Typhoon Tip Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 And backyards other than Ayer, MA. It goes both ways. Plus, I'm sure any posters between Rochester and Buffalo right now aren't thinking that Mother Nature is playing a cruel joke on them. You can't win them all. Hardly, I'm aware of it though - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Still looking at models lol Unfortunately, they line up with obs pretty well. Let's hope they bust, and were right yesterday. 2" would be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Wow SREFs have totally pulled the plug. 50% probs for 1" for Kevin... 4" probs spike to 25% in southern Fairfield Co Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 messenger and ct rain both must both get kickbacks on alcohol and or cemetery plot sales. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Still looking at models lol It's better than looking at the radar...that has to be one of the most pathetic displays in quite some time.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Noyes looks heart broken a minute ago... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Wow SREFs have totally pulled the plug. 50% probs for 1" for Kevin... 4" probs spike to 25% in southern Fairfield Co Yeah baby wahoo! AND the new ruc looks 100% better down here, I thought CWEAT would have posted it by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 NEXT! I have a slim chance of getting in on the pathetic CCB but otherwise this was all a big tease. the RUC and HRRR as well as radar trends don't support much of this getting beyond the Shires before it collapses/dies SE. Then we wait to see if the ocean portion can scrape some seagulls on Monomoy later tonight. I've just read through all the posts since about noontime in this thread... and I just can't figure out if you think its going to snow or not. You have definitely been hiding your opinion on this storm today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Wow SREFs have totally pulled the plug. 50% probs for 1" for Kevin... 4" probs spike to 25% in southern Fairfield Co We'll be lucky with a coating on rooftops down here-this one is toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 After the stretch we had and the baseball team we have ready to fire it up, hair dryers won't be anywhere near my tub. This is 2011...not 2010; I'm fine. I went through and deleted some old texts yesterday. I got one from Kevin back in November saying how nervous he was for this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 We'll be lucky with a coating on rooftops down here-this one is toast. Turn that frown upside down! 19 ruc says srefs are right on the money baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Turn that frown upside down! 19 ruc says srefs are right on the money baby! and the NAM has close to zero...and check out the radar... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 and the NAM has close to zero...and check out the radar... just having fun, we have no control just enjoy the ride! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Here's my forecast. I think this is too optimistic as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 SYR now down to 1/4 +SN...but RME not reporting anything...they are pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Hey C_WEAT I hear the new RUC has turned about face and is a la crushing again?? Gotta post the good with the bad! I was outside shoveling after the plows came by. Wow SREFs have totally pulled the plug. 50% probs for 1" for Kevin... 4" probs spike to 25% in southern Fairfield Co SREF's once again were absolutely awesome from start to finish on this event. It's better than looking at the radar...that has to be one of the most pathetic displays in quite some time.... It's snowing here, about ten flakes a minute if I focus. Yeah baby wahoo! AND the new ruc looks 100% better down here, I thought CWEAT would have posted it by now. It's only out to 8 hours on TD, and that's about the useful range. I've just read through all the posts since about noontime in this thread... and I just can't figure out if you think its going to snow or not. You have definitely been hiding your opinion on this storm today. Coating to 2" for me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 HEY!! OKX just issued WWA 2-4 inches of snow tonight!!! I love it in the face of all the modeling they have upped snow totals.......they nailed today, hopefully they nail tonight!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Snow grains. Poor snow growth. Have it here too sounds like sleet but its not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 radar is looking better and obs support it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 You have to wonder if the mesoscale models... like the NAM were correct in generating lots of convection west and robbing the northward extent of the moisture transport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 HEY!! OKX just issued WWA 2-4 inches of snow tonight!!! I love it in the face of all the modeling they have upped snow totals.......they nailed today, hopefully they nail tonight!! The ironic thing is that the only place that has a shot of verifying an advisory in CT is the place that wasn't under an advisory initially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Here's my forecast. I think this is too optimistic as well. Nice but you forgot to account for the jackpots near MRG and Kev. It's going to snow/precipitate enough here for a coating to 2" but we may fail because it's not sustained and won't accumulate. Pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 This is officially a sw CT circle-jerk, so it's time to move onto the opening day obliterator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 HEY!! OKX just issued WWA 2-4 inches of snow tonight!!! I love it in the face of all the modeling they have upped snow totals.......they nailed today, hopefully they nail tonight!! LOL-they go with nothing while the models are impressive and then the models pull back and they go for 2-4...go figure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 Weenie flakes at PVD and EWB. ACK actually getting a nice snow right now at 33F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 box is still thinking this looks good from 417pm NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...SOME PRECIP ALREADY BEGINNING TO STREAM OVER WRN ZONES WHERECLOUD COVER HAVE KEPT TEMPS GENERALLY IN THE MID 30S MOST OF THEDAY. ERN PORTIONS OF THE FA LIKELY SEEING VIRGA WITH RADAR RETURNSAS A RESULT OF SIG DRY AIR PER THIS MORNINGS LOCAL SOUNDINGS. THEEARLY COOLING DUE TO EVAPORATION LEADS TO SLIGHTLY BETTERCONFIDENCE OF ACCUMULATING SNOW OVERNIGHT REGARDLESS OF NRN MODELSTRENDING S IN LATEST RUNS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I think this may be why the models are insisting this thing ...somehow fails SNE: ...DAY 1... ...SYNOPSIS... MID/UPR LVL PTRN CHNG IS WELL UNDERWAY THIS PD WITH HIER LAT BLOCKING HELPG TO SUPPRESS THE HGTS ACRS THE CONUS. MEAN MID/UPR VORTICES WL BCM ANCHORED ALNG THE WCST AND OVR SERN CAN/NEW ENG. MIDLVL SYS MOVG EWD FM THE MIDWEST TO MID ATLC CST WL WEAKEN THIS PD. MDLS ARE SHOWG SVRL DIFF SOLUS RELATED TO PCPN. OVR THE WRN U.S....MDLS ARE STG AGREEMENT THAT ANOTHER HVY PCPN EVENT WL OCCUR ACRS MOSTLY CA. The diving NAO ... crushing this beast... It will be interesting this evening to see if this is being rushed as a mtigator by the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 You have to wonder if the mesoscale models... like the NAM were correct in generating lots of convection west and robbing the northward extent of the moisture transport. Yeah quite possible looking into PA/WV/OH right now. Like I said a day or so ago one model camp (and the NAM was its own camp) was clearly right and the other clearly wrong. Appears we are seeing the NAM had the best idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 HEY!! OKX just issued WWA 2-4 inches of snow tonight!!! I love it in the face of all the modeling they have upped snow totals.......they nailed today, hopefully they nail tonight!! AWT. Hopefully you do well down there. You were in tulip mode 24 hrs ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 light to mod snow now porch and grass starting to whiten a little bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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