dendrite Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 The EC is inside the BM for Tue/Wed. With the PV out of the way I worry even I'll mix come verification time though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 Big day watching the radar trends today. I'm not feeling so hot for my area on north. I was never expecting much, but this looks like a much better event just to my south and southwest. We'll see how things develop today..maybe this band will be further north, but more of a nowcast thing now. As was said yesterday, we'll have surprises in SNE for the good and bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Boy was there a lot of ship jumping last night. The euro was that bad? 0.50" HPN-MTP-S of ACK 0.25" PSF-SFZ-HYA (2nd max in W ME...PWM-IZG-BML-40B-PWM) 0.10" GFL-VSF-AFN-LEB-FSO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 The EC is inside the BM for Tue/Wed. With the PV out of the way I worry even I'll mix come verification time though. If it were winter, I think people would be more frustrated. At this point, meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 If it were winter, I think people would be more frustrated. At this point, meh. Lol exactly what I'm thinking.. enjoy the snow that's gonna melt within 24 hours lol.. what really is the point of snow now, except For delaying golf season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 goodmorning! Light snow (flakes are horrible) Radar looks absolutely pathetic, what a horrible job the GFS did, no suprise. This event looks like a coating of slush, maybe, thank God, no work interruptions!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Lol exactly what I'm thinking.. enjoy the snow that's gonna melt within 24 hours lol.. what really is the point of snow now, except For delaying golf season This is a weather forum. We're discussing weather. God forbid! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Lol exactly what I'm thinking.. enjoy the snow that's gonna melt within 24 hours lol.. what really is the point of snow now, except For delaying golf season A major nor'easter would be fun, I think we all agree. This event will underwhelm, which is probably good thing since many of us are missing it and most areas getting snow aren't in a great area to accumulate snow in late march. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 A major nor'easter would be fun, I think we all agree. This event will underwhelm, which is probably good thing since many of us are missing it and most areas getting snow aren't in a great area to accumulate snow in late march. This statement is proven false by what happened across all of the nyc metro, coastal jersey, accumulated easy early this morning. Flakes have improved dramatically, large dendrites now, I hope we get half a foot just because of douche bag statements like the one you just made and are famous for!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 goodmorning! Light snow (flakes are horrible) Radar looks absolutely pathetic, what a horrible job the GFS did, no suprise. This event looks like a coating of slush, maybe, thank God, no work interruptions!!! The GFS actually did decent with this. It had the signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 FWIW...looks like the EC ens are ever so slightly north of the Op with the QPF over the next 36hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Wow, 4-5 inches across northern nj, almost 8 in scranton!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 A major nor'easter would be fun, I think we all agree. This event will underwhelm, which is probably good thing since many of us are missing it and most areas getting snow aren't in a great area to accumulate snow in late march. dude,there was a widespread 3+" in nnj overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 dude,there was a widespread 3+" in nnj overnight. 8.5" in Rockaway. Elevation and banding FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 great for those folks around jerz and long island!! Looks like the places the b ferving said snow would be wasted on actually jackpotted and he will be looking at wispy cirrus, while his spring is weeks away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Wow, 4-5 inches across northern nj, almost 8 in scranton!!!! There was a widespread 6"+ in many areas of northern NJ this morning. Some of the highest elevations in a heavy band received 8-10". We have 4" on the ground here in Hackettstown, NJ at around 500' We even picked up 1.5" in Monmouth County this morning, 5-10 miles inland due south of NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Big day watching the radar trends today. I'm not feeling so hot for my area on north. I was never expecting much, but this looks like a much better event just to my south and southwest. We'll see how things develop today..maybe this band will be further north, but more of a nowcast thing now. As was said yesterday, we'll have surprises in SNE for the good and bad. What are you thinking for amounts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 lol at the SUNY from last night. Confluence hell up