40/70 Benchmark Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Here's a bad bust from the NAM..lol. And also, why mid levels are important. Here is the NAM QPF Here is the 700 prog Here is the radar. An example of the models not giving much love to the mid level lows, but also the NAM was way too far south here. Messengers infamous "split system".....he swore it would whiff me....12.5" later... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Messengers infamous "split system".....he swore it would whiff me....12.5" later... lol well it was split..precip batches no but the second punch was a force to be reckoned with.....25 miles further SE thou and we would have been po'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 GFS ensembles continue to be quite robust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Here's a bad bust from the NAM..lol. And also, why mid levels are important. Here is the NAM QPF Here is the 700 prog Here is the radar. An example of the models not giving much love to the mid level lows, but also the NAM was way too far south here. Ahh my fave...4 inches per hour and 16 inches in about 6 hours. Hvy hvy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2011 Author Share Posted March 22, 2011 Ahh my fave...4 inches per hour and 16 inches in about 6 hours. Hvy hvy snow Yeah and you were asleep for it, you clown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 lol well it was split..precip batches no but the second punch was a force to be reckoned with.....25 miles further SE thou and we would have been po'd Yes....he was right that it was split, but the 2nd batch went to town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Yeah and you were asleep for it, you clown. He needed to rest up for his snow pile workout Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2011 Author Share Posted March 22, 2011 GFS ensembles continue to be quite robust. Yeah they cut a little back over CNE, but juiced up a bit to the south of the Pike, especially 06z-12z. It's also trying to tilt the QPF shield so it's not such a wnw-ese gradient type thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 with the amount of weenie jokes tossed around in our threads...99% of the posters being male...how should i interpret that? you all need to go take a lot of cold showers? you all are scared to come out of the closet? I'm thinking the closets are full of blowup dolls and pocket va*inas. Messengers infamous "split system".....he swore it would whiff me....12.5" later... You must have been drunk on shirley temples again during a lot of that...split system didn't equal a whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Yeah they cut a little back over CNE, but juiced up a bit to the south of the Pike, especially 06z-12z. It's also trying to tilt the QPF shield so it's not such a wnw-ese gradient type thing. Didn't one of the other pros say not to use the GEFS inside of xx hour because of the inferior resolution? Or did I misremember that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 I'm thinking the closets are full of blowup dolls and pocket va*inas. You must have been drunk on shirley temples again during a lot of that...split system didn't equal a whiff. Not a whiff....but I distinctly remember that you said nw of Boston would only see light snows. You were wrong in that respect, jut as I was wrong for not catching the split. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Yeah and you were asleep for it, you clown. HUH? I was awake from 1:30 on that night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Only 1996 and 2005 have been snowier than this winter imby, over the course of the past 16 season as it is, so anything else is gravy. Bring it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Wow. Rotate your monitor 90 degrees to the left and it kind of looks like Grandpa Simpson yelling at Vermont. More like Millhouse to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 GFS ensembles continue to be quite robust. Will, seems like a 3-5"/4-6" snowfall is likely here. Do you think there is a shot for the 8-12" snow that DT outlined in that first call map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Only 1996 and 2005 have been snowier than this winter, over the course of the past 16 season, as it is....so anythingelse is gravy. Bring it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 LOL Weenied if I b*tch, weenied if I don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 gefs are wagons south, .5-.75 of precip here all snow. its going to be fun watching the models and forecasts that bust, clearly something has to give. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 HUH? I was spooning w/ icewarrior from 1:30 on that night i thought it was 230 am big guy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Will, seems like a 3-5"/4-6" snowfall is likely here. Do you think there is a shot for the 8-12" snow that DT outlined in that first call map? "what would have to happen " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 i thought it was 230 am big guy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 That precip is screaming east across PA pretty quickly. snow into SW CT by dawn ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 GFS ensemble mean takes the Mar 29-30 threat outside the BM, but its definitely there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jen_CentralMass_Wx Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 i thought it was 230 am big guy neither of you were doing anything of the sort and i can guarantee it. I email with him almost all the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 I was awake that night and we were saying how you were sleeping through that. yes he claims to have gotten up at 130....but that would have been the first time he was awake in history for an hour (1:30 to 2:30) and didn't post while he was getting couple inches/hr snowfall. he set his alarm too late we know the deal .....no one is buying what he is selling about that nite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 32/25, skied a nice line down to about 800' where the snow from yesterday was starting to thin. Held onto the 4-6" that fell yesterday from 1200' up. Popped out of the woods at the bottom of the local Sugarbush. 750 gallon collection tank needs to be emptied daily. Sap is a flowing, been a good sugaring season, much better than last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 neither of you were doing anything of the sort and i can guarantee it. I email with him almost all the time now would be a good time paul to tell her about the trips to blizz's house. off to gym. will be back and posting on topic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Will, seems like a 3-5"/4-6" snowfall is likely here. Do you think there is a shot for the 8-12" snow that DT outlined in that first call map? I may not be Will, but I'm more inclined to go with a 4-6" snowfall for the East Slope at this point. If the model guidance trends in favor of the more north GFS solution at 00Z, I'd be more inclined to go with an 8"+ scenario for you. The atmosphere is very cold, and ratios could be quite good for the higher elevations, especially at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 It was certainly late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 I was 100% awake that night . I got everyones texts to wake up and also told you the story about the woman who wnet into labor a few houses down from me and had to be rescued because she couldn't get out of her driveway shortly after 2:00am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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