dendrite Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 The SUNY has the H7 frontogenesis progs too. That favored area tracks right through S MA. http://cheget.msrc.sunysb.edu/loop/12km.700fr.html lol at that norlun band too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I've had about an inch of snow in 40-50+ days. There's been almost no potential during that time and really nothing to talk about aside of "potential" which isn't my thing. I felt I had a legitimate shot at 3-6" from this one but also said it was just as good a chance it would bust low as high...that was yesterday. Beginning later last night and now today it's pretty clear the GFS is EXACTLY what you say it is, a terrible model, and minus that this is NBD for almost all of us in SNE aside of SW and S CT. Doesn't mean it won't snow, but let's be realistic. We will need to see some very favorable trends in the radar today to turn this around and I think everyone here admits that including you. Well for those of us who are inline for 3-6 inches..it's something fun and exciting to track and look forward to.. You do what you want..but don't ruin it for those of us that are looking forward to some spring snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 snow has stopped was good to see for about 20 minutes lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I haven't been able to get BGM radar to update since 9:30 AM...kinda sux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 The SUNY has the H7 frontogenesis progs too. That favored area tracks right through S MA. http://cheget.msrc.s...12km.700fr.html lol at that norlun band too. I'll add that that 2nd area of frontogenesis to the north is showing up on composite radar from upstate NY into S VT/NH, but dry air in the low levels is sublimating it. Virga FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 looking at the radar it moved just south of there Snow in Agawam and none in Springfield? BAF/CEF not reporting snow either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Heavy heavy flurries is about all I am expecting now. Funny how crowded this Tobin thing is... I can see my house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Well for those of us who are inline for 3-6 inches..it's something fun and exciting to track and look forward to.. You do what you want..but don't ruin it for those of us that are looking forward to some spring snow Ball is in your court....put him on ignore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Well for those of us who are inline for 3-6 inches..it's something fun and exciting to track and look forward to.. You do what you want..but don't ruin it for those of us that are looking forward to some spring snow Sure because you bring so much to the table when you make a statement that I said it wasn't going to snow just to be a dolt. You're emotionally invested in all of these events and that's fine. But subjective discussion of the latest trends and models, and pointing out that you of all people bash the GFS the most and call it worthless aside of this one time when it's giving the most snow.....well that's valid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveSolutions Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 What time are we thinking for snow arrival in KBOS? Models are kind of all over. This is what I have from a few select ones: 06Z GEFS: 1am 12Z GFS: 8pm 15Z SREF: 1:30am 06Z BTV-WRF: 9-10pm Definitely seems like the trend is later tonight between 10-12am. Just trying to narrow it down a little bit. Vertical cross-sections are showing quite a bit of LL dry air between 600-750mb for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Well for those of us who are inline for 3-6 inches..it's something fun and exciting to track and look forward to.. You do what you want..but don't ruin it for those of us that are looking forward to some spring snow 1-3 is a more reasonable call for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Sure because you bring so much to the table when you make a statement that I said it wasn't going to snow just to be a dolt. You're emotionally invested in all of these events and that's fine. But subjective discussion of the latest trends and models, and pointing out that you of all people bash the GFS the most and call it worthless aside of this one time when it's giving the most snow.....well that's valid. When will you go into board hibernation this year? Any dates you're considering? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I think the echoes in the Mid Hudson Valley/Catskills are serious probably...and would be moving toward areas of CT below a Canaan to Hartford line essentially. Here I'm still waiting for echoes to the west to get here....then into the CD and then maybe the Berkshires, etc. This is just going by the trajectory on the radar.... 1-3 is a more reasonable call for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 great convo , fighting over 2" or 4" of slush with a September sun angle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Well it looks like an early spring snowstorm on the way for my area, time to embrace it, enjoy it, bring some wood in and deal with the fact work has been put on hold for a few days. I think 3-6 is a good number. Good luck to all!! 35 light snow quite the switcheroo from you this morning when you said the radar was horrible and the GFS was king... just kidding....I'd love 3....6 is not out of the question but that will be hard to pin down as to who gets it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 quite the switcheroo from you this morning when you said the radar was horrible and the GFS was king... just kidding....I'd love 3....6 is not out of the question but that will be hard to pin down as to who gets it... It will be hard to pin down, just some very light snow showers lately, looks like the good stuff comes in after 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 great convo , fighting over 2" or 4" of slush with a September sun angle Yea, I mean...wx on a wx board....go figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Maybe with the shortening wavelengths, we can get the BIrving and Messenger shortwaves to cutoff near Bermuda....sit and spin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 great convo , fighting over 2" or 4" of slush with a September sun angle People get grumpy when there are dissimilar viewpoints. This basically looks like a non-event for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 It will be hard to pin down, just some very light snow showers lately, looks like the good stuff comes in after 6pm. which is perfect-we need this to be a nocturnal event to accumulate... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 People get grumpy when there are dissimilar viewpoints. This basically looks like a non-event for most. My focus is shifting to the end of the month because lets face it, the upside here is like 1-3" of slush for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 kalb radar looks great in eastern ny 2 inch an hr snows in some spots?> wouldnt last long but nice to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Wow the 12z NAM and 12z GFS look awful... even down here. Maybe a 1-3 kinda deal for most places? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 My focus is shifting to the end of the month because lets face it, the upside here is like 1-3" of slush for me. Ditto. We all know there will be some snow but it's not going to amount to much. Next week has potential. Could be the end of the winter for most after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Wow the 12z NAM and 12z GFS look awful... even down here. Maybe a 1-3 kinda deal for most places? damn, I was terrified that this would collapse this badly. Ski resorts were banking on it in order to open up again this weekend, yikes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Wow the 12z NAM and 12z GFS look awful... even down here. Maybe a 1-3 kinda deal for most places? AABKT (as all bu Kevin thought) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I am in Springfield and there is nada.. Ditto looking out the office window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 damn, I was terrified that this would collapse this badly. Ski resorts were banking on it in order to open up again this weekend, yikes... LOL at ski areas thinking about "reopening" at the end of March. It's the end of March. Most ski areas shut down around now due to the lack of visitors and revenue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 People get grumpy when there are dissimilar viewpoints. This basically looks like a non-event for most. It's ultimately semantics. One person glass half full, one glass half empty. Half empty is definitely winning out on this event, like you said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 LOL at ski areas thinking about "reopening" at the end of March. It's the end of March. Most ski areas shut down around now due to the lack of visitors and revenue. they made a ton of money this year because of the lack of necessity to make snow. Therefore, who cares if they lose some revenue over one weekend? They make their passholders happy. Not every business/coporation is evil, you know... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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