BethesdaWX Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 7:20 PM, Riptide said: Well, we all know that DC gets steaming hot, most surrounding locations are in the lower 40's. I just have a hard time seeing how this thing misses anyone south of PA border, with significant snows. 48 here, although I'm literally on the Potomac River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 7:37 PM, BethesdaWX said: 48 here, although I'm literally on the Potomac River...although I'm not sure it'd have any effect. My highs are usually warmer than DCA in the winter, and cooler in the summer. High was 46.4 on my station. DCA's reading is solid today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 nice to see a deep moisture connection with this thing....on March 26 http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/us_comp/us_comp.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 SREFS still jumping around... 15Z nudged north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 7:37 PM, BethesdaWX said: 48 here, although I'm literally on the Potomac River. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 7:46 PM, gymengineer said: SREFS still jumping around... 15Z nudged north. being on the edge is a big pain. i think radar looks a bit better in places like kentucky than something like the nam showed, but it could be meaningless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 7:49 PM, Ian said: being on the edge is a big pain. i think radar looks a bit better in places like kentucky than something like the nam showed, but it could be meaningless. I was looking at the radar in Missouri--- further north there by quite a bit right now than what was predicted by the 12Z NAM and closer to GFS... but as you said, it could be meaningless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 7:47 PM, Riptide said: Interesting. Yep now its 48.7... the station is actually in the shade now. And I'm usually colder than DC. I think the issue is the W wind blowing off the Potomac river, Water temperatures Warmed significantly this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 7:51 PM, gymengineer said: I was looking at the radar in Missouri--- further north there by quite a bit right now than what was predicted by the 12Z NAM and closer to GFS... but as you said, it could be meaningless. i'd be happier if we could get in closer to the .2" mark liquid. .1" is not going to amount to much (maybe half inch) probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 Storm is clearly sinking ESE with time http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/index_loop.php We're used to bitter disappointments here in DC / N VA ----- It is our lot in life. Autumn snows, Heart o' the winter snows, Spring snows ----- They ALL go south. Richmond VA is the NEW Snow Capital of the Mid Atlantic. The snow gods HATE N VA and DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 7:58 PM, Jebman said: Storm is clearly sinking ESE with time http://radar.weather.../index_loop.php We're used to bitter disappointments here in DC / N VA ----- It is our lot in life. Autumn snows, Heart o' the winter snows, Spring snows ----- They ALL go south. Richmond VA is the NEW Snow Capital of the Mid Atlantic. The snow gods HATE N VA and DC I'm not seeing it. Allow me to hallucinate towards the positive and say its clearly further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 26, 2011 Author Share Posted March 26, 2011 NAM is starting to nudge back North. Hopefully we will have a feb 22 scenario where we become Hagerstown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 8:03 PM, Stormpc said: I'm not seeing it. Allow me to hallucinate towards the positive and say its clearly further north. This is some classic easternuswx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 49 degrees, hard to expect a 20 degree drop in 9 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 26, 2011 Author Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 8:19 PM, BethesdaWX said: 49 degrees, hard to expect a 20 degree drop in 9 hours. happens all the time. Feb 2003 went from 37 to 12 in like 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 12z GFS BWI .20 IAD .21 DCA .22 EZF .20 RIC .22 SHD .62 LYH .48 Sn and Ra ROA .46 all rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 8:03 PM, Stormpc said: I'm not seeing it. Allow me to hallucinate towards the positive and say its clearly further north. I fervently hope you're right and that I am visually challenged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 8:19 PM, BethesdaWX said: 49 degrees, hard to expect a 20 degree drop in 9 hours. dews are in the single digits and teens. of course, that could be an issue if all the good lift passes south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 8:19 PM, BethesdaWX said: 49 degrees, hard to expect a 20 degree drop in 9 hours. If it isn't dry, it's too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 8:19 PM, Ji said: happens all the time. Feb 2003 went from 37 to 12 in like 6 hours I forgot to take the Dp into account here..its fookin low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 8:22 PM, Riptide said: If it isn't dry, it's too warm. yep! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 8:21 PM, Ian said: dews are in the single digits and teens. of course, that could be an issue if all the good lift passes south. Low dews won't help us if the storm is too far south On 3/26/2011 at 8:22 PM, Riptide said: If it isn't dry, it's too warm. if it isn't too warm, it's too far south My temp is 43 with a 15 degree dewpoint I can't believe we're holding out for snow ONLY FIVE DAYS OUT FROM APRIL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 I hope the GFS isn't on crack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 Wow 18z nam looks like dogsh*t. Total QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 8:28 PM, BethesdaWX said: I hope the GFS isn't on crack. The GFS is completely and utterly stoned and......will still be correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 the nam looks ok i think.. for what we expect at least. the models have trouble down the .1" anyway, so everything from 0-.25" is probably sill in play around d.c. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 LWX moved up north to WWA and the snow map has changed from the 12pm run Maps looks reasonable for Loudoun, FFX and into Maryland to me Wakefield snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 As always, expect the heaviest band to verify 50-75 miles north of where the models say it will be and bring a mix up further north as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 8:42 PM, PhineasC said: As always, expect the heaviest band to verify 50-75 miles north of where the models say it will be and bring a mix up further north as well. 1 inch for Balt? Its comical how on other pages people are hugging the hrrr model...sigh, the persistence of snow lovers.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 26, 2011 Share Posted March 26, 2011 On 3/26/2011 at 8:46 PM, BaltimoreWxGuy said: 1 inch for Balt? Its comical how on other pages people are hugging the hrrr model...sigh, the persistence of snow lovers.. It won't do us or even DC any good, but I will be waiting for the folks further south to start wailing about sleet and dryslots while the heaviest goes just north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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