this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 TBH the worst part about a bust to me is forecasters getting slammed. People just dont understand the difficulty of forecasting. Yes, I wanted the snow, but hearing people complain about "weather people" tomorrow at school is more annoying to me then not getting snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Have you seen get me to the greek? Your cosmic dildo has some asking "why does it have balls?" tonight. It's not a CD though in my estimation - I think my explanation for Hub' has a lot of truth. In other words, a very identifiable cause that could easily have been ferreted out of the leading indicators; alas, snow blinders - it's another reason why I dislike the snow obsession that tends to come before Meteorology too often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 I don't think too many folks (other than some on here - me included) will be upset... not like this was going to make many folks late to work etc. Did some schools in CT really let out early? And Plympton no school? sheesh Who got this one right? anyone? Big disaster for many wx folks, but no one will really care Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 LOL! EPIC FAAAIIIL! I wish I could keep being that guy that trolls about spring all the time, but alas, I've tied myself to the day 6 storm threat But I just want to remind everyone .... that this storm FAILED! LOL! WINTER IS OVER (after the 31st) GET OVAH IT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 It's not a CD though in my estimation - I think my explanation for Hub' has a lot of truth. In other words, a very identifiable cause that could easily have been ferreted out of the leading indicators; alas, snow blinders - it's another reason why I dislike the snow obsession that tends to come before Meteorology too often. I'm not going to sift back through 75 pages of this, but few red taggers saw this circling the drain this way 24 hours out, although several hoisted a few red flags... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 LOL! EPIC FAAAIIIL! I wish I could keep being that guy that trolls about spring all the time, but alas, I've tied myself to the day 6 storm threat But I just want to remind everyone .... that this storm FAILED! LOL! WINTER IS OVER (after the 31st) GET OVAH IT! I love the caveat! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 From BOX 10 PM UPDATE...HAVE ADJUSTED MANY FIELDS...INCLUDING POP...WX... QPF...AND SNOW AMOUNT GRIDS. RADAR TRENDS ARE DIMINISHING WHICH FITS WITH A FURTHER SOUTH LOW TRACK AND MOST IN LINE WITH THE 18Z NAM. AS THIS HAS BEEN A PARTICULARLY DIFFICULT STORM TO FORECAST...CANNOT RULE OUT ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL OVER THE NIGHT. BUT BELIEVE THIS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE WAY OF FLURRIES FOR MOST OF THE AREA AT LEAST UNTIL CLOSER TO DAWN. WE HAVE CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HAMPDEN AND SOUTHERN WORCESTER COUNTIES IN MASSACHUSETTS...AND FURTHER TRIMMING MAY BE NECESSARY...WITH MUCH OF THE PRECIP AT 10 PM ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE SOUTH COAST. AT THIS POINT EXPECT THE BEST SHOT OF SNOW WILL BE ALONG THE SOUTH COAST...CAPE...AND ISLANDS TONIGHT AS WELL AS ALONG THE COAST /BOTH EAST AND SOUTH/ NEAR DAWN WITH SOME OCEAN ENHANCEMENT. WEENIES LINED UP ON THE TOBIN AND THOSE WITH SPRING FETISHES MUST UNITE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 I'm not going to sift back through 75 pages of this, but few red taggers saw this circling the drain this way 24 hours out, although several hoisted a few red flags... I was never that gung ho, although I also did not tell everyone to shut-up as I normally do ( pissing everyone off...). I didn't have the heart. Too many people were gypped by an epically failed February, to lay that gauntlet down! I am still more optimistic for the D6-12 range....I have DEFINITELY been more gung ho about that. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 I was never that gung ho, although I also did not tell everyone to shut-up as I normally do ( pissing everyone off...). I didn't have the heart. Too many people were gypped by an epically failed February, to lay that gauntlet down! I am still more optimistic for the D6-12 range....I have DEFINITELY been more gung ho about that. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 24, 2011 Author Share Posted March 24, 2011 I'm not going to sift back through 75 pages of this, but few red taggers saw this circling the drain this way 24 hours out, although several hoisted a few red flags... It started going down the drain yesterday...we all mentioned it, but discussed a few caveats that might allow it to produce some snow. Confluence..perhaps convection..you name it we all mentioned these were possibly issues, but there will still some factors that were looking pretty good..even yesterday. By this morning, it became clear confluence was really kicking this storm in the nads. We lacked the good overall forcing and the disorganized look to everything didn't exactly install confidence. Eh, what are you going to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jt5019 Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 I don't think too many folks (other than some on here - me included) will be upset... not like this was going to make many folks late to work etc. Did some schools in CT really let out early? And Plympton no school? sheesh Who got this one right? anyone? Big disaster for many wx folks, but no one will really care Lots of schools closed early today and a lot of evening activities got canceled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Lots of schools closed early today and a lot of evening activities got canceled Wow... for 2-3" that eventually became nothing... we are soft. Not sure why they closed early if it wasn;t really suppose to be until later in the day/evening. Whatever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 It's not even that cloudy here. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 atleast the grass got covered one last time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Looks like a solid 4-8 inch event..maybe even 6-12 At least this was 48 hours before... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 24, 2011 Author Share Posted March 24, 2011 Radar just vaporized. Pretty hilarious. That part was modeled pretty well...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 BOX has me at 12F Sat night... dry and cold dry and cold dry and cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 I'll laugh if I end up with more snow than kevin tonight and tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 I feel bad for kev, not even a dusting, and the call was 4-8 and 3-6. Me too though, although I stay up for the fail. You were really bullish on this event, ready to rock and roll but it never happened. The computer models did a poor job this winter and I don't think this can be spun any other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Radar just vaporized. Pretty hilarious. That part was modeled pretty well...lol. That big PV to our north might be causing us grief again next week. I don't like its been trending stronger/further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Hello pot, meet kettle.... Your posts suck big weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 That big PV to our north might be causing us grief again next week. I don't like its been trending stronger/further south. Does the cold start to leave after the weekend? I'm fine with whatever happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 That big PV to our north might be causing us grief again next week. I don't like its been trending stronger/further south. It's why I am think that we need to get past the -NAO nadir in a week ... At that time the PNA is elevated and the relaxing NAO would be a nice opportunity for a bowling ball to maybe even get a N steroid inject - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 That big PV to our north might be causing us grief again next week. I don't like its been trending stronger/further south. I don't care that this trended to sh**, I just wish that the cold pattern never returned....It's like March 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 It's why I am think that we need to get past the -NAO nadir in a week ... At that time the PNA is elevated and the relaxing NAO would be a nice opportunity for a bowling ball to maybe even get a N steroid inject - If that doesn't wk out, I see nice PNA spike around the 4th of July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 I don't care that this trended to sh**, I just wish that the cold pattern never returned....It's like March 2010. rhu roh, it's starting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Does the cold start to leave after the weekend? I'm fine with whatever happens. We're stuck with the below avg temps for the next week at minimum....but the coldest stuff will definitely be this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Well, this board will start to go into slumber mode soon... no more 1500 post threads for a little while Good night ladies and gentlemen. I enjoyed this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 If that doesn't wk out, I see nice PNA spike around the 4th of July. Don't worry, only 38 more days until May 1st!!!!! Severe wx season in SNE!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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