ineedsnow Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 ton of tornado watches out now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 It's not time for you to start inhaling your moms paint can fumes in the basement..pattern is ripe with poential and many of us are seeing snow now and tonight eh, that's a commiseration post. Fact of the matter is, it will be interesting to see if it snows anyway despite the guidance. It's been a long while since we've seen a unilateral bust. But I guess none of this applies to you folks in CT because it was destined to snow there all along. There are backyards beyond the confines of Tollan though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 This is one of those weird optical illusion on radar storms… I mean, at no time when peering over the radar in motion does it occur to one that we are going to get missed, yet … it never gets here. It’s like the model wasn’t modeling the atmosphere but the thoughts of a cruel hoaxer - Actually, this is better though, for me anyway. I guess it doesn't get to be warm either. So perfect, the plan to phase anything possibly enjoyable out of the weather is almost complete! Models unanimously lost next week’s big bomb too. I'd say that is better (for me) too, but it looks like it is death cold with no action - utterly and elegantly obnoxious if that happens like that. RUC does bring the snow in here for sure....and it's pretty intense too. At these rates I expect to see plenty of 3-4" totals. EDIT: For the record this is the first run of the RUC to show a Euro total miss. It's fugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 eh, that's a commiseration post. Fact of the matter is, it will be interesting to see if it snows anyway despite the guidance. It's been a long while since we've seen a unilateral bust. But I guess none of this applies to you folks in CT because it was destined to snow there all along. There are backyards beyond the confines of Tollan though. Well it appears you have become far too emotionally invested in this event. My advice would be to detach yourself from emotion when it comes to wanting it to snow and just look at it objectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 trying to find every way to get to kev today lol RUC does bring the snow in here for sure....and it's pretty intense too. At these rates I expect to see plenty of 3-4" totals. EDIT: For the record this is the first run of the RUC to show a Euro total miss. It's fugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Don't take the toaster into the tub just yet for this pattern. I'm not - I said IF that happens. I don't think it will turn out that blase though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Well it appears you have become far too emotionally invested in this event. My advice would be to detach yourself from emotion when it comes to wanting it to snow and just look at it objectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 My god is the RUC ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COPO Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 This has been a great thread. Thank sfor all the laughs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 trying to find every way to get to kev today lol No, trying to discuss the weather good or bad! One of the best models bailed totally, now for the first time some NCEP guidance is following suit. May be a blip, or it may be the final nail. My god is the RUC ugly Yeah, cruel! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 27, snow. Back @ 2k, 1/2" new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 Probably a good radar analog for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 The stuff in NY continues to be what we have to watch. ROC is reporting 1/4 +SN in that stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 The stuff in NY continues to be what we have to watch. ROC is reporting 1/4 +SN in that stuff. Would seem to make sense to look at upstream obs and radar instead of pasting our face to every run of the RUC..and slapping our weenies aginst the screen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 The stuff in NY continues to be what we have to watch. ROC is reporting 1/4 +SN in that stuff. Normally you would think it's making a straight shot down I-90. It looks healthy and pretty far north, hopefully it looks that good near Albany later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 From last night's 00z GFS: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_ten_024m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Well it appears you have become far too emotionally invested in this event. My advice would be to detach yourself from emotion when it comes to wanting it to snow and just look at it objectively. Nice try from the one person who has 0 objectivity. Besides, now cast argues that the guidance is all wrong. I'm thinking that angle is pretty cool to see if it holds - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Normally you would think it's making a straight shot down I-90. It looks healthy and pretty far north, hopefully it looks that good near Albany later on. The regional radar composites in NY have looked solid but when you look at ENX you can see how paltry things are NW of Albany. Looks like there's a steady stream of dry air halting the precip before GFL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 look at that convection heading northeast out of ohio!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 The stuff in NY continues to be what we have to watch. ROC is reporting 1/4 +SN in that stuff. Well Jesus - extrapolating THAT east and we wind up S of the snow of all things... Man, this is weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Are you saying that we might get a fair storm after all? Nice try from the one person who has 0 objectivity. Besides, now cast argues that the guidance is all wrong. I'm thinking that angle is pretty cool to see if it holds - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Would seem to make sense to look at upstream obs and radar instead of pasting our face to every run of the RUC..and slapping our weenies aginst the screen Definitely because the 2h RUC forecast looks absolutely nothing like that radar.... What you and Ray do in the privacy of your boom-boom room need not be discussed here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 BUF reporting 1/4 +SN too...that is a good ML fronto band there. I think it will give some of us snow later on, but how intense it still is the $64,000 question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 The regional radar composites in NY have looked solid but when you look at ENX you can see how paltry things are NW of Albany. Looks like there's a steady stream of dry air halting the precip before GFL. Exactly. -- Snowing here as of 335pm. No plows yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 The regional radar composites in NY have looked solid but when you look at ENX you can see how paltry things are NW of Albany. Looks like there's a steady stream of dry air halting the precip before GFL. LOL, I've been looking at ENX and TYX radar. I want to see the space to the north of the sites start to fill in. It's beginning to slowly do that, but notice the echoes north of ENX have that north to south push to them. That's the confluence that we're battling, but hopefully it fills in some more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 BUF reporting 1/4 +SN too...that is a good ML fronto band there. I think it will give some of us snow later on, but how intense it still is the $64,000 question. what's your call? 1-3"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Are you saying that we might get a fair storm after all? Well - that may be subjective... I guess for me, 3" is a "fair storm" past the Equinox, and judging by rad presentation/motion/ along and some ground truth in western NY, it would seem doable - particularly because that should be arriving (if it does) near sunset. I'm just awed by the tornado warning production so close by. That's amazing - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 what's your call? 1-3"? Yes, with 2-4" for Union. But it could definitely bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 LOL, I've been looking at ENX and TYX radar. I want to see the space to the north of the sites start to fill in. It's beginning to slowly do that, but notice the echoes north of ENX have that north to south push to them. That's the confluence that we're battling, but hopefully it fills in some more. Looking at the BUFKIT soundings here in CT there seems to be a 2 or 3 hour shot of omega that comes in just before midnight. Before that it's just garbage amounts. I think we will get something but I'm always leary when I'm watching big convection firing near PIT and I'm waiting for some solid and heavy stratiform precip to move in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.