Weather Girl 22 Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 On 3/21/2011 at 6:19 PM, messenger said: Can only come so far north. Suppression depression for some. Someone here will be on the outside looking in either along the pike or along the border north oh okay.. thanks. what is the latest on the track of that storm and which model is more corect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Congrats on beating me this season, Kev....I officially concede. Last place in the Gay-Shwartz-Rev division two years running....I'll take it because 2008-09 was worth it. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 DT says that we have to worry about being too far south east more then north. Congrats MRG/MPM/Logan11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 FWIW, 3/2/06 is the top analog for this storm overall on the GFS as well as the top analog at 500 mb. Here is a list of totals from that storm: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/climate/pns/MAR2_2006.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/21/2011 at 11:51 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Congrats on beating me this season, Kev....I officially concede. Last place in the Gay-Shwartz-Rev division two years running....I'll take it because 2008-09 was worth it. lol You are still beating me by 9" or so. Not too shabby considering I have 700 ft of el on you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 12:53 AM, HubbDave said: You are still beating me by 9" or so. Not too shabby considering I have 700 ft of el on you You have about 950 ft on him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2011 Author Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 12:53 AM, HubbDave said: You are still beating me by 9" or so. Not too shabby considering I have 700 ft of el on you You're catching up to me..lol. AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2011 Author Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 12:29 AM, weatherMA said: DT says that we have to worry about being too far south east more then north. Congrats MRG/MPM/Logan11 It definitely could come further north. My gut is that the euro op is too paltry with the QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 12:57 AM, ORH_wxman said: You have about 950 ft on him. must read signature... for some reason I though he was around 300 ft or so. Of course I thought Bob Dylan wrote that wretched "Friday" song, too. Tough night for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 SREFs went back south at 21z vs 15z. We'll see if the NAM follows suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 1:34 AM, ORH_wxman said: SREFs went back south at 21z vs 15z. We'll see if the NAM follows suit. How far south are they? Mainly a NYC/NJ storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 1:40 AM, H2Otown_WX said: How far south are they? Mainly a NYC/NJ storm? No, maybe 30-40 miles S of the 15z run...a solid hit for CT, but more of an advisory for MA. Still some time to figure this one out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 12:29 AM, weatherMA said: DT says that we have to worry about being too far south east more then north. Congrats MRG/MPM/Logan11 Always liked DT's forecasting abilities. Obviously he knows where the big snow will be, GC. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 0z NAM does not equal 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Brutal NAM run through 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Where does that system think it's going? All squished and getting mutilated. Yuck Congrats Pittsburgh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2011 Author Share Posted March 22, 2011 Looks like the NAM will be south of 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 1:03 AM, HubbDave said: must read signature... for some reason I though he was around 300 ft or so. Of course I thought Bob Dylan wrote that wretched "Friday" song, too. Tough night for me I always wondered what the secret was to selling records...create a song so bad that Miley and Beiber couldn't compete. gg! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 2:11 AM, CoastalWx said: Looks like the NAM will be south of 18z. S/w is like a bug on the windshield...... incredibly sharp cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 This is not going to be a good run. Hopefully this isn't close to the final solution because that would be quite the waste of this air mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Well at least it pivots back into SNE by hour 45... Congrats Westerly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 12:29 AM, weatherMA said: DT says that we have to worry about being too far south east more then north. Congrats MRG/MPM/Logan11 Wow, he changed his tune. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 12:53 AM, HubbDave said: You are still beating me by 9" or so. Not too shabby considering I have 700 ft of el on you You have 957' on me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 Johns cosmic dildo is lubed and partially inserted at 45 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 2:15 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: You have 957' on me lol I suck at math/reading obvious clues in sigs/geography :axe: But it is snowing (very light weenie flakes) here attm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 2:14 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wow, he changed his tune. That'll be a major coup if he's right. Nothing shows that right now except maybe a couple GFS ensemble members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2011 Author Share Posted March 22, 2011 With the three potential chances coming, one of these may have to be sacrificed in order to get a bigger storm up the coast. Not saying this is it, but that's usually how it goes. I think by the end of the 12z suite tomorrow, we'll have an idea. Not the best start tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 2:17 AM, HubbDave said: I suck at math/reading obvious clues in sigs/geography :axe: But it is snowing (very light weenie flakes) here attm Drizzle....Ironically, for all we lament the strong March sun, it changed to rain once it set. I know, lift......but still funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 New Joosey gets a bunch of crap around hr 51 yea... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 22, 2011 Share Posted March 22, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 2:18 AM, CoastalWx said: With the three potential chances coming, one of these may have to be sacrificed in order to get a bigger storm up the coast. Not saying this is it, but that's usually how it goes. I think by the end of the 12z suite tomorrow, we'll have an idea. Not the best start tonight. Like we were saying on FB, not all of these will whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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