stormtracker Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Yeah, its a 200+ hour threat..but there is growing support for this and DT is wagging his tail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Yeah, its a 200+ hour threat..but there is growing support for this and DT is wagging his tail I'll get excited when you prep the bus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Is this the first model thread? I thought about starting one, but way too far out yet. However, if Euro is onboard at 0z and 12z, I'll start one on the big boy's board at 0z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Is this the first model thread? I thought about starting one, but way too far out yet. However, if Euro is onboard at 0z and 12z, I'll start one on the big boy's board at 0z tomorrow. Eh...its still awfully early. DT woofed at a threat in the Dec 9-10 frame. Our model threads bear resemblance to Christmas in stores - earlier and earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 let's back the block up to the s-west a bit. i guess cold rain is better than nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2010 extreme Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 This storm was consistently on the GFS a few days ago, then turned into a huge blast of cold air and just now is comming back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 29, 2010 Author Share Posted November 29, 2010 let's back the block up to the s-west a bit. i guess cold rain is better than nothing. Yeah, that's my concern, but I'm not going to get overly worried about that on a 200+ prog right now. There will probably be a SE Ridge on the 12z gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Yeah, that's my concern, but I'm not going to get overly worried about that on a 200+ prog right now. There will probably be a SE Ridge on the 12z gfs. I don't think so. The pattern looks good for the storm with a near-record -NAO/-AO block; the storm is forced under the Greenland ridge, and the higher heights over the Arctic are pushing cold air into Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 well something to looks at, hopefull the 0z euro stays the course from the 12z bus is being washed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 im preemptively slashing the tires of the bus before it gets out of control Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 im preemptively slashing the tires of the bus before it gets out of control Booo Sent from my ADR6300 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 well something to looks at, hopefull the 0z euro stays the course from the 12z bus is being washed We need bigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 29, 2010 Author Share Posted November 29, 2010 We need bigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 6z says put the bus back in the mothballs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 6z says put the bus back in the mothballs 12z says back it up to the gas pumps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 29, 2010 Author Share Posted November 29, 2010 12z is a suppressive mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 man this thing just bombs, but to far offshore goes from 1001mb to 982mb in 12 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 The 12Z is almost a totally different solution that just happened to get to the same point with the storm potential, by dumb luck. If you notice, it's missing "the" storm coming through the rockies this run that's suppose to setup the winter storm potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 12z is a suppressive mess "BALL PARK" tracker thats all that counts at this point pattern looks good you finish taking that bus for a test run and people will hop on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 "BALL PARK" tracker thats all that counts at this point pattern looks good you finish taking that bus for a test run and people will hop on Randy got taller? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 29, 2010 Author Share Posted November 29, 2010 Randy got taller? Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 12Z CANADIAN looks good fo DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 12Z CANADIAN looks good fo DC DT: "THIS COULD BE THE BIGGEST SNOWSTORM EVER FOR LOWER MID ATLANTIC ric phf dca cho roa lyh rdu gso int avl sby maybe cape may " http://www.stormvist...indpost&p=78160 & that map looks like a good 2-4" for DC with the first system. Would be a great start to the month! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 GFS is the only model that shears this clipper system out... over-amplifying the northern stream dynamics has been a big bias in years past in this time frame. Let's see what the Euro says at 12Z. Even though I get annoyed at people saying to check the BL and surface temps every other post during a DC event track, I am glad this one is timed for Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 DT: "THIS COULD BE THE BIGGEST SNOWSTORM EVER FOR LOWER MID ATLANTIC ric phf dca cho roa lyh rdu gso int avl sby maybe cape may " http://www.stormvist...indpost&p=78160 & that map looks like a good 2-4" for DC with the first system. Would be a great start to the month! DT honking for his own backyard. No surprise here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 DT honking for his own backyard. No surprise here! I am not sure he does much of that to be honest, He always complains of being in the screw zone alot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 It's good that we are at least tracking something. My mind won't let me believe that this is coming, though. We were spoiled far too much to have us get slammed again. But I'm praying for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 It's good that we are at least tracking something. My mind won't let me believe that this is coming, though. We were spoiled far too much to have us get slammed again. But I'm praying for it. Its 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Its 2010 This is true. I do get that feeling down in my stomach of excitement but it's just too good to be true. I'll go ahead and call for sunny and cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 29, 2010 Author Share Posted November 29, 2010 We're all looking at that nice system for D 8-10, but there's one at 144 hours that I'm more interested in..not because its bigger, but because its a bit closer to reality time than the Day 8-10 monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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