stormtracker Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Ah, if only the 84 hour NAM was believable. If we could get that baby 100 miles north.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 May have to schedule another snow chase for Sunday this upcoming weekend - There could be snow at elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 LWX is going with Snow likely Saturday night for Sterling. 60% chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 6z GFS, do with this what you will: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Could squeeze at a wet inch or two maybe. Worst start to spring I have seen in a quick minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Models, at least the ones that I can access, seem to be improving for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Maybe some light accum Sat night but nothing excitiing. I've lost the spirit a bit lately but I guess it would be nice to see some white on the ground Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Maybe some light accum Sat night but nothing excitiing. I've lost the spirit a bit lately but I guess it would be nice to see some white on the ground Sunday morning. I just took a quick look at the 6z NAM hr72. I may be wrong but that looks pretty decent from DC north with good 850s and decent QPF. But I guess it is the 72hr NAM so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marked8 Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 As much as I have enjoyed the warm weather, if it has to be chilly I will take a little white with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 6z NAM is just about perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 I just took a quick look at the 6z NAM hr72. I may be wrong but that looks pretty decent from DC north with good 850s and decent QPF. But I guess it is the 72hr NAM so... http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/06znamsnow_NE084.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 I'd still be wary of it all accumulating but it comes in at the right time. 4-5" on leafing trees would be messy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 6z NAM is just about perfect. The 6Z GFS is not horrible either. Just wondering if it will be suppressed further. How did the Euro look last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 The 6Z GFS is not horrible either. Just wondering if it will be suppressed further. How did the Euro look last night? further south... gets .1" to DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 captain sun angle and his sidekick, climatology I'd still be wary of it all accumulating but it comes in at the right time. 4-5" on leafing trees would be messy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 euro also keeps the early week storm south completely.. precip to about 50 miles north of nc/va line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 captain sun angle and his sidekick, climatology the euro is probably right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 agreed! the euro is probably right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 AFD/HWO mentions light snow accums possible Sat night into Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Of course the euro is right, look at it's record this past winter....lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Of course the euro is right, look at it's record this past winter....lol! Yeah, exactly. The SREF's that just came out look pretty good. We'll see how the NAM looks in just a few minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Yeah, exactly. The SREF's that just came out look pretty good. We'll see how the NAM looks in just a few minutes. Yeah... I saw that... then look at the date.. then looked at the maps... then the date... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 I'd still be wary of it all accumulating but it comes in at the right time. 4-5" on leafing trees would be messy. We don't have any of those yet, at least over here. What would be fun would be to see a good dump of snow overnight into Sun. morning and then see how well it fared during the day on Sunday. Any sun at all would be tough for snow to deal with at this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Yeah... I saw that... then look at the date.. then looked at the maps... then the date... Yeah, but as Ian said, it does fall at night. Sun angle not quite as bad then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 850s are around -4/-5 from hrs 57-78 on the 09z SREFs. Hr 70 or so the 2m 0C line crosses through DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Yeah... I saw that... then look at the date.. then looked at the maps... then the date... I looked at the temps and precip... I must be doing this wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 I looked at the temps and precip... I must be doing this wrong I did the same... I was just saying the date itself. Its kinda silly, but if its going to snow, BRING IT ON! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 Is that snow showers at 2 AM Saturday morning per teh 12z NAM at hr 42? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 the euro has done fine outside some weird insistance that it should turn things into snow bombs about a week out. but it does seem it's a bit on its own for now i guess. sref looks decent tho it did shift south a bit and it's pretty far out there in sref-land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 24, 2011 Share Posted March 24, 2011 the euro has done fine outside some weird insistance that it should turn things into snow bombs about a week out. but it does seem it's a bit on its own for now i guess. sref looks decent tho it did shift south a bit and it's pretty far out there in sref-land Somewhat. It keeps the 0C line just south and east of DC at 18z SUN.. which would probably set a record minimum high for the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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