kab2791 Posted March 19, 2011 Author Share Posted March 19, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 This storm is going to be watched CLOSELY by the folks in southern MN and into North Dakota regarding spring flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 I94 and north looks tobe mostly snow. Eerily similar to feb 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 19, 2011 Author Share Posted March 19, 2011 I94 and north looks tobe mostly snow. Eerily similar to feb 20th. 2ms below -2 and 850s below zero...looks good for mostly snow (DET) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 JB FTW on predicting the late March blocking. Assuming it comes to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 Kab, how about S. Wisconsin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 19, 2011 Author Share Posted March 19, 2011 Kab, how about S. Wisconsin? looks to start as rain then change to FZRN, wit more snow further north, GFS anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 My stupidity and weenie call in the March OBS thread , could very well go down as my most epic FAIL. Yet another cruel lesson learned. Putting personal "wishes" and grudges against Ole Man Winter always get you burned. Science come first before any " hunch" ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 This storm is going to be watched CLOSELY by the folks in southern MN and into North Dakota regarding spring flooding. That and the storm right behind it, could make for an epic end of the winter, and make the flooding so much worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 My stupidity and weenie call in the March OBS thread , could very well go down as my most epic FAIL. Yet another cruel lesson learned. Yeah never discount winter this early. MN is a good example as they average more snow in March than any other month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 Was the 12z Euro a decent hit for SEMI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 19, 2011 Author Share Posted March 19, 2011 Was the 12z Euro a decent hit for SEMI? see pg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 see pg 1 DET: 0.62...0.17 is marginal out of that DTW: 0.44 Gotcha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 Boooooooo J/K I wonder if we have enough in the tank to make a run at 75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 i'll take the 0z ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 i'll take the 0z ggem nice, you have total qpf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 Interested in seeing the Euro/CMC tonite. GFS ticking a tad S run by run--it seems weird to say but the CMC has been mighty good lately forecasting the progression of the west coast troughs/upper lows as they eject into the plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 nice, you have total qpf? sharp cutoff on the ggem GFK 0.36 FAR 1.33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 Interested in seeing the Euro/CMC tonite. GFS ticking a tad S run by run--it seems weird to say but the CMC has been mighty good lately forecasting the progression of the west coast troughs/upper lows as they eject into the plains. euro's struggled with run to run consistency with this storm, gfs has been alright definitely less flip flopping more of a gradual trend, but the cmc and gfs agreement makes me believe that the euro will slide north the next few runs in regards to upper midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 sharp cutoff on the ggem GFK 0.36 FAR 1.33 nice, wow gfs and ggem are dropping a bomb on fargo, people will really start freaking out if we drop 15 inches of snow next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 i'll take the 0z ggem quite the baroclinic zone right there. you know its march when you can forecast supercells and snow days away from eachother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 nice, wow gfs and ggem are dropping a bomb on fargo, people will really start freaking out if we drop 15 inches of snow next week. Do you guys still have a large snowpack or has most melted with the warmer weather? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 19, 2011 Author Share Posted March 19, 2011 00Z UKMET: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 Do you guys still have a large snowpack or has most melted with the warmer weather? up by us we have some decent snow left over but we are about 20 inches behind fargo, they still have a solid snowpack in Fargo still and really the melting has even reached the river yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 nice, wow gfs and ggem are dropping a bomb on fargo, people will really start freaking out if we drop 15 inches of snow next week. ggem plots 1.88 for my area and was going to laugh but the 12z euro had 1.76 so don't know what to think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 ggem plots 1.88 for my area and was going to laugh but the 12z euro had 1.76 so don't know what to think. kinda like the groundhog blizzard for the midwest it was about this time range the models really keyed in on the ridiculous qpf and had relative agreement between all the models. I wanna see the euro come into a bit better agreement with the other globals before I get excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 kinda like the groundhog blizzard for the midwest it was about this time range the models really keyed in on the ridiculous qpf and had relative agreement between all the models. I wanna see the euro come into a bit better agreement with the other globals before I get excited. 0z euro qpf FAR 1.37 GFK 0.96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 0z euro qpf FAR 1.37 GFK 0.96 ya i saw that euro caved, now i can start to get excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 ya i saw that euro caved, now i can start to get excited. Looks like a pretty good hit for S-Mi. Anyone have qpf for DTW? DET? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 Looks like a pretty good hit for S-Mi. Anyone have qpf for DTW? DET? DTW WED 00Z 23-MAR 0.2 -1.2 1020 70 79 0.02 561 546 WED 06Z 23-MAR -1.4 -3.2 1016 77 98 0.20 558 546 WED 12Z 23-MAR -2.9 -2.0 1011 88 91 0.29 553 545 WED 18Z 23-MAR -1.8 -2.0 1006 86 66 0.09 547 541 THU 00Z 24-MAR -2.5 -5.0 1008 85 26 0.03 542 535 THU 06Z 24-MAR -3.5 -9.3 1009 86 89 0.01 537 529 THU 12Z 24-MAR -6.5 -11.0 1014 84 70 0.01 537 527 DET WED 06Z 23-MAR -1.6 -3.3 1017 72 97 0.16 558 545 WED 12Z 23-MAR -3.2 -2.9 1011 85 99 0.31 553 544 WED 18Z 23-MAR -2.0 -3.2 1007 84 80 0.10 546 541 THU 00Z 24-MAR -2.6 -5.6 1008 85 26 0.04 541 535 THU 06Z 24-MAR -3.4 -9.3 1009 86 87 0.01 536 529 THU 12Z 24-MAR -6.1 -11.2 1013 84 61 0.01 537 526 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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