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Potential widespread snow event for Wednesday Night through Thursday.


CoastalWx

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I'm Still going with your final call of 3-6..and mine.

Steady snow in Windsor.

no no i didn't make any call. I haven't looked at anything until right about now.

yesterday I probably would have said 3-6 but i didn't look at much of anything until today.

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Heavy totals in NJ for this time of year:

MILTON 7.5 750 AM 3/23 MARCELLA 7.5 629 AM 3/23 FLANDERS 6.5 805 AM 3/23 RANDOLPH TWP 6.5 559 AM 3/23 LAKE HOPATCONG 6.3 604 AM 3/23

This was clearly an issue with placement, only, with regard to model accuracy. Those totals are if anything busting the models

too light.

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Tornado watch in most of Ohio...lol. Not often do they ge ta tornado watch and we are worried about suppression.

The key for our area salvaging accumulating snow out of this is the area of pretty good mid-level frontogenesis out in W NY...its beginnin got connect up with the stuff in N MI on radar too, so perhaps we can get a several hour period of steady snow later this afternoon and this evening.

mar232pm700mbfronto.gif

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When will you go into board hibernation this year? Any dates you're considering?

I may be forced into hibernation by all the snow you've predicted in the last few days. Toss the GFS aside of when it shows snow. Then hump it like a Mississippi Leg Hound.

Maybe with the shortening wavelengths, we can get the BIrving and Messenger shortwaves to cutoff near Bermuda....sit and spin.

blah blah blah

People get grumpy when there are dissimilar viewpoints. This basically looks like a non-event for most.

No, Kev and Ray get grumpy when they track a storm for x days get roped in and it falls apart in Typhoon Dildo fashion. Everyone else is having perfectly normal weather conversations without twisting the words of others or deliberately misquoting them to cover their own rearends.

Wow the 12z NAM and 12z GFS look awful... even down here. Maybe a 1-3 kinda deal for most places?

If we get lucky and see a good jog north.

AABKT (as all bu Kevin thought):whistle:

:)

Every model at 12z pretty much looks like crap and so does the radar. Many areas will be lucky to see 2" in SNE.

This seems reasonable for now.

Can't recall since it's been 50 days since I've seen a snowfall greater than 2".:sun:

Yes, lots of busts in favor of snow the last 50 days.

How about some humor?

"Time for baseball, fertilizer, and lawnmower tuneups"

As we were thinking all along.

"Posted 15 March 2011 - 03:28 PM

Rev Kev

3rd snowless March in a row for all of us. Hard to believe"

As we thought..

As we were thinking from the get-go

As you had been thinking since the inception

As we knew would be the case

Exactly as planned

As you had been thinking!

As had been discussed prior

This is where you should have started. :)

At least you didn't change any of the text....in his own words as our Reverend.

If the euro's right..even Joe will be counting flakes.

Euro FTW....RUC too....been showing this as a pile of pud since early early AM.

Yeah I think it's seriously time to cut this one loose

Ouch.

Wow the Euro is an epic fail. I'd say that's virtually no accumulation anywhere.

That bad? Nothing over .1"?

no no i didn't make any call. I haven't looked at anything until right about now.

yesterday I probably would have said 3-6 but i didn't look at much of anything until today.

Kev likes to take others down with him...that's why he's been busy misquoting/representing what people have said. None of us care who was right or wrong, this had potential and we ALL got roped in. Some of us bailed on expectations earlier, I'm going to be PO'd if I don't get a C-2".

And to think SkiMRG took me to task for suggesting there was a south trend!

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Tornado watch in most of Ohio...lol. Not often do they ge ta tornado watch and we are worried about suppression.

The key for our area salvaging accumulating snow out of this is the area of pretty good mid-level frontogenesis out in W NY...its beginnin got connect up with the stuff in N MI on radar too, so perhaps we can get a several hour period of steady snow later this afternoon and this evening.

Yeah, I was just thinking about that... The NAO is just now entering negative phase state and plummeting... The race is on!

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Those echoes out in wrn NY state look nice. We'll have to see if those echoes from ne OH into PA also start to organize. If the stuff doesn't get ripped apart, might bode well for Kev and up through Will.

I think the point of no return for my area will be how the echoes look by late day. If we start to see some headway to the ne over ern NY state, that might bode well for areas northeast of CT. The frontogenesis is really the only factor producing snow out that way right now. It should move east, but what we don't want is for it to shred.

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This is one of those weird optical illusion on radar storms… I mean, at no time when peering over the radar in motion does it occur to one that we are going to get missed, yet … it never gets here.

It’s like the model wasn’t modeling the atmosphere but the thoughts of a cruel hoaxer -

Actually, this is better though, for me anyway. I guess it doesn't get to be warm either. So perfect, the plan to phase anything possibly enjoyable out of the weather is almost complete!

Models unanimously lost next week’s big bomb too. I'd say that is better (for me) too, but it looks like it is death cold with no action - utterly and elegantly obnoxious if that happens like that.

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This is one of those weird optical illusion on radar storms… I mean, at no time when peering over the radar in motion does it occur to one that we are going to get missed, yet … it never gets here.

It’s like the model wasn’t modeling the atmosphere but the thoughts of a cruel hoaxer -

Actually, this is better though, for me anyway. I guess it doesn't get to be warm either. So perfect, the plan to phase anything possibly enjoyable out of the weather is almost complete!

Models unanimously lost next week’s big bomb too. I'd say that is better (for me) too, but it looks like it is death cold with no action - utterly and elegantly obnoxious if that happens like that.

Don't take the toaster into the tub just yet for this pattern.

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This is one of those weird optical illusion on radar storms… I mean, at no time when peering over the radar in motion does it occur to one that we are going to get missed, yet … it never gets here.

It’s like the model wasn’t modeling the atmosphere but the thoughts of a cruel hoaxer -

Actually, this is better though, for me anyway. I guess it doesn't get to be warm either. So perfect, the plan to phase anything possibly enjoyable out of the weather is almost complete!

Models unanimously lost next week’s big bomb too. I'd say that is better (for me) too, but it looks like it is death cold with no action - utterly and elegantly obnoxious if that happens like that.

Well, some little bit of perverse ill-logic tells me if a storm is modelled for days and doesn't happen, then if one disappears and is not modelled for days, it will happen?

:arrowhead:

Dry Cold... what a great thing to look forward to

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This is one of those weird optical illusion on radar storms… I mean, at no time when peering over the radar in motion does it occur to one that we are going to get missed, yet … it never gets here.

It’s like the model wasn’t modeling the atmosphere but the thoughts of a cruel hoaxer -

Actually, this is better though, for me anyway. I guess it doesn't get to be warm either. So perfect, the plan to phase anything possibly enjoyable out of the weather is almost complete!

Models unanimously lost next week’s big bomb too. I'd say that is better (for me) too, but it looks like it is death cold with no action - utterly and elegantly obnoxious if that happens like that.

It's not time for you to start inhaling your moms paint can fumes in the basement..pattern is ripe with poential and many of us are seeing snow now and tonight

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