dendrite Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 00z NAM coming around for Monday after the paltry 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Another nice thump of snow on the NAM. 00z has 850s of like -6c here during the height of the snow. Probably 5" if it verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 This is a hoot. Meanwhile, off to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Another nice thump of snow on the NAM. 00z has 850s of like -6c here during the height of the snow. Probably 5" if it verified. Lock that up, nice 5 would get me near the 90 s. My grandson better be accurate in my absence, he is a learned boy though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Lock that up, nice 5 would get me near the 90 s. My grandson better be accurate in my absence, he is a learned boy though. You heading up to Sunday River? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 You heading up to Sunday River? Yep, six days then two in VT, leaving in the AM, heavy heavy stocking up on my favorite sody pop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Yep, six days then two in VT, leaving in the AM, heavy heavy stocking up on my favorite sody pop Nice... be safe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Nice... be safe! Thanks, oh yea extra. Least you have some challenges in your forecasts, good luck, just don't forget to go to work LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Thanks, oh yea extra. Least you have some challenges in your forecasts, good luck, just don't forget to go to work LOL lol that was last week! I'm doing wx all day tomorrow and wed night. Should be a busy 2 shifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Another nice thump of snow on the NAM. 00z has 850s of like -6c here during the height of the snow. Probably 5" if it verified. Watch out for that upper level dryslot ~42hr. Most falls as snow though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Watch out for that upper level dryslot ~42hr. Most falls as snow though. It's pretty much all over by 18z though hence the drier air aloft... looks like the heaviest is right around 15z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 It's pretty much all over by 18z though hence the drier air aloft... looks like the heaviest is right around 15z. Yeah...I saw you get 0.50" anyway before the nucleation ceases. I guess the question is if the NAM is right with the best lift swinging through there. The GFS/EC are a tad north...the GFS really pounded S VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turtle Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Will be VERY interesting if the NAM verifies. RGEM looks pretty good, for N CT/W RI possibly into SW MA but a tad slower than NAM. 850 temps remain cold, too. --Turtle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 GFS stays pretty far north...more in the EC camp than the NAM. Hopefully we get more honing in by tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 GFS stays pretty far north...more in the EC camp than the NAM. Hopefully we get more honing in by tomorrow. congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 congrats I've seen the EC fail too much in the SR to lock anything in. At least there should be some accumulation which is way better than rain. Most of us should get mostly snow before the dryslot cuts off the heavier precip which should raise spirits in this subforum. It's better than the garbage systems we've had lately where all of the precip is on the wrong side of 0C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 I've seen the EC fail too much in the SR to lock anything in. At least there should be some accumulation which is way better than rain. Most of us should get mostly snow before the dryslot cuts off the heavier precip which should raise spirits in this subforum. It's better than the garbage systems we've had lately where all of the precip is on the wrong side of 0C. I'd actually prefer the EC type solutions...most of the solutions that have given you more snow have given here more snow too. Its only those weird NAM solutions that have a fetish for W and SW CT that have been terrible for here. But the NAM came around a bit more at 00z (but still has work to do) and so did the SREF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Will, what do you think of the 0z GFS solution for the Weds/Thurs storm? Looks much flatter with the wave and the mid-level features aren't positioned so favorably for a big snowstorm down to the coastal plain. I see a sloppy inch at 90/96 probably, it looks as if that banding is about to expand and hammer SNE, and then it dies out. Do you think we can get more amplification like the 12z ECM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Will, what do you think of the 0z GFS solution for the Weds/Thurs storm? Looks much flatter with the wave and the mid-level features aren't positioned so favorably for a big snowstorm down to the coastal plain. I see a sloppy inch at 90/96 probably, it looks as if that banding is about to expand and hammer SNE, and then it dies out. Do you think we can get more amplification like the 12z ECM? I dunno its hard to say. Its been trending north recently, so there's certainly reason to think it might end up a bit more robust, but its still fighting the block and can only fight it to a point. There's a strong SE ridge fighting a hudson bay block. The battle will be interesting to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Paul just admitted to me on FB that this winter was more fun than severe threats....I shat you not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Paul just admitted to me on FB that this winter was more fun than severe threats....I shat you not. What can I say...I said it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Facebook, offer up a post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Well ..more exciting than all two real severe threats he gets per year... It's like someone who lives in Atlanta and loves big Noreasters. Paul just admitted to me on FB that this winter was more fun than severe threats....I shat you not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 The Canada Geese are out back of this place on some wetlands ..honking away..headed north. They have no idea what they are getting into. Beautiful overnight here..down to 17 refreshing degrees. Well ..more exciting than all two real severe threats he gets per year... It's like someone who lives in Atlanta and loves big Noreasters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Spring peepers were peeping until 8. Sure they are frozen now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 3z SREF probabilities look good for God's Country and areas N or ORH. Heavy heavy congrats MRG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 00z GFS/NAM MOS snow numbers are zero across the board in SNE. Something to consider. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Congrats Ray for challenging '71-'72. Euro has a nice snow event for Thursday, but it will continue north I think so we have to watch for that. NYC may be out of the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Congrats Ray for challenging '71-'72. Euro has a nice snow event for Thursday, but it will continue north I think so we have to watch for that. NYC may be out of the game. Yeah it's close to taking SW CT out of the game. Don't want it to trend north so early. Looks like the NAM at 6z trended NE with the best forcing tomorrow. AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 GFS and NAM are still on different planets with QPF on Monday in Connecticut especially lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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