clskinsfan Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 I will take my inch and run. The end of a disaster of a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 you're trying too hard I put more effort into taking a dump. Isn't it time for you to complain about something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormitecture Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 Shouldn't the title read "SpringFLIZZARD" instead? BTW...just posted a pic from the Tidal Basin of the blossoms progress as of Friday in that respective thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 26, 2011 Author Share Posted March 26, 2011 6z nam and uro have zero qpf...while Gfs has over .25...wth???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 Looks like RIC in the jackpot 2 inches lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 6z nam and uro have zero qpf...while Gfs has over .25...wth???? GFS is still disorganized as it comes over the mtns, but it had a nice ribbon of high RH on the mid levels...it actually kind of dryslots RIC. However, it did that here as well and it ended up being horrifically wrong, so be aware. SREFs also have a 3hr hit between 09z and 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 6z nam and uro have zero qpf...while Gfs has over .25...wth???? Yeah, the nam came to it's sense and them some. my total qpf went from .8 to .2 in one run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 Model verification: GFS has a better handling on the timing and intensity of the precip. over the Southeast compared to the NAM, which was too slow and weaker. Neither model properly handled the convection over MO/AR/OK/KS (too late on initiation and hence lower totals). Both models have captured the location of the low rather well (central TX/OK border), but are too weak by a couple of mb. EDIT: 12z obs make the low a little weaker, so NAM and GFS are just about spot-on with current pressure. Overall, the GFS seems to be doing better than the NAM in both the 00z and 06z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 Well, if you don't need it, sure, send it up here. 46,41,41 the last three days for highs here. Far cry from the 76 and 78 of last week. I know you've already cut some grass a couple of times, but I can wait a few more weeks for that work to start. I'll even pay the shipping . I like the snow, but that warmth before this change to cold had me craving for green. The flowers are falling off the pear trees now and leaves are popping out. I bet I will have a few shade trees in about a week. 1-3" in the forecast by Sunday morning. We're heading over to Cincy for a college tour so I'll miss it in mby...supposed to be some over there too though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 I don't know about the the other NWS offices but Mount Holly is surprising bullish for their southern zones, going for high probability of accumulating snowfall. They did issue a hazardous weather outlook and noted potential for a snow advisory. Seems interesting enough, I think alot of people gave up on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 The LWX snow totals map... DCA right on the 1" cusp: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 It looks like the NAM is playing the catchup game with the GFS as of 12z. DC is getting in on the snow on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 Well at least being in DC this weekend I am guaranteed to see a few flakes...just might have to be walking on the street instead of falling from the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 LOL... even when it's almost April, snow still mostly misses us to the south. Classic DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 LOL... even when it's almost April, snow still mostly misses us to the south. Classic DC. I don't know about you but a half-inch of snow is pretty significant in late March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 The NAM at my house-- 0z .75 06z .20 12z .75. Nice to be consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 The NAM at my house-- 0z .75 06z .20 12z .75. Nice to be consistent. Exactly, It's not a good idea to pull your hair out over that model. It fools you by going to 84 hours but I find it useful only within 24 hours, most of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 Exactly, It's not a good idea to pull your hair out over that model. It fools you by going to 84 hours but I find it useful only within 24 hours, most of the time. And even with that-- I use it for the thermal profiles vs anything else. It has another round of snow at my place Monday nite... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 can someone post the 12z nam snow clown map for fun thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 I don't know about you but a half-inch of snow is pretty significant in late March. Except when areas a hundred miles south are looking at 3-4 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 Except when areas a hundred miles south are looking at 3-4 inches of snow. Eh, I'm seeing alot BL issues down there and alot of last-minute trends that say that Fredericksburg area(and especially west) should be the jackpot area with DC getting in on an inch or more. Won't be surprised if you take with a grain of salt though because it sounds like hype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 Improvement on the 12Z NAM for us NOVA folks. Nothing significant but playing catch up. Looking at Natl radar appears precip in MO is moving slightly north of due east. Need to keep that trend going as long as possible before the squash comes later tonight. Potomac River may be dividing line between something vs nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 JB from baltimore is still calling for snow in Baltimore, good luck with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 12z nam BWI .02 DCA .07 IAD .05 EZF .22 SHD .22 LYH .75 ROA .86 RIC .44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 12z nam BWI .02 DCA .07 IAD .05 EZF .22 SHD .22 LYH .75 ROA .86 RIC .44 Please post the numbers for the GFS when it comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 The winter storm watch for the lower end of the shenandoah valley and western piedmont of VA has been replaced with a Winter Weather Advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derecho Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 12z GFS at 24 is looking slightly better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 12z GFS at 24 is looking slightly better It really transfers the low to the coast at 30, does that seem realistic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 the north trend folks sure busted (it would seem) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 wow the euro was awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.