Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 That's the futurecrap stuff. There maps are usually different. Usually but his wording seemed to indicate he was on board with those totals. And lets face it unless the GFS finally found a nut, that's about all the models really support for his viewing area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I thk Will just jumped off his 1000' hill. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 You blow PVs suck too. Gotta be one of the coldest afternoons I can remember this late in March also. 24F and not budged all day here despite a fairly bright ovc sky, few hazy glints of sun. To be this cold without precipitation at noon is rather impressive and not to have risen at all. Tells you the intensity of the cold dry air this has to buck. definitely. just was outside and it actually is cold outside even in the full late march sun (of course its relative to the warmer weather of late) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 That's the futurecrap stuff. There maps are usually different. You should move over into media sales lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I thk Will just jumped off his 1000' hill. lol im picturing the swandive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I thk Will just jumped off his 1000' hill. lol lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 The GFS still has .4" here -> owing to my longitude. I really think it's full of it now, but can always hope. That's the futurecrap stuff. There maps are usually different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I thk Will just jumped off his 1000' hill. lol Nah...Will just jumps into DM mosh pits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 To expand on what Will and I were saying, look at the composite radar over the northeast. Notice how smooth the echoes look near BUF and ROC, vs the stuff over central PA. The dryslot is down there, while the better frontogenesis is up by NY state. Now granted the models develop more precip over PA later today, but the stuff over NY state is what we need to head east and hold in place. The GFS sort of weakens it today, but still has this area remaining in tact, and then redevelops it tonight. Again, the confluence may shunt it south or rip it apart, but it's what to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 flakes have turned into light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Not enough vertical drop. He'd need to come out here and jump off the Helderberg escarpment. I thk Will just jumped off his 1000' hill. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 The GFS is flatter than Kate Moss for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 You should move over into media sales lol I hate when they show that, and then quickly show their custom maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I'll let you know if it snows here because what you need has to come by way of me I guess. It has to get through the low teens dew points around here. To expand on what Will and I were saying, look at the composite radar over the northeast. Notice how smooth the echoes look near BUF and ROC, vs the stuff over central PA. The dryslot is down there, while the better frontogenesis is up by NY state. Now granted the models develop more precip over PA later today, but the stuff over NY state is what we need to head east and hold in place. The GFS sort of weakens it today, but still has this area remaining in tact, and then redevelops it tonight. Again, the confluence may shunt it south or rip it apart, but it's what to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 flakes have turned into light snow I suppose that's a good sign that its reaching the ground in Springfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 the stuff out in western newyork looks pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 ip has transitioned to very light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 late winter sucks. 3 or 4" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I hate when they show that, and then quickly show their custom maps. It's a great tool when you agree with it. Most of the time, however, I'll use a custom map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 To expand on what Will and I were saying, look at the composite radar over the northeast. Notice how smooth the echoes look near BUF and ROC, vs the stuff over central PA. The dryslot is down there, while the better frontogenesis is up by NY state. Now granted the models develop more precip over PA later today, but the stuff over NY state is what we need to head east and hold in place. The GFS sort of weakens it today, but still has this area remaining in tact, and then redevelops it tonight. Again, the confluence may shunt it south or rip it apart, but it's what to watch. We shall see. At least we have cloudy skies here now, step 1 in a snowstorm. The GFS is flatter than Kate Moss for next week. Epic and scary considering it was most consistently over amped with this one. Could turn into a flock of seagulls heading to bermuda on later runs. I hate when they show that, and then quickly show their custom maps. 1-3" in Boston, 2-5" from just south of Worcester to areas just west of Will down to just NW of Me and then towards RI/CT. Will, me, Jerry, you, are in the 1-3" per DB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 If it was early in the season I'd take a ride a couple hours west..... the snow lust is greater in December. the stuff out in western newyork looks pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COPO Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I suppose that's a good sign that its reaching the ground in Springfield. I am in Springfield and there is nada.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Usually but his wording seemed to indicate he was on board with those totals. And lets face it unless the GFS finally found a nut, that's about all the models really support for his viewing area. How come you only post when things look negative..but whn they don't you're nowhere to be found Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 To expand on what Will and I were saying, look at the composite radar over the northeast. Notice how smooth the echoes look near BUF and ROC, vs the stuff over central PA. The dryslot is down there, while the better frontogenesis is up by NY state. Now granted the models develop more precip over PA later today, but the stuff over NY state is what we need to head east and hold in place. The GFS sort of weakens it today, but still has this area remaining in tact, and then redevelops it tonight. Again, the confluence may shunt it south or rip it apart, but it's what to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Light snow falling in Windsor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I am in Springfield and there is nada.. Snow in Agawam and none in Springfield? BAF/CEF not reporting snow either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 How come you only post when things look negative..but whn they don't you're nowhere to be found I've had about an inch of snow in 40-50+ days. There's been almost no potential during that time and really nothing to talk about aside of "potential" which isn't my thing. I felt I had a legitimate shot at 3-6" from this one but also said it was just as good a chance it would bust low as high...that was yesterday. Beginning later last night and now today it's pretty clear the GFS is EXACTLY what you say it is, a terrible model, and minus that this is NBD for almost all of us in SNE aside of SW and S CT. Doesn't mean it won't snow, but let's be realistic. We will need to see some very favorable trends in the radar today to turn this around and I think everyone here admits that including you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Well it looks like an early spring snowstorm on the way for my area, time to embrace it, enjoy it, bring some wood in and deal with the fact work has been put on hold for a few days. I think 3-6 is a good number. Good luck to all!! 35 light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 We shall see. At least we have cloudy skies here now, step 1 in a snowstorm. Epic and scary considering it was most consistently over amped with this one. Could turn into a flock of seagulls heading to bermuda on later runs. 1-3" in Boston, 2-5" from just south of Worcester to areas just west of Will down to just NW of Me and then towards RI/CT. Will, me, Jerry, you, are in the 1-3" per DB. It's just something to watch for those models barely giving me flurries. I have nothing invested in this, other to see how it pans out. Fully aware it could be Snowman down in RI getting hit hard, and my area getting a coating, but I'm hoping for a couple of inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 Almost textbook deformation too with the way the air is spreading west to east as it comes down into Lake Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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