ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Euro still extends the good precip into CT...so that should make Kevin feel better about tomorrow. It looks very nice for N ORH/Berks/Monads...probably like a solid 3-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Euro cuts back on the juiciness for NNE tomorrow. Looks similar to previous runs for SNE. 3-5" for many in the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Will, What is the latest places like BDL, BOS, ORH, and CON have seen a 12+ snowstorm? I'm pretty sure its: BOS: Apr 6-7, 1982 BDL: Apr 6-7, 1982 PVD: Mar 31-Apr 1, 1997 ORH: May 9-10, 1977 I'd have to double check though. I know the ORH one is right, lol. edit: Forgot CON...Apr 13, 1933 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Taunton up to 45, 39 still here with good winds out of the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2011 Author Share Posted March 20, 2011 Euro still extends the good precip into CT...so that should make Kevin feel better about tomorrow. It looks very nice for N ORH/Berks/Monads...probably like a solid 3-5". What does it have here? 1-3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 What does it have here? 1-3? More than 1" there...probably more like 2-3". BL is slightly more of an issue the further south you go, but if you can stay snow for most of it, then the Euro would def be like 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2011 Author Share Posted March 20, 2011 I'm pretty sure its: BOS: Apr 6-7, 1982 BDL: Apr 6-7, 1982 PVD: Mar 31-Apr 1, 1997 ORH: May 9-10, 1977 I'd have to double check though. I know the ORH one is right, lol. edit: Forgot CON...Apr 13, 1933 I'll never be able to get over that May 9 and 10 storm. I wonder how much my area had. I wonder if Union got 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Will, What is the latest places like BDL, BOS, ORH, and CON have seen a 12+ snowstorm? CON had 18.3" 4/12-13/1933. 9.6" 4/28-29/1987. 5.0" 5/10-11/1945. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Now we get deeper into April and many elevated areas have had several good 12"+ events probably. We had a very big one in parts of Upstate NY on April 15th, 2007. 10" here which went to rain due to the low track, but a lot more in high elevations southwest of me. That was such a marginal situation here and yet it snowed and accumulated all day despite the sun angle then it turned to rain after dark..... I'm pretty sure its: BOS: Apr 6-7, 1982 BDL: Apr 6-7, 1982 PVD: Mar 31-Apr 1, 1997 ORH: May 9-10, 1977 I'd have to double check though. I know the ORH one is right, lol. edit: Forgot CON...Apr 13, 1933 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2011 Author Share Posted March 20, 2011 More than 1" there...probably more like 2-3". BL is slightly more of an issue the further south you go, but if you can stay snow for most of it, then the Euro would def be like 3". WHat time does the Euro have it snowing? Does it start before 6:00am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 That was fun...can you actually remember it? I was 11 years old already beginning to become a wx weenie. LOL We got about 6 inches in the HV below Albany. I'll never be able to get over that May 9 and 10 storm. I wonder how much my area had. I wonder if Union got 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 WHat time does the Euro have it snowing? Does it start before 6:00am? No, maybe in W MA and Litchfield county it starts around then or slightly before, but it probably starts like 7-8am there. The bulk of the snow will be during the 8-12 time frame tomorrow morning. An hour or two later for places like NE MA and SE NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Thu is looking more suppressed with the confluence further south so far. I'm lucky if I get a flake I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Euro is definitely south with the mid week threat. The shortwave gets shredded more and its mostly a light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2011 Author Share Posted March 20, 2011 Scooter's north trend FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 I'd rather have it a little south at this point. No offense...but we don't need it to trend up to Dendrite's BY. :)quote name='CT Blizz' timestamp='1300644811' post='568183'] Scooter's north trend FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Euro is definitely south with the mid week threat. The shortwave gets shredded more and its mostly a light snow. That's what I like to hear, Will: you're knocking it out of the park Seriously, it seems as if the ECM and GFS have been very inconsistent on this storm; both models trended well north last night, but the 12z GFS held out while the 12z ECM slipped back south. The GGEM is really the only model that's been consistent, always showing this to be a NYC and S CT/ S RI threat rather than a big hit up towards ORH. This is a weird storm, as it's not often we see a huge snow event in Fargo ND that goes on to nail the I-95 corridor. One thing I don't like is that the event seems to be speeding up which means it occurs mostly during the day Wednesday, and that will mean we're contending with the late March sun angle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Scooter's north trend FTL Eh, its one run and its more an issue of disorganized shortwave...the precip shield just doesn't look that good on this run. The good vorticity sort of gets split in two. This threat being 3.5-4 days out still has plenty of oscillations in store I'm sure and by no means is a lock for a good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Will...is this strictly a high elevation snow or will my latitude be good enough for a couple sloppy inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Will...is this strictly a high elevation snow or will my latitude be good enough for a couple sloppy inches? You talking about tomorrow? Elevation will certainly help but you should be good for a couple inches I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 You talking about tomorrow? Elevation will certainly help but you should be good for a couple inches I would think. Yeah. I'm assuming that it'll mostly be a grass deal and that the roads should be mostly just slushy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 That's what I like to hear, Will: you're knocking it out of the park Seriously, it seems as if the ECM and GFS have been very inconsistent on this storm; both models trended well north last night, but the 12z GFS held out while the 12z ECM slipped back south. The GGEM is really the only model that's been consistent, always showing this to be a NYC and S CT/ S RI threat rather than a big hit up towards ORH. This is a weird storm, as it's not often we see a huge snow event in Fargo ND that goes on to nail the I-95 corridor. One thing I don't like is that the event seems to be speeding up which means it occurs mostly during the day Wednesday, and that will mean we're contending with the late March sun angle. I'd keep expectations pretty low. This is the first south trend on the Euro in like the last 5 runs. There isn't a lot of room for this one...it could be a shredded mess like the Euro shows (its south, but less juicy overall and an ugly precip shield) or it could end up a little more amped and threaten parts of SNE with sleet. The band of good snows will be relatively narrow. I'm not getting too optimistic for this one yet, but I think there will be at least some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 I'd keep expectations pretty low. This is the first south trend on the Euro in like the last 5 runs. There isn't a lot of room for this one...it could be a shredded mess like the Euro shows (its south, but less juicy overall and an ugly precip shield) or it could end up a little more amped and threaten parts of SNE with sleet. The band of good snows will be relatively narrow. I'm not getting too optimistic for this one yet, but I think there will be at least some snow. Do you think the coastal could potentially become more amplified and give some back-end snows? Or is it just a west to east mover? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Do you think the coastal could potentially become more amplified and give some back-end snows? Or is it just a west to east mover? Its probably going to be mostly a northern side system though a few GFS ensemble members amp it up enough to try and wrap moisture around more to the west, but its certainly not a classic coastal. It might try and blow up a bit as it exits stage right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Its probably going to be mostly a northern side system though a few GFS ensemble members amp it up enough to try and wrap moisture around more to the west, but its certainly not a classic coastal. It might try and blow up a bit as it exits stage right. Late bloomers rock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 It strikes me as being more in the category of a warm advection, overunning type event.... Do you think the coastal could potentially become more amplified and give some back-end snows? Or is it just a west to east mover? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 nice burst of snow tomorrow.. http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Scooter's north trend FTL I said to be careful if it happens. It came a little suppressed and is now south of a lot of guidance. We'll see what happens, but I don't think it was necessarily a bad thing as of now. It honestly could go either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 It strikes me as being more in the category of a warm advection, overunning type event.... Yeah we will see, I like my chances with that one. Think it will mainly be a southern areas thing. Plenty cold today feels a lot colder than it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Might be able to scrape up a coating to an inch even around here, tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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