PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 On 3/27/2011 at 2:22 PM, interstate said: The NAM wins again. The NAM has won all season long. It won all last year too. GFS = Fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 On 3/27/2011 at 2:22 PM, interstate said: The NAM wins again. The NAM has won all season long. the nam's higher resolution wins on sharp cutoffs. being in/near the sharp cutoff is dangerous. being south of d.c. and outside a localized band is dangerous. late march is dangerous. there was so much stacked against this one any flakes were a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 On 3/27/2011 at 1:55 PM, AppalachianWX said: He busted big time But....Nothing and no one is 100% accurate... but I keep trying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 On 3/27/2011 at 2:55 PM, FiveAlarmPhotography said: But....Nothing and no one is 100% accurate... but I keep trying I just read that, man just admit you were wrong, hell even DT admitted he busted this forecast. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 On 3/27/2011 at 2:22 PM, interstate said: The NAM wins again. The NAM has won all season long. The NAM didn't really win-- maybe IYBY-- that's all. Got slaughtered down this way, as did the GFS and every other model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 On 3/27/2011 at 2:56 PM, AppalachianWX said: I just read that, man just admit you were wrong, hell even DT admitted he busted this forecast. lol Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 3/27 and O.C., MD looks to be a big winner http://www.instacam....id=OCPPH&size=L Salisbury too http://www.srh.noaa....story/KSBY.html winter ends just how it started...one big terd for DCA/BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 And once again the NCEP models really had a tough go of it. Excuses have been made since our first snow about 12/20...and in every different pattern they've continued to stink most of the time. Hopefully they work it out pre 2011/12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 On 3/27/2011 at 3:24 PM, messenger said: And once again the NCEP models really had a tough go of it. Excuses have been made since our first snow about 12/20...and in every different pattern they've continued to stink most of the time. Hopefully they work it out pre 2011/12. yep, and the Euro was really bad this year vs. prior years down here I honestly think BWI would have had a 60"+ season is the Euro's 4 day forecasts were right (probably 75"+ based on 5 day forecasts) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 On 3/27/2011 at 12:15 PM, Ian said: It was pretty tho. Accum patchy on Tidal Basin. Did you snap any pics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 0.2" at DCA. Double digits! Snow is all gone now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 what's up the 12z NAM today....some kind of joke DCA 69 03/30 09Z 34 32 73 6 0.08 0.00 541 558 -2.0 -17.7 1021 100 SN 003OVC271 0.6 1.4 72 03/30 12Z 32 32 58 5 0.30 0.00 541 559 -2.3 -16.5 1022 100 SN 000OVC382 3.0 0.0 75 03/30 15Z 32 32 100 8 0.40 0.00 544 560 -1.0 -16.9 1019 100 SN 000OVC368 4.4 0.4 78 03/30 18Z 32 32 115 7 0.29 0.00 546 558 -0.8 -17.3 1015 100 -SN 000OVC336 3.2 0.0 81 03/30 21Z 32 32 49 5 0.14 0.00 545 555 -1.3 -18.0 1012 100 RA 000OVC159 0.5 0.0 84 03/31 00Z 32 32 26 5 0.12 0.00 541 551 -2.3 -17.7 1012 100 -RA 000OVC083 0.9 0.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 On 3/27/2011 at 3:31 PM, das said: Did you snap any pics? yes. will post a few shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 On 3/27/2011 at 3:44 PM, chris87 said: what's up the 12z NAM today....some kind of joke DCA 69 03/30 09Z 34 32 73 6 0.08 0.00 541 558 -2.0 -17.7 1021 100 SN 003OVC271 0.6 1.4 72 03/30 12Z 32 32 58 5 0.30 0.00 541 559 -2.3 -16.5 1022 100 SN 000OVC382 3.0 0.0 75 03/30 15Z 32 32 100 8 0.40 0.00 544 560 -1.0 -16.9 1019 100 SN 000OVC368 4.4 0.4 78 03/30 18Z 32 32 115 7 0.29 0.00 546 558 -0.8 -17.3 1015 100 -SN 000OVC336 