nzucker Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Boston is only at 35/23 so even the coastal plain looks good for temperatures. Dewpoints should allow for plenty of evaporational cooling at the onset of the precipitation. ORH is at 32/24 so they're in great shape as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Congrats on 4-5". I really want March to come in above average to make it 4 straight months of positive departures in the snowfall category. Have a ways to go as average March snow here is 15+" (I think). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 26/20. Go Go Go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Cape is plenty cold too, temps around 30 dews in the low 20s or teens. Next system looks like shat on the NAM..sheared poop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 26/20. Go Go Go. Looks pretty good for you MRG. 4" is not out of the question in your neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Looks like 4-6" tmrw.. driving back tomorrow to bridgton. Pumped for snow. Depressed to see what my 40" snowpack two weeks ago has become Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 NAM rocks us. That probably is close to all snow in HFD with most of it occurring in 2 or 3 hours lol Timing? I've been out of it... I'm driving NYC to BOS from about 1-5 pm tomorrow. Just wet roads by then from HFD north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Timing? I've been out of it... I'm driving NYC to BOS from about 1-5 pm tomorrow. Just wet roads by then from HFD north? Yeah I would think roads are just wet almost everywhere by 3 or 4pm when you get into N CT and C MA if you are coming back via the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 after he blew a major blizzard back in 05' I don't listen to him much...he literally had 1-3" while there was a blizzard warning in effect...I just didn't understand and said to myself " I am going to go to school so i can be a better forecaster than him" If you are disregarding the man's opionion because he has proved fallible, especially within this particular industry, then perhaps you should be going to school for more than wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 I'm certainly weary of a lighter snow that may only accumulate an inch or so, but I think that type of scenario is rapidly becoming the exception rather than the rule at this point. I think forecasts for a coating or less in the CP are also probably in trouble...esp N of the pike into Ray's area. Yes....final call: 1-3" of cement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Wow, GFS coming in very juicy too. Over a half inch of qpf for western 2/3rds of MA and N CT and most of NH/S ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Wow, GFS coming in very juicy too. Over a half inch of qpf for western 2/3rds of MA and N CT and most of NH/S ME. Probably gives me like .4".....I'll take that...just want a shot @ 3". Congrats on 4-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Probably gives me like .4".....I'll take that...just want a shot @ 3". Congrats on 4-5". The duration still has me a bit conservative. It could snow really hard for awhile but it won't last more than a few hours, so if it doesn't come in as hard, then we'd probably be hard pressed to break 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 The duration still has me a bit conservative. It could snow really hard for awhile but it won't last more than a few hours, so if it doesn't come in as hard, then we'd probably be hard pressed to break 2". Regardless, I should blow past 1981-82, tmw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 I know this isn't SNE, but do you think we start as snow down here tonight, Will? The 0z GFS gives me like .15" QPF before 850s go above 0C, but would there be other mid-level issues? Any sneaky warm layers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 I know this isn't SNE, but do you think we start as snow down here tonight, Will? The 0z GFS gives me like .15" QPF before 850s go above 0C, but would there be other mid-level issues? Any sneaky warm layers? I think you are probably skunked in the boundary layer there. 900mb temps above 0C by 12z. You might get lucky and try to get some evap cooling for a brief period, but it would be over taken pretty quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 GFS is pretty far north with the mid-week system but its quite disorganized. It does look like some advisory snow potential there, but I'd like it better if we saw the more defined system again. It was pretty warm too getting sleet at least to the MA border at its peak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 I think you are probably skunked in the boundary layer there. 900mb temps above 0C by 12z. You might get lucky and try to get some evap cooling for a brief period, but it would be over taken pretty quickly. I'd love to pick up an inch in a brief burst, don't have high expectations but might stay up to see what happens. The 0z GFS is much colder than the 0z NAM at 850mb, and the radar does look good for my area with some heavy banding currently over Central PA...this might be like a typical WAA/SW flow event that arrives earlier than expected, which would be good since the 850s are going to rise as we approach morning. NWS has a mix of snow and sleet here with a low of 35F, so it would be hard to stick, but I don't know how small differences in topography and urbanization might influence it since that's always a big deal in this area. The downtown is currently at 38.2/30, very marginal. Do you agree the event is moving in quickly Will? Could we sneak in an inch before it warms at 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 I'll be interested to see how much the convective characteristics of the system will survive into New England tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 GFS is pretty far north with the mid-week system but its quite disorganized. It does look like some advisory snow potential there, but I'd like it better if we saw the more defined system again. It was pretty warm too getting sleet at least to the MA border at its peak. I'd take it. Lets hope the EURO is n, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 I'd love to pick up an inch in a brief burst, don't have high expectations but might stay up to see what happens. The 0z GFS is much colder than the 0z NAM at 850mb, and the radar does look good for my area with some heavy banding currently over Central PA...this might be like a typical WAA/SW flow event that arrives earlier than expected, which would be good since the 850s are going to rise as we approach morning. NWS has a mix of snow and sleet here with a low of 35F, so it would be hard to stick, but I don't know how small differences in topography and urbanization might influence it since that's always a big deal in this area. The downtown is currently at 38.2/30, very marginal. Do you agree the event is moving in quickly Will? Could we sneak in an inch before it warms at 12z? You might sneak some frozen in there...hard to say yet. You'll have a better idea over the next 2-3 hours as the radar fills in and the obs start lighting up over C NY and PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 And of course there is the blizzard on the GFS d8 which brings BOS to close to 100 inches...lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 And of course there is the blizzard on the GFS d8 which brings BOS to close to 100 inches...lol.. Lol...what a weenie run that is for that storm. That would be the biggest storm that late in the season since 1997. Its basically 1.5" of qpf mostly or all snow. Pipe dream right now, but its fun to look at on the maps and at least know the pattern can potentially support a late season bomb even if the chances of actual realization of one are fairly small. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Lol...what a weenie run that is for that storm. That would be the biggest storm that late in the season since 1997. Its basically 1.5" of qpf mostly or all snow. Pipe dream right now, but its fun to look at on the maps and at least know the pattern can potentially support a late season bomb even if the chances of actual realization of one are fairly small. Lol, doesn't the jump from 180 to 192 look a little suspicious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 30/16 here now..... GFS and NAM are both > .5" now and it falls primarily in about a five hour period from 7 AM to Noon. You might sneak some frozen in there...hard to say yet. You'll have a better idea over the next 2-3 hours as the radar fills in and the obs start lighting up over C NY and PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 I see the HV from ALB down is uniformly running quite mild 37 in ALB to around 40 in the NYC area. Dew points are real low in any event.... I know this isn't SNE, but do you think we start as snow down here tonight, Will? The 0z GFS gives me like .15" QPF before 850s go above 0C, but would there be other mid-level issues? Any sneaky warm layers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 The suny mm5 tries to pull a 3 hour 12/16/07 over central MA, NE CT, and SW NH between 15z and 18z tomorrow. Obscene 3 hourly precip totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Lol, doesn't the jump from 180 to 192 look a little suspicious? truncation = epic bi-winning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 truncation = epic bi-winning Wins here and wins there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Some weird stuff going on... ALB now up to 40/18 with a south wind at 14 gusting to 20. Also 40 in POU and NYC. 30/18 here just 20 miles west of ALB at 1K feet.... GFL at 31/23 so reasonable.... Wins here and wins there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.