here from the storm and then BIrving jackpots from the norlun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 My gut feeling is that the we shouldn't read too much into the Euro. 3z SREF actually bumped north a bit with the 0.50 and 0.25" lines over E MA and S NH compared to 15z yesterday. Still think there is a sharp cutoff between say OWD and NE MA with BOS right near the cutoff. However, S NH through interior NE MA and the ORH hills may make up for lost time on Thu afternoon and night with inverted trough snowfall (assuming the BL temps aren't an issue since it should be mostly light snow). All the high-res models (RGEM, MM5, NAM) show a narrow N-S oriented snow band associated with the inverted trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 lol at the SUNY from last night. Confluence hell up here from the storm and then BIrving jackpots from the norlun. Watch me get shut out..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 My gut feeling is that the we shouldn't read too much into the Euro. 3z SREF actually bumped north a bit with the 0.50 and 0.25" lines over E MA and S NH compared to 15z yesterday. Still think there is a sharp cutoff between say OWD and NE MA with BOS right near the cutoff. However, S NH through NE MA down to BOS may make up for lost time on Thu afternoon and night with inverted trough snowfall (assuming the BL temps aren't an issue since it should be mostly light snow). All the high-res models (RGEM, MM5, NAM) show a narrow N-S oriented snow band associated with the inverted trough. You still going with 4-7..lolli's to 10 in hills? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 My gut feeling is that the we shouldn't read too much into the Euro. 3z SREF actually bumped north a bit with the 0.50 and 0.25" lines over E MA and S NH compared to 15z yesterday. Still think there is a sharp cutoff between say OWD and NE MA with BOS right near the cutoff. However, S NH through interior NE MA and perhaps as far west as the ORH hills may make up for lost time on Thu afternoon and night with inverted trough snowfall (assuming the BL temps aren't an issue since it should be mostly light snow). All the high-res models (RGEM, MM5, NAM) show a narrow N-S oriented snow band associated with the inverted trough. That's my gut too. The SREFS were intriguing which was nice to see, but I definitely could see a sharp cutoff in this band. There still appears to be some decent mid level dynamics near the Pike which may help areas near that sharp cutoff. The inv trough definitely has been evident on the hi-res models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 What are you thinking for amounts? I haven't look too hard yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 How much you thinking we'll see down here? I like 4-7 pike south Hey Blizz... sorry just saw this... I think at 1,000ft you should have no problem getting 4"+. I'd be a bit skeptical if I was down in Hartford or the CT Valley... but even there, it looks like the bulk of the QPF comes this evening after the sun goes down. It wouldn't surprise me if a lot of areas waste (I hate using that term) some light QPF today in bands of -SN... start claiming bust... then it starts coming down steadily and more widespread later this evening and everyone south of the Pike picks up a nice 3-6" overnight. I'm still wary north of the pike. We are running quite cold up here so far today... confluence is strong. My guess for Tolland at 1,000ft would be 5.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2011 Author Share Posted March 23, 2011 There was a widespread 6"+ in many areas of northern NJ this morning. Some of the highest elevations in a heavy band received 8-10". We have 4" on the ground here in Hackettstown, NJ at around 500' We even picked up 1.5" in Monmouth County this morning, 5-10 miles inland due south of NYC Tough forecast down that way, esp near NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 goodmorning! Light snow (flakes are horrible) Radar looks absolutely pathetic, what a horrible job the GFS did, no suprise. This event looks like a coating of slush, maybe, thank God, no work interruptions!!! You do realize most if not all of the models show the bigger part of this storm tonight from the coastal and 850 low? The "event" hasn't started for many and the GFS did have that band in Jersey/PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Euro ftw. Heavy sunshine here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Foxy BOXY giving me some 1000' lovin edit -- delete that... still Monday's map' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 The inv trough definitely has been evident on the hi-res models. Obviously it won't pan out like this, but it's neat to follow it from ME into NH/MA over the next 48-60hrs.http://cheget.msrc.sunysb.edu/loop/12km.700fr.html Now back to your regularly scheduled synoptic storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2011 Share Posted March 23, 2011 Foxy BOXY giving me some 1000' lovin' That;s the map from Monday's snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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