Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 On 3/23/2011 at 1:44 PM, ORH_wxman said: You'll probably get advisory snow...Im think we struggle with 1-2 here. I'm still a bit intrigued by this inverted trough after the main comma head...I wonder if a narrow zone picks up some pretty good snow. You think like 3-5 around here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 On 3/23/2011 at 1:42 PM, HubbDave said: Funny how Torrington, CT area, Western MA are already setting up well ahead of the main "event" Was that modelled well? I live in Torrington when I'm not at school, I'll call my mom and see what's going on out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 NAM is a shredded mess with the first part anyway in the eastern 1/2 of new england. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Suckola...nam at 12 is def south of the same time 6z with the heavier echoes over SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Time to put the models away..and actually look at the wx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 On 3/23/2011 at 1:47 PM, CT Blizz said: You think like 3-5 around here? I should have waited until the SREFs came out...lol. Probably somewhat of a nowcast thing, but not a good 12 hr trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 NAM looks horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 On 3/23/2011 at 1:52 PM, CT Blizz said: Time to put the models away..and actually look at the wx I am..it's bright and sunny here. Beautiful morning. radar shows a band of snow that's about 10 miles by 25 miles...the rest of it is flurries. That's mostly what the models show before they show it scrapping along the southern areas tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 at first look looked better now it turned to junk real fast On 3/23/2011 at 1:54 PM, CoastalWx said: NAM looks horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 On 3/23/2011 at 1:54 PM, CoastalWx said: NAM looks horrible. yeah hopefully we areny shut out of measurable at this rate lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 On 3/23/2011 at 1:54 PM, CoastalWx said: NAM looks horrible. As I said awhile ago Euro FTW. As Kev is so fond of saying the GFS is absolute garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 The NAM just put a fork in it I see... From .5 to .25 to .1 here 0Z to 6Z to 12Z.... Congrats Nate Zucker on his NYC/LI forecast I guess. LOL On 3/23/2011 at 1:41 PM, ORH_wxman said: SREFs don't look promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 On 3/23/2011 at 1:56 PM, ORH_wxman said: yeah hopefully we areny shut out of measurable at this rate lol I have one of those awful feelings about this. I hate these ese moving systems..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Like I said earlier gfs sucks. Hard pressed to get an inch of snow all the way down here tonight and its plenty cold enough. Really hope the nam is wrong, and you guys up north get a few inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 On 3/23/2011 at 1:57 PM, Logan11 said: The NAM just put a fork in it I see... From .5 to .25 to .1 here 0Z to 6Z to 12Z.... Congrats Nate Zucker on his NYC/LI forecast I guess. LOL Still might be tough for the city and parts of the Island if we can't get an omega burst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Surpression depression...3-6 out the window...welcome home a dusting to 2" down here. Would be helpful if the blinding sunshine would subside as we're torching. 11z RUC would still brush through WMA/CT with some good snows...sure Pete will get 6" regardless, NW CT does okay too down towards the snow hound. Rest of us get the patented Typhoon Tip cosmic dildo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Well ok congrats NAM (if its right), second correct forecast of the winter. LOL But it isn't credible either because it bumped qpf up a lot for a few runs before reverting to this solution. On 3/23/2011 at 1:59 PM, litchfieldlibations said: Like I said earlier gfs sucks. Hard pressed to get an inch of snow all the way down here tonight and its plenty cold enough. Really hope the nam is wrong, and you guys up north get a few inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 On 3/23/2011 at 1:59 PM, CoastalWx said: I have one of those awful feelings about this. I hate these ese moving systems..lol. What I don't like is the sun punching into eastern areas coupled with the radar angle of precip....too much NW to SE not enough WNW to ESE. That needs to change or we're screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 On 3/23/2011 at 2:02 PM, Logan11 said: Well ok congrats NAM (if its right), second correct forecast of the winter. LOL But it isn't credible either because it bumped qpf up a lot for a few runs before reverting to this solution. I never said nam win, frankly all the models have done poorly, I guess the euro has been the most consistent, but even it came north yesterday before settling back south last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 radar looks good to my southwest for a quick hitting burst of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Inverted trough people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 it was sunny here until about 10 minutes ago On 3/23/2011 at 2:03 PM, messenger said: What I don't like is the sun punching into eastern areas coupled with the radar angle of precip....too much NW to SE not enough WNW to ESE. That needs to change or we're screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 I wasted too much time on this, but thinking it could be my last hurrah for the season since I'll be in FL for next weeks threat.... On 3/23/2011 at 2:01 PM, messenger said: Surpression depression...3-6 out the window...welcome home a dusting to 2" down here. Would be helpful if the blinding sunshine would subside as we're torching. 11z RUC would still brush through WMA/CT with some good snows...sure Pete will get 6" regardless, NW CT does okay too down towards the snow hound. Rest of us get the patented Typhoon Tip cosmic dildo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 On 3/23/2011 at 2:05 PM, snowNH said: Inverted trough people That's sad if we have to depend on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 On 3/23/2011 at 2:01 PM, messenger said: Surpression depression...3-6 out the window...welcome home a dusting to 2" down here. Would be helpful if the blinding sunshine would subside as we're torching. 11z RUC would still brush through WMA/CT with some good snows...sure Pete will get 6" regardless, NW CT does okay too down towards the snow hound. Rest of us get the patented Typhoon Tip cosmic dildo. Who is the snow hound? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Snowing in Torrington/Harwinton, schools getting out early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Well the 0Z Euro could verify yet. The NAM may be extreme. Hey I'd take the Euro's .25 now. On 3/23/2011 at 2:04 PM, litchfieldlibations said: I never said nam win, frankly all the models have done poorly, I guess the euro has been the most consistent, but even it came north yesterday before settling back south last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 On 3/23/2011 at 2:06 PM, CT Blizz said: Who is the snow hound? You! But if the NAM is right it's a matter of no snow to your north versus little snow to you. Brutal solution after all this anticipation and it's fairly well supported by the last several runs of the RUC. NAM/RUC/HRRR all show impressive snows in NY destroying themselves two different times as they try to move ESE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 On 3/23/2011 at 2:08 PM, NW CONNECTICUT said: Snowing in Torrington/Harwinton, schools getting out early. I really hope you're kidding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 13z RUC looks better...esp for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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