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March 27 SpringBlizzard Discussion


Ji

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Just about to post this. With memory comes fog, at least for me, but I do distictly remember the few events that did produce a little for us, that the trend was that 2 to 3 days out, the SREF's would dry up and then start to bring the precip back as we got closer to the event. The Jan 26 event this was especially true.

sref is not gospel but as we close in it should be more accurate. i dont think you can take too much from a "trend" of the model. living in the gradient zone is painful. i do think when we've been modeled in or near that type of zone this winter we've done worse than expected in most instances.

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i was shocked with how gung ho the locals were about this yesterday. bob ryan throwing out 1-3" numbers more than 48 hours out in late march? more guts than i've got at least.

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