WinterWxLuvr Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 remember the feb 22 storm when the best lift was 50-100 miles north of where the models had it and adding to that.....further north will also have the better temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 there was a feb 22 storm? Yes. A whopping 30 miles to my north had about a 5-6 inch snow, while I had about 1.5-2 inches of mostly sleet with some snow on top put there just to rub my face in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 158 PM EDT FRI MAR 25 2011 VAZ503-504-WVZ505-506-260200- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0005.110327T0200Z-110327T2000Z/ WESTERN HIGHLAND-EASTERN HIGHLAND-WESTERN PENDLETON- EASTERN PENDLETON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIGHTOWN...MONTEREY...CIRCLEVILLE... FRANKLIN 158 PM EDT FRI MAR 25 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW * ACCUMULATIONS...POTENTIAL FOR SIX INCHES OF SNOW. * TIMING...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. * TEMPERATURES...LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS SUNDAY IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S. * WINDS...EAST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST SUNDAY . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 158 PM EDT FRI MAR 25 2011 VAZ025-026-036-037-260200- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0005.110327T0200Z-110327T2000Z/ AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-NELSON-ALBEMARLE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STAUNTON...WAYNESBORO...HARRISONBURG... CHARLOTTESVILLE 158 PM EDT FRI MAR 25 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW * ACCUMULATIONS...POTENTIAL FOR FIVE INCHES OF SNOW...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGH ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2000 FEET. * TIMING...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. * TEMPERATURES...LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT RANGING FROM THE LOWER 20S ALONG THE HIGH ELEVATIONS TO NEAR 30 IN THE VALLEYS. HIGHS SUNDAY RANGING FROM THE LOWER 30S IN THE HIGH ELEVATIONS TO THE UPPER 30S IN THE VALLEYS. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 From the 230 HWO from LWX ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 thx yoda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 Nice. If I didn't have the kids this weekend, I'd probably head west south west for a mini chase since this will be the last shot we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 thx yoda Copy and Paste King at your disposal sir... but Midlo did beat me to the first watch issuance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 that wont cut it buddy. Surface temps are a disaster for you my temps and your qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 euro hr 162 sub 1000mb low se of hat 0c from orf to danville precip into ric all rain but something to watch dc is -4c Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 Not liking this for the Northern Shenandoah Valley. Harrisonburg/Wayneboro....that area looks to get a couple of inches. Really a screwed up winter out here this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 my temps and your qpf The song of our winter . MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 euro hr 162 sub 1000mb low se of hat 0c from orf to danville precip into ric all rain but something to watch dc is -4c That's DT's severe threat. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 That's DT's severe threat. MDstorm storm after that looks more like a svr maker on the euro.. gets some nice warm 850s into the MA +16C! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 storm after that looks more like a svr maker on the euro.. gets some nice warm 850s into the MA +16C! Finally... would be nice to see 80s and heavy heavy CAPE and storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 Finally... would be nice to see 80s and heavy heavy CAPE and storms Never. If it doesn't make it to 80 all summer, I'd be thrilled. 75, clear, no humidity is perfection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 LWX afternoon AFD SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...-- Changed Discussion --CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN TO OUR NORTH SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY WHILE LOW PRESSURE PASSES BY TO OUR SOUTH. THE UPPER-LEVEL FEATURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL PASS THROUGH OUR REGION DURING THIS TIME. THE COMBINATION OF LIFT FROM THE UPPER-LEVEL FEATURE AND ISENTROPIC LIFT ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THE LOW WILL SPREAD A BAND OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS OUR AREA LATER SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER-LEVEL FEATURE AND SURFACE LOW MOVE OFFSHORE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH COLD AIR FOR THE PTYPE TO BE MAINLY SNOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE POTOMAC HIGHLANDS AND CENTRAL SHENANDOAH VIRGINIA OVERNIGHT SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING WHERE UP TO SIX INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE AREAS. LIGHTER SNOW AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED FURTHER NORTH AND EAST...BUT ACCUMULATING SNOW ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING WILL LIKELY CAUSE PROBLEMS FOR THOSE TRAVELING LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MAY BE WARRANTED FOR THE WASHINGTON AND BALTIMORE METROPOLITAN AREAS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR OVER THE NEXT DAY.-- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 storm after that looks more like a svr maker on the euro.. gets some nice warm 850s into the MA +16C! Delayed, but not denied? MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 Finally... would be nice to see 80s and heavy heavy CAPE and storms All that means is more copying and pasting and parameters for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 Never. If it doesn't make it to 80 all summer, I'd be thrilled. 75, clear, no humidity is perfection. Good luck with that in Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 Never. If it doesn't make it to 80 all summer, I'd be thrilled. 75, clear, no humidity is perfection. Move to San Diego. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 All that means is more copying and pasting and parameters for you You know you love it and can't live without it on severe weather days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 Final Call... Harrisonburg 3 inches Stanuton 3 inches C-Ville 2 inches Woodstock 2 inches Winchester 1 inch Martinsburg trace Hagerstown cold with a few clouds IAD 1 inch DCA Trace BWI GO STEELERS!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 Final Call... Harrisonburg 3 inches Stanuton 3 inches C-Ville 2 inches Woodstock 2 inches Winchester 1 inch Martinsburg trace Hagerstown cold with a few clouds IAD 1 inch DCA Trace BWI GO STEELERS!!! Congrats...you will forever be on the shiat lists of Ravensrule and Baltimorewxguy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 SREF mean back south again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 SREF mean back south again this year, it doesn't matter what they say I think they hit our one decent event pretty well but craped the bed with everything else either too high or too low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 gotta' admit, quite the -NAO look to this temp map http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=na&inv=0&t=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 this year, it doesn't matter what they say I think they hit our one decent event pretty well but craped the bed with everything else either too high or too low some of that is probably how intricate many of the systems were. this one is a little more clear cut. models will always have a bit of trouble on the edges as well. still, we're not in a great spot no matter how you look at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 some of that is probably how intricate many of the systems were. this one is a little more clear cut. models will always have a bit of trouble on the edges as well. still, we're not in a great spot no matter how you look at it. yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 25, 2011 Share Posted March 25, 2011 nam not coming north.. maybe a hair south again with the precip contours around dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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