3.2 0.0 81 03/30 21Z 32 32 49 5 0.14 0.00 545 555 -1.3 -18.0 1012 100 RA 000OVC159 0.5 0.0 84 03/31 00Z 32 32 26 5 0.12 0.00 541 551 -2.3 -17.7 1012 100 -RA 000OVC083 0.9 0.5 april is the new january Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 seriously....who knew....i guess giving up hope may pay off...I'm still betting for next week, I'll be in Europe and last time I left DC in late Jan, was when we got our only good storm. On 3/27/2011 at 3:55 PM, Ian said: april is the new january Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim_in_CA Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 What amazed me about this event is even though it's almost April, the jackpot still managed to be SOUTH of us - as it has all winter. Too far north for snow in late March sounds crazy, and yet, it's reality! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 On 3/27/2011 at 3:44 PM, chris87 said: what's up the 12z NAM today....some kind of joke DCA 69 03/30 09Z 34 32 73 6 0.08 0.00 541 558 -2.0 -17.7 1021 100 SN 003OVC271 0.6 1.4 72 03/30 12Z 32 32 58 5 0.30 0.00 541 559 -2.3 -16.5 1022 100 SN 000OVC382 3.0 0.0 75 03/30 15Z 32 32 100 8 0.40 0.00 544 560 -1.0 -16.9 1019 100 SN 000OVC368 4.4 0.4 78 03/30 18Z 32 32 115 7 0.29 0.00 546 558 -0.8 -17.3 1015 100 -SN 000OVC336 3.2 0.0 81 03/30 21Z 32 32 49 5 0.14 0.00 545 555 -1.3 -18.0 1012 100 RA 000OVC159 0.5 0.0 84 03/31 00Z 32 32 26 5 0.12 0.00 541 551 -2.3 -17.7 1012 100 -RA 000OVC083 0.9 0.5 Like a flat-lining cardiogram. The death of winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 On 3/27/2011 at 3:57 PM, chris87 said: seriously....who knew....i guess giving up hope may pay off...I'm still betting for next week, I'll be in Europe and last time I left DC in late Jan, was when we got our only good storm. Creepy. I missed the Jan storm also and will be in Europe in April. Congrats snow lovers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 I looked on the ground I looked in a tree I looked all around no flake did I see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Nice Ian. How did you fuzz out the person in the last pic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 On 3/27/2011 at 4:24 PM, Stormpc said: Nice Ian. How did you fuzz out the person in the last pic? long exposure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 Nice Pics Ian! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marked8 Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 0.7 in Manassas, but I will take it. It brought my seasonal snow total to 14.0 even. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 On 3/27/2011 at 3:44 PM, chris87 said: what's up the 12z NAM today....some kind of joke DCA 69 03/30 09Z 34 32 73 6 0.08 0.00 541 558 -2.0 -17.7 1021 100 SN 003OVC271 0.6 1.4 72 03/30 12Z 32 32 58 5 0.30 0.00 541 559 -2.3 -16.5 1022 100 SN 000OVC382 3.0 0.0 75 03/30 15Z 32 32 100 8 0.40 0.00 544 560 -1.0 -16.9 1019 100 SN 000OVC368 4.4 0.4 78 03/30 18Z 32 32 115 7 0.29 0.00 546 558 -0.8 -17.3 1015 100 -SN 000OVC336 3.2 0.0 81 03/30 21Z 32 32 49 5 0.14 0.00 545 555 -1.3 -18.0 1012 100 RA 000OVC159 0.5 0.0 84 03/31 00Z 32 32 26 5 0.12 0.00 541 551 -2.3 -17.7 1012 100 -RA 000OVC083 0.9 0.5 give it 3 days to trend from today's 12Z last 24 hrs of the run.... to the last 24 hrs of yesterday's 18Z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 27, 2011 Share Posted March 27, 2011 On 3/22/2011 at 2:07 PM, Ender said: Looking at the record cold maxes IAD has seen a 35F on 3/24/71 and that was under -10.1C H85 temps. The amazing 7.6" at 18:1 ratios from 3/30/64 - 3/31/64 fell with H85 at -11.2C at 0Z on the 30th, -14.9C at 12Z on the 31st and -9.3C at 0Z on 4/1. The recorded highs were 37F and 39F. The coldest April high ever, 38F, resulted from a 12Z H85 temp of -10.1. It's gonna take a lot to make the GFS's 18Z temp of 29F verify with a 12Z H85 starting point of -7.8C. The EC's 36F under -10C u/l is probably more realistic. LOL. GFS surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.