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March 21-24 Winter Storm


kab2791

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Nah I am totally fine with it. MSP not getting much anyways--but I will admit it would have been cool to be in ND for this one. No worries though--convection season down here. I was in the office just getting in when the line of supercells fired in eastern NE. Omaho NWS office got on the radio and said they couldn't hear a thing because of the golfball size hail nailing their office. I am pretty excited about severe wx season here and the craziness that will entail at the office.

That said--a beautiful storm and still fun to track. I don't have to be in a storm to enjoy it :)

Sounds Exciting. You seem like you're more of a synoptic man. Finding it challenging getting reacquainted with the intricacies of mesoscale? Or have I pegged you wrong.

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Nah I am totally fine with it. MSP not getting much anyways--but I will admit it would have been cool to be in ND for this one. No worries though--convection season down here. I was in the office just getting in when the line of supercells fired in eastern NE. Omaho NWS office got on the radio and said they couldn't hear a thing because of the golfball size hail nailing their office. I am pretty excited about severe wx season here and the craziness that will entail at the office.

That said--a beautiful storm and still fun to track. I don't have to be in a storm to enjoy it :)

i got about 2" of sleet on the ground and still coming down hard...here's a few snow reports from ND

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL REPORTS THUS FAR AS OF 950 PM CDT.

INCHES  LOCATION         		ST  COUNTY   		TIME
------  -----------------------  --  --------------   -------
12.00   6 SSE BUTTE              ND  MCLEAN   		0816 PM
        		STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THUS FAR.
 8.80   GRASSY BUTTE     		ND  MCKENZIE 		0600 PM
        		STORM TOTAL THUS FAR.
 8.00   MINOT                    ND  WARD     		0756 PM
        		STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THUS FAR.
 8.00   9 S GOLDEN VALLEY        ND  MERCER   		0430 PM
        		STORM TOTAL SNOW THUS FAR.
 7.50   WATFORD CITY     		ND  MCKENZIE 		0943 PM
        		STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THUS FAR. REPORT RELAYED
        		BY THE MEDIA.
 7.00   BISMARCK         		ND  BURLEIGH 		0732 PM
        		STORM TOTAL SO FAR IN NORTH BISMARCK...
 6.50   KIEF             		ND  MCHENRY          0943 PM
        		STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THUS FAR. REPORT RELAYED
        		BY THE MEDIA.
 6.50   CARTWRIGHT       		ND  MCKENZIE 		0918 PM
        		STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THUS FAR. REPORT RELAYED
        		BY THE MEDIA.
 6.00   MANDAREE         		ND  MCKENZIE 		0622 PM
        		STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THUS FAR ESTIMATED TO BE
        		BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES.

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Sounds Exciting. You seem like you're more of a synoptic man. Finding it challenging getting reacquainted with the intricacies of mesoscale? Or have I pegged you wrong.

Partially wrong/right ;)

My greatest experiences are in synoptics as well as local scale mountain weather forecasting. If anything mountain scale weather is just as intricately detailed and on a relatively short time/distance scale as localized moist convection. Severe convection was always a secondary interest, however, mostly due to the type of forecasting I did for my first two jobs. That required a lot more focus on winter weather (DOT--Department of Transportation forecasting). But you are right--I will be the first to admit severe convection is one major area I need to study up on more. I have already busted out a number of good articles/papers. SPC has a bunch of good reading material--and I have some great resources at UND for information as well--including a prof on the first VORTEX mission and a pioneer regarding RFD work.

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Partially wrong/right ;)

My greatest experiences are in synoptics as well as local scale mountain weather forecasting. If anything mountain scale weather is just as intricately detailed and on a relatively short time/distance scale as localized moist convection. Severe convection was always a secondary interest, however, mostly due to the type of forecasting I did for my first two jobs. That required a lot more focus on winter weather (DOT--Department of Transportation forecasting). But you are right--I will be the first to admit severe convection is one major area I need to study up on more. I have already busted out a number of good articles/papers. SPC has a bunch of good reading material--and I have some great resources at UND for information as well--including a prof on the first VORTEX mission and a pioneer regarding RFD work.

Well, good luck. :)

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From MPX 00z aviation disco:

KMSP...CONCERN FOR A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW LATE TONIGHT AT THE

AIRPORT. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS RAIN THIS

EVENING...BUT SHOULD MIX WITH SLEET TONIGHT. GIVEN THE STORM TRACK

HAS SHIFTED A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS...AND

STRONG DYNAMIC COOLING WITH THIS SYSTEM...A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW

IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT BETWEEN 06-11Z. THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED

VERY CLOSELY...THERE IS ONE MILE VISIBILITY WITH SNOW IN THE TAF

NOW. HOWEVER...THE VISIBILITY MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED LOWER WITH

MODERATE OR HEAVY SNOW HEADING INTO THE MORNING RUSH.

Over performer for the metro? Seems like every storm this winter but one has trended south, at the last

minute... really would love to see the record broken but still have to give this winter an A. It will

get an A+ if we get one more event...

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This has to be one of the biggest model busts i've been involved in, went from a forecast of 12-20" to I doubt we even have 2 inches and the snow is done here. ECMWF caught onto this and was excellent last night had gfk at .50" of qpf for 0z while most models were in the 1.25-1.75" range. Dry air killed us and even at 12z the US models were awful for up here. I'm depressed ......thumbsdownsmileyanim.gif I would have bet my very limited savings on us getting at least 6 inches and would have failed miserably.

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This has to be one of the biggest model busts i've been involved in, went from a forecast of 12-20" to I doubt we even have 2 inches and the snow is done here. ECMWF caught onto this and was excellent last night had gfk at .50" of qpf for 0z while most models were in the 1.25-1.75" range. Dry air killed us and even at 12z the US models were awful for up here. I'm depressed ......thumbsdownsmileyanim.gif I would have bet my very limited savings on us getting at least 6 inches and would have failed miserably.

LMAO

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lol us poor graduate students have it rough. Now my YOUNGER brother just got offered a 55k logistics job before he even graduates and it's even more pitiful.

Tell me about it. I'm around 50k In debt, which is pretty good considering other students at LTU are over 100k in Debt. I worked while in school, plus I still live at home, which helps a lot.

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Finished? per KC radar you should still be getting -SN. And yeah, I saw that addition. Looking at the MTO compass cams along the QEW, it looks like quite a bit has already fallen there. Very tight gradient.

Very light snow coming down in the wind. Anyway, I got an XL 3x3 at Timmies with my name on it hopefully I'll win something today on it

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