Ellinwood Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 I did the same... I was just saying the date itself. Its kinda silly, but if its going to snow, BRING IT ON! I don't want snow, but it looks almost like a lock now... I'll have to do an in-depth look at this weekend and maybe put out a snowfall forecast later today I didn't move from NY so I could get snow in late March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Is that snow showers at 2 AM Saturday morning per teh 12z NAM at hr 42? are you new at this? little 500 wave http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/12/images/nam_500_042m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 I don't want snow, but it looks almost like a lock now... I'll have to do an in-depth look at this weekend and maybe put out a snowfall forecast later today I didn't move from NY so I could get snow in late March. seems pretty likely snow will fall from the sky at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 seems pretty likely snow will fall from the sky at least Just realized I should have been more specific to say "in the general area" since DC is still looking iffy for accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 are you new at this? little 500 wave http://www.nco.ncep....am_500_042m.gif I wanted to be sure my eyes didn't deceive me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Just realized I should have been more specific to say "in the general area" since DC is still looking iffy for accumulations. we have so little trouble busting from a day out in feb it's hard to believe but maybe we're due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Would be fitting if we had another one squashed to the south this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Would be fitting if we had another one squashed to the south this year. Looks like its being delayed at 60... though -7 to -9c 850s... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Would be fitting if we had another one squashed to the south this year. Especially since it is almost April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Looks like its being delayed at 60... though -7 to -9c 850s... Cold and dry, woohoo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 66 -- C VA/RIC for the win? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 66 -- RIC for the win? Yoda, no play-by-play unless it is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Yoda, no play-by-play unless it is good. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/12/images/nam_ref_066l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Don't have much more room for any kind of southern move. Still to much time. I say richmond and the norfolk will get it again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Super-nice fringe job. Classic way to end my winter forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 the euro will be right.. we'll get some flakes that melt on contact or dust the grass at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Just because, I wonder why the SREFs have the precip further north than the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 beautiful hole right over DC/Arl... sheesh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 I don't mind where the NAM is now, given the last minute north trend that killed us all winter. I'd rather be where we are now, than fringed by a system that may go too far north. Again, it's late March; what are we asking for anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Yeah, exactly. The SREF's that just came out look pretty good. We'll see how the NAM looks in just a few minutes. Remind me how the SREFS have done this winter? YUP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 the euro will be right.. we'll get some flakes that melt on contact or dust the grass at best How often do we get fringed in late-March/early-April because of too much cold while Richmond gets nailed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Um.. plenty of time for a north shift? Maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 How often do we get fringed in late-March/early-April because of too much cold while Richmond gets nailed? never lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 How often do we get fringed in late-March/early-April because of too much cold while Richmond gets nailed? probably almost never, but we saw this kind of stuff with the big blocking early in the winter, plus yesterday's event ended up shunted south for folks up north. i would not assume it will come north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 The nam has not only held serve, but actually cooled substantially aloft. It was pushing the 750 MB temps to 3.5 during the height here and making it an all sleet event. This run has a .1 layer, so I'd assume there'd be a strong sleet mix from this run as is. As of now, congrats CHO to DCA-- with the north trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
loshjott Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 How often do we get fringed in late-March/early-April because of too much cold while Richmond gets nailed? As often as the City of Richmond having two teams in the Sweet 16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 As often as the City of Richmond having two teams in the Sweet 16. yea no doubt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 The nam has not only held serve, but actually cooled substantially aloft. It was pushing the 750 MB temps to 3.5 during the height here and making it an all sleet event. This run has a .1 layer, so I'd assume there'd be a strong sleet mix from this run as is. As of now, congrats CHO to DCA-- with the north trend. Im betting on a south trend...NAM did trend south from 06z-12z so did euro last night....Maybe too negavtive of an NAO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Not sure if the previous comments about the SREFs were the mean or the individual plumes. I'm going to assume it was the mean...but the individual members are all in agreement that it will snow. Amounts vary quite a bit though from a couple members with nothing to one at nearly 0.8" QPF. Most show >0.2" QPF. FWIW...GGEM was pretty far north with it at 00z. Gives us all several hours of snow. Check out hours 82-88 for a hilarous summary of this winter in DC. http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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